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Baník Sokolov v Újezd Praha 4

Baník Sokolov
2–3Full time
Újezd Praha 4

4. liga - Divizie B · SAT 24 OCT · Stadium Banik Sokolov

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:08
Baník Sokolov 2–3 Újezd Praha 4 BANÍK SOKOLOV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Baník Sokolov win41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.623

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 42 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Baník Sokolov win at 41%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Baník Sokolov was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–23–36
  3. 1′We published Baník Sokolov at 41%. Our model now makes it 64%. 1–0 · 64–18–18
  4. 1′KICK-OFF Baník Sokolov v Újezd Praha 4
  5. 1′⚽ GOAL · 1' Baník Sokolov 1–0 Újezd Praha 4
  6. 1′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 1' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, 64% now
  7. 14′We published Baník Sokolov at 41%. Our model now makes it 65%. 1–0 · 65–19–17
  8. 15′We published Baník Sokolov at 41%. Our model now makes it 84%. 2–0 · 84–10–6
  9. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Baník Sokolov 2–0 Újezd Praha 4
  10. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, 84% now
  11. 21′We published Baník Sokolov at 41%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–0 · 85–10–5
  12. 22′GOAL DISALLOWED · 22' Baník Sokolov
  13. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, 38% now
  14. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Baník Sokolov 2–0 Újezd Praha 4
  15. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, 85% now
  16. 28′GOAL DISALLOWED · 28' Baník Sokolov
  17. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, 38% now
  18. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Baník Sokolov 2–0 Újezd Praha 4
  19. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, 86% now
  20. 43′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 2–0 · 89–8–3
  21. 45′HALF-TIME Baník Sokolov 2–0 Újezd Praha 4
  22. 46′We published Baník Sokolov at 41%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–0 · 90–8–3
  23. 46′SECOND HALF Baník Sokolov 2–0 Újezd Praha 4
  24. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
  25. 54′We published Baník Sokolov at 41%. Our model now makes it 71%. 2–1 · 71–21–8
  26. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Baník Sokolov 2–1 Újezd Praha 4
  27. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, 71% now
  28. 59′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 30–43–28
  29. 59′GOAL DISALLOWED · 59' Újezd Praha 4
  30. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, 93% now
  31. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Baník Sokolov 2–2 Újezd Praha 4
  32. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, 30% now
  33. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Baník Sokolov win 93%)
  34. 60′We said Baník Sokolov at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–43–27
  35. 63′We said Baník Sokolov at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 2–3 · 7–21–72
  36. 63′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 7–21–72
  37. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Baník Sokolov 2–3 Újezd Praha 4
  38. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, 7% now
  39. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Újezd Praha 4 win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 46%)
  40. 70′We said Baník Sokolov at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–3 · 4–20–76
  41. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
  42. 83′We said Baník Sokolov at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 11%. 0–0 · 11–78–11
  43. 83′GOAL DISALLOWED · 83' Baník Sokolov
  44. 83′GOAL DISALLOWED · 83' Újezd Praha 4
  45. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
  46. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Draw is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Újezd Praha 4 win 89%)
  47. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Baník Sokolov 2–3 Újezd Praha 4
  48. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
  49. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Újezd Praha 4 win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 78%)
  50. 86′We expected about 3.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 9–83–8
  51. 91′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+1' Baník Sokolov
  52. 91′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+1' Újezd Praha 4
  53. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, 5% now
  54. 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Újezd Praha 4 win 95%)
  55. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Baník Sokolov 2–3 Újezd Praha 4
  56. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Baník Sokolov win: 41% at kick-off, under 1% now
  57. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Újezd Praha 4 win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 91%)
  58. FTFULL TIME Baník Sokolov 2–3 Újezd Praha 4
  59. FTBaník Sokolov 2–3 Újezd Praha 4 · Baník Sokolov win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Baník Sokolov are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Baník Sokolov 41%, draw 23%, Újezd Praha 4 36%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Baník Sokolov v Újezd Praha 4Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Baník Sokolov win41%
Draw23%
Újezd Praha 4 win36%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup B · matchday 12

VenueStadium Banik Sokolov

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Baník Sokolov

Újezd Praha 4

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Újezd Praha 411+521
5Baník Sokolov11+618

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · baník sokolov winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
41% The market–
Us41%

We make Baník Sokolov a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Baník Sokolov v Újezd Praha 41.76 – 1.66
Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 12 SeptW2 D0 L4 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 18 v 215 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Baník Sokolov win41%––
Draw23%––
Újezd Praha 4 win36%––
Over 2.5 goals66%––
Both teams to score66%––
Over 1.5 goals85%––
Over 3.5 goals44%––
Baník Sokolov or draw64%––
Baník Sokolov clean sheet20%––
Újezd Praha 4 clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%
0123450 3.9 5.2 4.6 2.5 1 5.6 9.8 7.7 4.3 2 5.1 8.2 6.7 3.7 3 3.0 4.8 3.9 2.2 4 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Baník Sokolov down, Újezd Praha 4 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting3.25
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored4 of 4
Last meetingsBAN 1–1 UJE · UJE 3–1 BAN · BAN 1–1 UJE · UJE 4–1 BAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B this season · since 12 Sept

BANÍK SOKOLOV

LWLLWL0–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–4 · 2–1 · 1–3

ÚJEZD PRAHA 4

LWDWWD0–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 4–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Chomutov11+1425
2Sokol Hostouň11+1622
3Újezd Praha 411+521
4Rapid Psáry11+1220
5Baník Sokolov11+618
6Brandýs nad Labem11+218
7Tempo Praha11+417
8Karlovy Vary12+317
9Meteor Praha11016
10Slaný11+815
11Štětí11015
12Slovan Velvary11−814
13Slavoj Vyšehrad11−1110
14Ostrov11−1310
15Hvězda Cheb12−1410
16Ústí nad Labem II11−246

The competition's standings before kick-off.