Křimice v Milevsko prediction · 4. liga - Divizie A

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

Křimice 5–2 Milevsko KŘIMICE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Křimice win~~70%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.135

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Křimice are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Křimice 70%, draw 18%, Milevsko 12%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Křimice v MilevskoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Křimice win70%

Draw18%

Milevsko win12%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup A · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Křimice

Milevsko

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie A

Last match: 18 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie A

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Křimice	11	+8	23
15	Milevsko	10	−12	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · křimice winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

70% The market–

Us70%

We make Křimice a 70% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Křimice v Milevsko~~2.32 – 0.82

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie A this season · since 5 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 23 v 2~~3 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Křimice win	70%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Milevsko win	12%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Křimice or draw	88%	–	–
Křimice clean sheet	44%	–	–
Milevsko clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.5%

0123450 4.8 3.5 1 10.0 8.3 3.4 2 11.5 9.2 3.8 3 8.8 7.0 2.9 4 5.2 4.1 5 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Křimice down, Milevsko across0–5 goals a side shown (96.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,276 4. liga - Divizie A matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie A matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.7% of games this season, across 77 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Křimice at home: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Milevsko away: 1.50 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.32 goals for Křimice, 0.82 for Milevsko. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~MIL 0–1 KRI · KRI 5–0 MIL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie A this season · since 5 Sept

KŘIMICE

WWWDWD1–0 · 4–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 1–1

MILEVSKO

LLDLLL0–3 · 0–3 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 2–3 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Petřín Plzeň	11	+12	25
2	Spartak Pribram	10	+19	23
3	Křimice	11	+8	23
4	Hořovicko	11	+5	20
5	Hluboka nad Vltavou	10	+8	19
6	Komárov	10	+7	19
7	Spartak Soběslav	10	+6	17
8	Táborsko II	10	+5	16
9	Doubravka	11	−1	14
10	Slavoj Český Krumlov	10	−6	12
11	Rokycany	10	−9	10
12	Strakonice	10	−14	7
13	Jiskra Domažlice II	10	−7	6
14	Nyrsko	10	−21	4
15	Milevsko	10	−12	2