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Baník Sokolov v Sokol Hostouň

Baník Sokolov

2–1Full time

Sokol Hostouň

4. liga - Divizie B · SAT 10 OCT · Stadium Banik Sokolov

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18

Baník Sokolov 2–1 Sokol Hostouň SOKOL HOSTOUŇ WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sokol Hostouň win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.654

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 15 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Sokol Hostouň win at 43%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Sokol Hostouň 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 35–22–43
1′KICK-OFF Baník Sokolov v Sokol Hostouň
36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Baník Sokolov 1–0 Sokol Hostouň
38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Baník Sokolov 1–0 Sokol Hostouň
40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Baník Sokolov 1–0 Sokol Hostouň
41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Baník Sokolov 1–0 Sokol Hostouň
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Baník Sokolov 1–0 Sokol Hostouň
45′HALF-TIME Baník Sokolov 1–0 Sokol Hostouň
46′SECOND HALF Baník Sokolov 1–0 Sokol Hostouň
47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Baník Sokolov 1–0 Sokol Hostouň
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Baník Sokolov 1–0 Sokol Hostouň
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Baník Sokolov 2–0 Sokol Hostouň
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Baník Sokolov 2–0 Sokol Hostouň
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Baník Sokolov 2–0 Sokol Hostouň
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Baník Sokolov 2–1 Sokol Hostouň
FTFULL TIME Baník Sokolov 2–1 Sokol Hostouň
FTBaník Sokolov 2–1 Sokol Hostouň · Sokol Hostouň win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Baník Sokolov win35%

Draw22%

Sokol Hostouň win43%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:15

Venue · Stadium Banik Sokolov

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sokol hostouň winPublished 10 Oct 09:05

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Sokol Hostouň a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Baník Sokolov win	35%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Sokol Hostouň win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Baník Sokolov or draw	57%	–	–
Baník Sokolov clean sheet	16%	–	–
Sokol Hostouň clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.4 5.3 5.1 3.2 1 4.8 9.2 8.2 5.1 2.5 2 4.1 7.3 6.7 4.2 2.0 3 2.3 4.1 3.8 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Baník Sokolov down, Sokol Hostouň across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,257 4. liga - Divizie B matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.8% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Baník Sokolov at home: 2.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Sokol Hostouň away: 2.40 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.68 goals for Baník Sokolov, 1.87 for Sokol Hostouň. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie B

BANÍK SOKOLOV

WWLWLL2–1 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–4

SOKOL HOSTOUŇ

WWWWWD4–0 · 4–2 · 2–0 · 5–1 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sokol Hostouň	9	+19	22
2	Chomutov	9	+12	21
3	Újezd Praha 4	9	+3	17
4	Rapid Psáry	9	+8	16
5	Baník Sokolov	9	+7	15
6	Brandýs nad Labem	9	+4	15
7	Tempo Praha	9	+2	13
8	Meteor Praha	9	−1	13
9	Slovan Velvary	9	−5	13
10	Karlovy Vary	9	+2	12
11	Slaný	9	+5	11
12	Štětí	9	−3	11
13	Ostrov	9	−7	10
14	Slavoj Vyšehrad	9	−12	7
15	Hvězda Cheb	9	−16	7
16	Ústí nad Labem II	9	−18	5