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Strakonice v Petřín Plzeň

Strakonice

1–4Full time

Petřín Plzeň

4. liga - Divizie A · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Strakonice 1–4 Petřín Plzeň PETŘÍN PLZEŇ WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Petřín Plzeň win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.297

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 34 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Petřín Plzeň win at 56%.
1′KICK-OFF Strakonice v Petřín Plzeň
1′⚽ GOAL · 1' Strakonice 0–1 Petřín Plzeň
2′We published Petřín Plzeň at 56%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 12–13–75
2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Petřín Plzeň win: 56% at kick-off, 75% now
3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' Petřín Plzeň win: 56% at kick-off, 75% now
4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' Petřín Plzeň win: 56% at kick-off, 75% now
5′We published Petřín Plzeň at 56%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 12–13–75
5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Petřín Plzeň win: 56% at kick-off, 75% now
8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
19′Much as we predicted: Petřín Plzeň was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 1–1 · 25–21–53
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Petřín Plzeň win: 56% at kick-off, 53% now
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Petřín Plzeň win: 56% at kick-off, 75% now
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Petřín Plzeň win: 56% at kick-off, 75% now
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Petřín Plzeň win: 56% at kick-off, 53% now
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Petřín Plzeň win: 56% at kick-off, 75% now
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Petřín Plzeň win: 56% at kick-off, 53% now
22′Much as we predicted: Petřín Plzeň was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 1–1 · 25–22–53
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Petřín Plzeň win: 56% at kick-off, 75% now
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Petřín Plzeň win: 56% at kick-off, 53% now
33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
37′Goals are coming at about the 4.3 we expected. 1–1 · 25–26–49
38′Goals are coming at about the 4.3 we expected. 1–1 · 25–26–49
45′HALF-TIME Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
46′SECOND HALF Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Strakonice 1–1 Petřín Plzeň
51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Strakonice 1–2 Petřín Plzeň
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Strakonice 1–3 Petřín Plzeň
89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Strakonice 1–4 Petřín Plzeň
FTFULL TIME Strakonice 1–4 Petřín Plzeň
FTStrakonice 1–4 Petřín Plzeň · Petřín Plzeň win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Strakonice win26%

Draw18%

Petřín Plzeň win56%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Strakonice

Petřín Plzeň

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Petřín Plzeň	9	+8	19
12	Strakonice	8	−5	7

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · petřín plzeň winPublished 11 Oct 15:13

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Petřín Plzeň a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–2.6, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Strakonice win	26%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Petřín Plzeň win	56%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	79%	–	–
Both teams to score	74%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	62%	–	–
Strakonice or draw	44%	–	–
Strakonice clean sheet	8%	–	–
Petřín Plzeň clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.4%

0123450 3.6 4.6 3.9 2.5 1 2.4 6.3 7.4 6.2 4.0 2.22 2.2 5.1 6.2 5.2 3.4 3 3.0 3.6 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Strakonice down, Petřín Plzeň across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,268 4. liga - Divizie A matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie A matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.9% of games this season, across 69 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Strakonice at home: 2.75 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 4). Petřín Plzeň away: 2.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for Strakonice, 2.60 for Petřín Plzeň. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie A

STRAKONICE

WLWDLL5–2 · 0–6 · 3–0 · 4–4 · 2–3 · 1–2

PETŘÍN PLZEŇ

DWWLWW1–1 · 3–0 · 4–2 · 1–4 · 4–0 · 4–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Křimice	10	+8	22
2	Spartak Pribram	9	+17	20
3	Hluboka nad Vltavou	9	+10	19
4	Petřín Plzeň	9	+8	19
5	Komárov	9	+8	19
6	Hořovicko	10	+4	17
7	Spartak Soběslav	9	+6	16
8	Táborsko II	9	+5	15
9	Slavoj Český Krumlov	10	−6	12
10	Doubravka	10	−2	11
11	Rokycany	9	−8	10
12	Strakonice	8	−5	7
13	Jiskra Domažlice II	9	−13	3
14	Nyrsko	9	−21	3
15	Milevsko	9	−11	2