Spartak Pribram v Spartak Soběslav prediction · 4. liga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Spartak Pribram 2–2 Spartak Soběslav SPARTAK PRIBRAM WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Spartak Pribram win~~57%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.058

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Spartak Pribram are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Spartak Pribram 57%, draw 18%, Spartak Soběslav 25%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 75%.

The AI’s read on Spartak Pribram v Spartak SoběslavBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Spartak Pribram win57%

Draw18%

Spartak Soběslav win25%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup A · matchday 12

VenueFootball pitch Spartak Pribram

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Spartak Pribram

Spartak Soběslav

8Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie A

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie A

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Spartak Pribram	10	+19	23
7	Spartak Soběslav	10	+6	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · spartak pribram winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Spartak Pribram a 57% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Spartak Pribram v Spartak Soběslav~~2.65 – 1.70

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie A this season · since 4 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 23 v 17~~2 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Spartak Pribram win	57%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Spartak Soběslav win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	75%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	62%	–	–
Spartak Pribram or draw	75%	–	–
Spartak Pribram clean sheet	19%	–	–
Spartak Soběslav clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.5%

0123450 2.3 2.1 1 3.5 6.1 5.0 2.9 2 4.6 7.5 6.2 3.6 3 3.9 6.4 5.3 3.0 4 2.6 4.2 3.5 2.0 5 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Spartak Pribram down, Spartak Soběslav across0–5 goals a side shown (92.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,276 4. liga - Divizie A matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie A matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.7% of games this season, across 77 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Spartak Pribram at home: 3.20 scored, 0.60 conceded a game (last 5). Spartak Soběslav away: 2.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.65 goals for Spartak Pribram, 1.70 for Spartak Soběslav. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie A this season · since 4 Sept

SPARTAK PRIBRAM

DWDLWW1–1 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 3–4 · 5–0 · 3–1

SPARTAK SOBĚSLAV

DWWWLD2–2 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 2–3 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Petřín Plzeň	11	+12	25
2	Spartak Pribram	10	+19	23
3	Křimice	11	+8	23
4	Hořovicko	11	+5	20
5	Hluboka nad Vltavou	10	+8	19
6	Komárov	10	+7	19
7	Spartak Soběslav	10	+6	17
8	Táborsko II	10	+5	16
9	Doubravka	11	−1	14
10	Slavoj Český Krumlov	10	−6	12
11	Rokycany	10	−9	10
12	Strakonice	10	−14	7
13	Jiskra Domažlice II	10	−7	6
14	Nyrsko	10	−21	4
15	Milevsko	10	−12	2