Home › Football › 4. liga - Divizie A › Táborsko II v Křimice

Táborsko II v Křimice

Táborsko II

1–1Full time

Křimice

4. liga - Divizie A · SAT 17 OCT · Fotbalove hriste Svepomoc

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 12:08

Táborsko II 1–1 Křimice KŘIMICE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Křimice win~~41%

~~The market said~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.847

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.854

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 41 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Křimice win at 41%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Křimice 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 34–25–41
1′KICK-OFF Táborsko II v Křimice
14′We said Křimice at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–0 · 61–21–18
14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Táborsko II 1–0 Křimice
14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Křimice win: 41% at kick-off, 18% now
14′THE CALL SWINGS · 14' Táborsko II win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Křimice win 18%)
30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 63–22–15
31′We said Křimice at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 63–22–14
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Křimice win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
45′HALF-TIME Táborsko II 1–0 Křimice
46′SECOND HALF Táborsko II 1–0 Křimice
51′We said Křimice at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 68–22–9
51′GOAL DISALLOWED · 51' Táborsko II
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Křimice win: 41% at kick-off, 32% now
51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Táborsko II win 28%)
51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Táborsko II 1–0 Křimice
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Křimice win: 41% at kick-off, 9% now
51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Táborsko II win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 22%)
55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.9 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 27–43–30
59′We said Křimice at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 25–46–28
65′GOAL DISALLOWED · 65' Táborsko II
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Křimice win: 41% at kick-off, 25% now
65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Draw is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Táborsko II win 23%)
66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Táborsko II 1–0 Křimice
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Křimice win: 41% at kick-off, 5% now
66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Táborsko II win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Draw 20%)
67′We said Křimice at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 76–20–4
68′We said Křimice at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 21–55–24
68′GOAL DISALLOWED · 68' Táborsko II
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Křimice win: 41% at kick-off, 24% now
68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Táborsko II win 21%)
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Táborsko II 1–0 Křimice
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Křimice win: 41% at kick-off, 4% now
68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Táborsko II win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 19%)
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Táborsko II 1–1 Křimice
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Křimice win: 41% at kick-off, 22% now
70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Táborsko II win 20%)
73′GOAL DISALLOWED · 73' Táborsko II
73′GOAL DISALLOWED · 73' Křimice
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Táborsko II 1–1 Křimice
75′GOAL DISALLOWED · 75' Táborsko II
75′GOAL DISALLOWED · 75' Křimice
76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Táborsko II 1–1 Křimice
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Křimice win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
89′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 94–5–0
89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Táborsko II 2–1 Křimice
89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Křimice win: 41% at kick-off, under 1% now
89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Táborsko II win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 5%)
91′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+1' Táborsko II
91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Táborsko II win 4%)
FTFULL TIME Táborsko II 1–1 Křimice
FTTáborsko II 1–1 Křimice · Křimice win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Křimice are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Táborsko II 34%, draw 25%, Křimice 41%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Táborsko II v KřimiceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Táborsko II win34%

Draw25%

Křimice win41%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup A · matchday 11

VenueFotbalove hriste Svepomoc

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Táborsko II

Křimice

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie A

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Křimice	10	+8	22
8	Táborsko II	9	+5	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · křimice winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

41% The market46%

Us41%

~~Market~~46%

We make Křimice a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Táborsko II v Křimice~~1.40 – 1.54

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie A this season · since 30 Aug~~W2 D2 L2 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 15 v 22~~8 v 3

~~The market · Křimice win~~46% · ours 41%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Křimice win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Táborsko II win	34%	29%	+5
Draw	25%	25%	0
Křimice win	41%	46%	−5
Over 2.5 goals	56%	61%	−5
Both teams to score	58%	63%	−5
Over 1.5 goals	79%	78%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	34%	41%	−7
Táborsko II or draw	59%	54%	+5
Táborsko II clean sheet	22%	–	–
Křimice clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 6.0 8.0 6.3 3.3 1 7.2 11.4 8.4 4.4 2 5.2 7.7 5.8 3.0 3 2.5 3.6 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Táborsko II down, Křimice across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,270 4. liga - Divizie A matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie A matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.6% of games this season, across 71 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Táborsko II at home: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 4). Křimice away: 2.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.40 goals for Táborsko II, 1.54 for Křimice. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie A this season · since 30 Aug

TÁBORSKO II

DWLLWD1–1 · 3–0 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 3–2 · 1–1

KŘIMICE

WWWWDW4–2 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Spartak Pribram	10	+19	23
2	Petřín Plzeň	10	+11	22
3	Křimice	10	+8	22
4	Hluboka nad Vltavou	10	+8	19
5	Komárov	9	+8	19
6	Hořovicko	10	+4	17
7	Spartak Soběslav	9	+6	16
8	Táborsko II	9	+5	15
9	Slavoj Český Krumlov	10	−6	12
10	Doubravka	10	−2	11
11	Rokycany	9	−8	10
12	Strakonice	9	−8	7
13	Jiskra Domažlice II	9	−13	3
14	Nyrsko	9	−21	3
15	Milevsko	9	−11	2