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Křimice v Spartak Soběslav

Křimice

3–2Full time

Spartak Soběslav

4. liga - Divizie A · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18

Křimice 3–2 Spartak Soběslav KŘIMICE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Křimice win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.391

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Křimice win at 49%.
1′We said Křimice at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–1 · 28–22–51
1′KICK-OFF Křimice v Spartak Soběslav
1′⚽ GOAL · 1' Křimice 0–1 Spartak Soběslav
1′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 1' Křimice win: 49% at kick-off, 28% now
1′THE CALL SWINGS · 1' Spartak Soběslav win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Křimice win 28%)
22′We said Křimice at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 22–23–54
23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Křimice 1–1 Spartak Soběslav
37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Křimice 1–1 Spartak Soběslav
39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Křimice 1–1 Spartak Soběslav
40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Křimice 1–1 Spartak Soběslav
41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Křimice 1–1 Spartak Soběslav
43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Křimice 1–1 Spartak Soběslav
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Křimice 1–1 Spartak Soběslav
45′HALF-TIME Křimice 1–1 Spartak Soběslav
46′SECOND HALF Křimice 1–1 Spartak Soběslav
46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Křimice 1–1 Spartak Soběslav
47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Křimice 1–1 Spartak Soběslav
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Křimice 1–1 Spartak Soběslav
51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Křimice 1–1 Spartak Soběslav
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Křimice 1–1 Spartak Soběslav
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Křimice 2–1 Spartak Soběslav
55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Křimice 2–1 Spartak Soběslav
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Křimice 2–1 Spartak Soběslav
71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Křimice 2–1 Spartak Soběslav
76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Křimice 3–1 Spartak Soběslav
78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Křimice 3–1 Spartak Soběslav
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Křimice 3–2 Spartak Soběslav
FTFULL TIME Křimice 3–2 Spartak Soběslav
FTKřimice 3–2 Spartak Soběslav · Křimice win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Křimice win49%

Draw23%

Spartak Soběslav win28%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:15

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · křimice winPublished 10 Oct 09:05

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Křimice a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Křimice win	49%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Spartak Soběslav win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Křimice or draw	72%	–	–
Křimice clean sheet	25%	–	–
Spartak Soběslav clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.9%

0123450 4.2 5.0 3.7 1 6.8 9.9 6.7 3.2 2 6.6 9.0 6.3 3.0 3 4.2 5.7 4.0 4 2.1 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Křimice down, Spartak Soběslav across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,262 4. liga - Divizie A matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie A matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.0% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Křimice at home: 1.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Spartak Soběslav away: 2.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.91 goals for Křimice, 1.40 for Spartak Soběslav. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KRI 2–2 SPA · SPA 1–1 KRI

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie A

KŘIMICE

LWWWWD1–2 · 4–2 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 1–0 · 1–1

SPARTAK SOBĚSLAV

LWDWWW1–2 · 3–2 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Petřín Plzeň	9	+8	19
2	Křimice	9	+7	19
3	Spartak Pribram	8	+12	17
4	Hořovicko	9	+5	17
5	Spartak Soběslav	8	+7	16
6	Hluboka nad Vltavou	8	+5	16
7	Komárov	8	+5	16
8	Táborsko II	8	+5	14
9	Slavoj Český Krumlov	9	−3	12
10	Doubravka	9	−2	10
11	Strakonice	8	−5	7
12	Rokycany	8	−9	7
13	Jiskra Domažlice II	8	−8	3
14	Nyrsko	8	−16	3
15	Milevsko	9	−11	2