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Slavoj Český Krumlov v Hořovicko

Slavoj Český Krumlov

2–2Full time

Hořovicko

4. liga - Divizie A · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:08

Slavoj Český Krumlov 2–2 Hořovicko SLAVOJ ČESKÝ KRUMLOV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Slavoj Český Krumlov win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.894

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 27 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Slavoj Český Krumlov win at 43%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Slavoj Český Krumlov 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–23–34
1′KICK-OFF Slavoj Český Krumlov v Hořovicko
16′We said Slavoj Český Krumlov at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–21–59
16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Slavoj Český Krumlov 0–1 Hořovicko
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Slavoj Český Krumlov win: 43% at kick-off, 20% now
16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Hořovicko win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Slavoj Český Krumlov win 41%)
20′We said Slavoj Český Krumlov at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–21–59
21′GOAL DISALLOWED · 21' Hořovicko
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Slavoj Český Krumlov win: 43% at kick-off, 41% now
21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Slavoj Český Krumlov win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Hořovicko win 59%)
22′We said Slavoj Český Krumlov at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 0–2 · 7–12–81
22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Slavoj Český Krumlov 0–2 Hořovicko
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Slavoj Český Krumlov win: 43% at kick-off, 7% now
22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Hořovicko win is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Slavoj Český Krumlov win 41%)
26′GOAL DISALLOWED · 26' Hořovicko
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Slavoj Český Krumlov win: 43% at kick-off, 40% now
26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' Slavoj Český Krumlov win is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Hořovicko win 82%)
27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Slavoj Český Krumlov 1–2 Hořovicko
27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Slavoj Český Krumlov win: 43% at kick-off, 18% now
27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Hořovicko win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Slavoj Český Krumlov win 40%)
40′We said Slavoj Český Krumlov at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–23–63
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Slavoj Český Krumlov win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
45′HALF-TIME Slavoj Český Krumlov 1–2 Hořovicko
46′SECOND HALF Slavoj Český Krumlov 1–2 Hořovicko
70′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 1–2 · 5–20–75
71′We said Slavoj Český Krumlov at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–20–76
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Slavoj Český Krumlov win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
86′GOAL DISALLOWED · 86' Slavoj Český Krumlov
86′GOAL DISALLOWED · 86' Hořovicko
86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Slavoj Český Krumlov win: 43% at kick-off, 9% now
86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Hořovicko win 91%)
87′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 8–85–7
87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Slavoj Český Krumlov 2–2 Hořovicko
93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Slavoj Český Krumlov win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
FTFULL TIME Slavoj Český Krumlov 2–2 Hořovicko
FTSlavoj Český Krumlov 2–2 Hořovicko · Slavoj Český Krumlov win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Slavoj Český Krumlov are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Slavoj Český Krumlov 43%, draw 23%, Hořovicko 34%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Slavoj Český Krumlov v HořovickoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Slavoj Český Krumlov win43%

Draw23%

Hořovicko win34%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup A · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Slavoj Český Krumlov

Hořovicko

14Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie A

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie A

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Hořovicko	11	+5	20
10	Slavoj Český Krumlov	10	−6	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · slavoj český krumlov winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Slavoj Český Krumlov a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Slavoj Český Krumlov v Hořovicko~~1.78 – 1.56

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie A this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 20~~10 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Slavoj Český Krumlov win	43%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Hořovicko win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Slavoj Český Krumlov or draw	66%	–	–
Slavoj Český Krumlov clean sheet	21%	–	–
Hořovicko clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.9%

0123450 4.0 5.4 4.4 2.3 1 6.2 9.9 7.5 3.9 2 5.6 8.5 6.6 3.5 3 3.3 5.1 3.9 2.1 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Slavoj Český Krumlov down, Hořovicko across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,276 4. liga - Divizie A matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie A matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.7% of games this season, across 77 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.88 goals a meeting; 4 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Slavoj Český Krumlov at home: 1.83 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). Hořovicko away: 1.00 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.78 goals for Slavoj Český Krumlov, 1.56 for Hořovicko. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.88

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~HOR 2–3 SLA · SLA 2–0 HOR · SLA 2–3 HOR · HOR 3–2 SLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie A this season · since 5 Sept

SLAVOJ ČESKÝ KRUMLOV

LWLWWL2–4 · 3–0 · 1–3 · 3–2 · 4–0 · 0–3

HOŘOVICKO

LWDWLW0–1 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Petřín Plzeň	11	+12	25
2	Spartak Pribram	10	+19	23
3	Křimice	11	+8	23
4	Hořovicko	11	+5	20
5	Hluboka nad Vltavou	10	+8	19
6	Komárov	10	+7	19
7	Spartak Soběslav	10	+6	17
8	Táborsko II	10	+5	16
9	Doubravka	11	−1	14
10	Slavoj Český Krumlov	10	−6	12
11	Rokycany	10	−9	10
12	Strakonice	10	−14	7
13	Jiskra Domažlice II	10	−7	6
14	Nyrsko	10	−21	4
15	Milevsko	10	−12	2