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Komárov v Slavoj Český Krumlov

Komárov

3–0Full time

Slavoj Český Krumlov

4. liga - Divizie A · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18

Komárov 3–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov KOMÁROV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Komárov win~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.330

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 27 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Komárov win at 53%.
1′Much as we predicted: Komárov was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–20–26
1′KICK-OFF Komárov v Slavoj Český Krumlov
20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Komárov 1–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Komárov 1–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
22′We published Komárov at 53%. Our model now makes it 74%. 1–0 · 74–16–10
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Komárov win: 53% at kick-off, 74% now
23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Komárov 1–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Komárov 1–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Komárov 2–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Komárov 2–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Komárov 2–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
31′We published Komárov at 53%. Our model now makes it 91%. 2–0 · 91–7–3
31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Komárov 2–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Komárov win: 53% at kick-off, 91% now
36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Komárov 2–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Komárov 2–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Komárov 2–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Komárov 2–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Komárov 2–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
42′Goals are coming at about the 3.7 we expected. 2–0 · 92–6–2
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Komárov 2–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Komárov 2–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Komárov 2–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
45′HALF-TIME Komárov 2–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
46′SECOND HALF Komárov 2–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Komárov 3–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Komárov 3–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Komárov 3–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Komárov 3–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Komárov 3–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
FTFULL TIME Komárov 3–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov
FTKomárov 3–0 Slavoj Český Krumlov · Komárov win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Komárov win53%

Draw21%

Slavoj Český Krumlov win26%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · komárov winPublished 10 Oct 09:34

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Komárov a 53% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Komárov win	53%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Slavoj Český Krumlov win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Komárov or draw	74%	–	–
Komárov clean sheet	23%	–	–
Slavoj Český Krumlov clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.7%

0123450 2.8 3.6 2.8 1 5.3 8.3 6.0 3.1 2 5.9 8.7 6.5 3.3 3 4.3 6.4 4.8 2.4 4 2.4 3.6 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Komárov down, Slavoj Český Krumlov across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,262 4. liga - Divizie A matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

4. liga - Divizie A matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.0% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 3.88 goals a meeting; 6 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Komárov at home: 2.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Slavoj Český Krumlov away: 2.00 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.22 goals for Komárov, 1.51 for Slavoj Český Krumlov. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.88

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 8

~~Both scored~~7 of 8

~~Last meetings~~SLA 4–2 KOM · KOM 2–0 SLA · SLA 2–1 KOM · KOM 2–1 SLA

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie A

KOMÁROV

WWWDDW2–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 4–4 · 1–0

SLAVOJ ČESKÝ KRUMLOV

LLWLWW2–3 · 2–4 · 3–0 · 1–3 · 3–2 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Petřín Plzeň	9	+8	19
2	Křimice	9	+7	19
3	Spartak Pribram	8	+12	17
4	Hořovicko	9	+5	17
5	Spartak Soběslav	8	+7	16
6	Hluboka nad Vltavou	8	+5	16
7	Komárov	8	+5	16
8	Táborsko II	8	+5	14
9	Slavoj Český Krumlov	9	−3	12
10	Doubravka	9	−2	10
11	Strakonice	8	−5	7
12	Rokycany	8	−9	7
13	Jiskra Domažlice II	8	−8	3
14	Nyrsko	8	−16	3
15	Milevsko	9	−11	2