Hluboka nad Vltavou v Rokycany prediction · 4. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Hluboka nad VltavouDrawRokycany

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hluboka nad Vltavou 59%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hluboka nad Vltavou are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hluboka nad Vltavou 59%, draw 22%, Rokycany 19%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Hluboka nad Vltavou v RokycanyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Hluboka nad Vltavou win59%

Draw22%

Rokycany win19%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundGroup A · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hluboka nad Vltavou

Rokycany

14Days since last match6

Last match: 16 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie A

Last match: 24 Oct · 4. liga - Divizie A

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Hluboka nad Vltavou	10	+8	19
11	Rokycany	11	−8	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hluboka nad vltavou winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 00:17 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Hluboka nad Vltavou a 59% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hluboka nad Vltavou v Rokycany~~1.90 – 0.95

~~Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie A this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 19 v 13~~7 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Hluboka nad Vltavou win

Published at 58%, 59% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hluboka nad Vltavou win	59%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Rokycany win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Hluboka nad Vltavou or draw	81%	–	–
Hluboka nad Vltavou clean sheet	39%	–	–
Rokycany clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.8%

0123450 6.3 5.4 2.7 1 10.8 10.5 5.0 2 10.3 9.6 4.6 3 6.5 6.0 2.9 4 3.2 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hluboka nad Vltavou down, Rokycany across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,282 4. liga - Divizie A matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 4. liga - Divizie A matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.7% of games this season, across 83 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hluboka nad Vltavou at home: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Rokycany away: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.90 goals for Hluboka nad Vltavou, 0.95 for Rokycany. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ROK 0–2 HLU · HLU 1–2 ROK · ROK 1–0 HLU · HLU 2–0 ROK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 4. liga - Divizie A this season · since 12 Sept

HLUBOKA NAD VLTAVOU

WDWDWL3–1 · 2–2 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 1–3

ROKYCANY

LLLWLW0–3 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 5–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Křimice	12	+11	26
2	Petřín Plzeň	12	+8	25
3	Spartak Pribram	11	+19	24
4	Komárov	11	+11	22
5	Hořovicko	12	+5	21
6	Táborsko II	11	+8	19
7	Hluboka nad Vltavou	10	+8	19
8	Spartak Soběslav	11	+6	18
9	Doubravka	11	−1	14
10	Slavoj Český Krumlov	11	−6	13
11	Rokycany	11	−8	13
12	Strakonice	10	−14	7
13	Jiskra Domažlice II	11	−8	6
14	Nyrsko	11	−24	4
15	Milevsko	11	−15	2