Vsetín v Vítkovice prediction · 3. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

VsetínDrawVítkovice

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Vítkovice 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Vítkovice just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Vsetín 35%, draw 25%, Vítkovice 39%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Vsetín v VítkoviceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Vsetín win35%

Draw25%

Vítkovice win39%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundMSFL · matchday 14

VenueFootball pitch Lhota u Vsetina

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vsetín

Vítkovice

14Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL

Last match: 24 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Vítkovice	14	0	19
17	Vsetín	13	−16	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vítkovice winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Vítkovice a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Vsetín v Vítkovice~~1.32 – 1.42

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 19~~17 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vsetín win	35%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Vítkovice win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Vsetín or draw	61%	–	–
Vsetín clean sheet	25%	–	–
Vítkovice clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 6.7 9.3 6.5 3.1 1 8.7 11.9 8.3 4.0 2 5.7 7.8 5.5 2.6 3 2.5 3.5 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vsetín down, Vítkovice across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,632 3. liga - MSFL matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - MSFL matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games this season, across 121 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Vsetín at home: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Vítkovice away: 1.17 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for Vsetín, 1.42 for Vítkovice. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~VIT 1–0 VSE · VSE 3–1 VIT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 13 Sept

VSETÍN

WDLWLL3–0 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 0–1

VÍTKOVICE

DWLLLW0–0 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Líšeň II	13	+17	29
2	Uničov	13	+13	29
3	Frýdek-Místek	14	+10	27
4	Zbrojovka Brno II	14	+8	27
5	Hranice	13	+7	23
6	Sigma Olomouc II	13	+6	22
7	Uherský Brod	14	+1	21
8	Vítkovice	14	0	19
9	Slovácko II	13	+6	18
10	Unie Hlubina	13	+2	18
11	Hodonín	14	+2	17
12	Vrchovina	14	−13	17
13	Zlín II	13	−6	15
14	Karviná II	13	−4	14
15	Havířov	14	−11	11
16	Blansko	14	−14	11
17	Vsetín	13	−16	10
18	Polanka nad Odrou	13	−8	9