Zlín II v Vsetín prediction · 3. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Zlín IIDrawVsetín

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 09:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Zlín II 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Zlín II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Zlín II 49%, draw 23%, Vsetín 28%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Zlín II v VsetínBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Zlín II win49%

Draw23%

Vsetín win28%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 09:30

RoundMSFL · matchday 13

VenueStadion Letna

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Zlín II

Vsetín

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Zlín II	13	−6	15
17	Vsetín	13	−16	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zlín ii winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

49% The market56%

Us49%

~~Market~~56%

We make Zlín II a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Zlín II v Vsetín~~1.77 – 1.29

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 13 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 15 v 10~~13 v 17

~~The market · Zlín II win~~56% · ours 49%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Zlín II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Zlín II win	49%	56%	−7
Draw	23%	23%	0
Vsetín win	28%	21%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	59%	60%	−1
Both teams to score	59%	59%	0
Over 1.5 goals	80%	80%	0
Over 3.5 goals	37%	39%	−2
Zlín II or draw	72%	79%	−7
Zlín II clean sheet	28%	–	–
Vsetín clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 4.9 6.2 4.0 1 8.4 10.6 6.8 3.0 2 7.3 9.2 5.9 2.6 3 4.3 5.4 3.5 4 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Zlín II down, Vsetín across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,632 3. liga - MSFL matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - MSFL matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games this season, across 121 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Zlín II at home: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Vsetín away: 0.67 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.77 goals for Zlín II, 1.29 for Vsetín. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~VSE 1–1 ZLI · ZLI 3–0 VSE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 13 Sept

ZLÍN II

LLLWLL1–4 · 1–3 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 2–4

VSETÍN

WDLWLL3–0 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Líšeň II	13	+17	29
2	Uničov	13	+13	29
3	Frýdek-Místek	14	+10	27
4	Zbrojovka Brno II	14	+8	27
5	Hranice	13	+7	23
6	Sigma Olomouc II	13	+6	22
7	Uherský Brod	14	+1	21
8	Vítkovice	14	0	19
9	Slovácko II	13	+6	18
10	Unie Hlubina	13	+2	18
11	Hodonín	14	+2	17
12	Vrchovina	14	−13	17
13	Zlín II	13	−6	15
14	Karviná II	13	−4	14
15	Havířov	14	−11	11
16	Blansko	14	−14	11
17	Vsetín	13	−16	10
18	Polanka nad Odrou	13	−8	9