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Brandýs nad Labem v Baník Sokolov

Brandýs nad Labem

3–1Full time

Baník Sokolov

4. liga - Divizie B · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 12:08

Brandýs nad Labem 3–1 Baník Sokolov BRANDÝS NAD LABEM WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Brandýs nad Labem win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.470

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 37 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Brandýs nad Labem win at 45%.
1′Much as we predicted: Brandýs nad Labem was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–20–35
1′KICK-OFF Brandýs nad Labem v Baník Sokolov
34′We published Brandýs nad Labem at 45%. Our model now makes it 67%. 1–0 · 67–19–14
34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Brandýs nad Labem 1–0 Baník Sokolov
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Brandýs nad Labem win: 45% at kick-off, 67% now
37′Goals are coming at about the 4.1 we expected. 1–1 · 40–27–33
37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Brandýs nad Labem 1–1 Baník Sokolov
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Brandýs nad Labem win: 45% at kick-off, 40% now
45′HALF-TIME Brandýs nad Labem 1–1 Baník Sokolov
46′SECOND HALF Brandýs nad Labem 1–1 Baník Sokolov
55′We expected about 4.1 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 35–35–29 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Brandýs nad Labem win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
60′We said Brandýs nad Labem at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–39–28
60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Brandýs nad Labem win 33%)
67′GOAL DISALLOWED · 67' Brandýs nad Labem
67′GOAL DISALLOWED · 67' Baník Sokolov
67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Brandýs nad Labem 1–1 Baník Sokolov
68′We said Brandýs nad Labem at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–46–25
69′GOAL DISALLOWED · 69' Brandýs nad Labem
69′GOAL DISALLOWED · 69' Baník Sokolov
69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Brandýs nad Labem 1–1 Baník Sokolov
73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Brandýs nad Labem win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
74′We published Brandýs nad Labem at 45%. Our model now makes it 79%. 2–1 · 79–18–3
74′We said Brandýs nad Labem at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–55–21
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Brandýs nad Labem 2–1 Baník Sokolov
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Brandýs nad Labem win: 45% at kick-off, 79% now
74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Brandýs nad Labem win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 18%)
74′GOAL DISALLOWED · 74' Brandýs nad Labem
74′GOAL DISALLOWED · 74' Baník Sokolov
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Brandýs nad Labem win: 45% at kick-off, 24% now
74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Brandýs nad Labem win 24%)
75′We published Brandýs nad Labem at 45%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Brandýs nad Labem 2–1 Baník Sokolov
75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Brandýs nad Labem win: 45% at kick-off, 80% now
75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Brandýs nad Labem win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 17%)
77′GOAL DISALLOWED · 77' Brandýs nad Labem
77′GOAL DISALLOWED · 77' Baník Sokolov
77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Brandýs nad Labem win: 45% at kick-off, 21% now
77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Draw is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Brandýs nad Labem win 21%)
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Brandýs nad Labem 2–1 Baník Sokolov
77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Brandýs nad Labem win: 45% at kick-off, 82% now
77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Brandýs nad Labem win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 16%)
81′We published Brandýs nad Labem at 45%. Our model now makes it 86%. 2–1 · 86–13–1
81′We said Brandýs nad Labem at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 0–0 · 17–69–14 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Brandýs nad Labem win: 45% at kick-off, 86% now
83′We said Brandýs nad Labem at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–74–12 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
85′We published Brandýs nad Labem at 45%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
86′We published Brandýs nad Labem at 45%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Brandýs nad Labem 3–1 Baník Sokolov
86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Brandýs nad Labem win: 45% at kick-off, over 99% now
88′We said Brandýs nad Labem at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–8
FTFULL TIME Brandýs nad Labem 3–1 Baník Sokolov
FTBrandýs nad Labem 3–1 Baník Sokolov · Brandýs nad Labem win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Brandýs nad Labem are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Brandýs nad Labem 45%, draw 20%, Baník Sokolov 35%. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 75%.

The AI’s read on Brandýs nad Labem v Baník SokolovBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Brandýs nad Labem win45%

Draw20%

Baník Sokolov win35%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup B · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Brandýs nad Labem

Baník Sokolov

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Baník Sokolov	10	+8	18
7	Brandýs nad Labem	10	0	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · brandýs nad labem winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Brandýs nad Labem a 45% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.9, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Brandýs nad Labem v Baník Sokolov~~2.21 – 1.94

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 15 v 18~~7 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Brandýs nad Labem win	45%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Baník Sokolov win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	77%	–	–
Both teams to score	75%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	58%	–	–
Brandýs nad Labem or draw	65%	–	–
Brandýs nad Labem clean sheet	15%	–	–
Baník Sokolov clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.3%

0123450 2.1 3.1 3.1 2.0 1 3.5 7.1 6.5 4.1 2.1 2 4.0 7.3 6.8 4.4 2.2 3 2.9 5.3 4.9 3.2 4 2.9 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Brandýs nad Labem down, Baník Sokolov across0–5 goals a side shown (95.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,265 4. liga - Divizie B matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.8% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Brandýs nad Labem at home: 3.00 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Baník Sokolov away: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.21 goals for Brandýs nad Labem, 1.94 for Baník Sokolov. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 12 Sept

BRANDÝS NAD LABEM

WLWWWL4–2 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 2–0 · 5–2 · 1–5

BANÍK SOKOLOV

WLWLLW3–1 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–4 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sokol Hostouň	10	+18	22
2	Chomutov	10	+12	22
3	Újezd Praha 4	10	+5	20
4	Rapid Psáry	10	+12	19
5	Baník Sokolov	10	+8	18
6	Meteor Praha	10	+2	16
7	Brandýs nad Labem	10	0	15
8	Slaný	10	+8	14
9	Tempo Praha	10	+2	14
10	Slovan Velvary	10	−5	14
11	Karlovy Vary	10	+2	13
12	Štětí	10	−3	12
13	Ostrov	10	−10	10
14	Slavoj Vyšehrad	10	−14	7
15	Hvězda Cheb	10	−19	7
16	Ústí nad Labem II	10	−18	6