Spartak Soběslav v Nyrsko prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Spartak Soběslav 2–2 Nyrsko SPARTAK SOBĚSLAV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Spartak Soběslav win~~83%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.522

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Spartak Soběslav are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Spartak Soběslav 83%, draw 9%, Nyrsko 7%. Over 2.5 goals 88%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Spartak Soběslav v NyrskoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Spartak Soběslav win83%

Draw9%

Nyrsko win7%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:30

RoundGroup A · matchday 11

VenueStadium Sobeslav

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Spartak Soběslav

Nyrsko

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie A

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Spartak Soběslav	9	+6	16
14	Nyrsko	9	−21	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · spartak soběslav winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

83% The market–

Us83%

We make Spartak Soběslav an 83% chance to win. The model expects 4.1–1.2, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Spartak Soběslav v Nyrsko~~4.07 – 1.19

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie A this season · since 29 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 16 v 3~~7 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Spartak Soběslav win	83%	–	–
Draw	9%	–	–
Nyrsko win	7%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	88%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	96%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	75%	–	–
Spartak Soběslav or draw	93%	–	–
Spartak Soběslav clean sheet	31%	–	–
Nyrsko clean sheet	2%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 6.7%

0123450 1 2.5 3.1 2 4.6 5.4 3.3 3 5.7 6.7 4.0 4 5.5 6.3 3.8 5 4.4 5.0 3.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Spartak Soběslav down, Nyrsko across0–5 goals a side shown (76.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,270 4. liga - Divizie A matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie A matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.6% of games this season, across 71 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Spartak Soběslav at home: 2.50 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Nyrsko away: 1.75 scored, 3.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

4.07 goals for Spartak Soběslav, 1.19 for Nyrsko. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie A this season · since 29 Aug

SPARTAK SOBĚSLAV

WDWWWL3–2 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 2–3

NYRSKO

LLLLWL0–2 · 0–3 · 1–3 · 0–4 · 4–3 · 0–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Petřín Plzeň	11	+12	25
2	Spartak Pribram	10	+19	23
3	Křimice	11	+8	23
4	Hluboka nad Vltavou	10	+8	19
5	Komárov	9	+8	19
6	Hořovicko	10	+4	17
7	Spartak Soběslav	9	+6	16
8	Táborsko II	10	+5	16
9	Slavoj Český Krumlov	10	−6	12
10	Doubravka	10	−2	11
11	Rokycany	10	−9	10
12	Strakonice	9	−8	7
13	Jiskra Domažlice II	9	−13	3
14	Nyrsko	9	−21	3
15	Milevsko	9	−11	2