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Vrchovina v Havířov
Vrchovina
Havířov3. liga - MSFL · SAT 24 OCT · Stadium Nove Mesto
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Vrchovina win at 47%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Vrchovina was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–24–29
- 1′KICK-OFF Vrchovina v Havířov
- 18′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Vrchovina
- 40′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Havířov
- 45′HALF-TIME Vrchovina 0–0 Havířov
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Vrchovina win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
- 46′SECOND HALF Vrchovina 0–0 Havířov
- 49′🟨 YELLOW · 49' Havířov
- 51′We said Vrchovina at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–40–24
- 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Vrchovina win 37%)
- 54′We said Vrchovina at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–42–24
- 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 34–43–23
- 60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Vrchovina
- 63′We said Vrchovina at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–21
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Havířov · On: D. Macej · Off: P. Srek
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Vrchovina win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Havířov · On: S. Hrabec · Off: L. Matusinsky
- 71′We said Vrchovina at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–59–17
- 73′Vrchovina score on 73′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 84–14–2
- 73′We published Vrchovina at 47%. Our model now makes it 84%. 1–0 · 84–14–2
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Vrchovina · On: T. Duba · Off: P. Stocek
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Vrchovina 1–0 Havířov
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Vrchovina win: 47% at kick-off, 84% now
- 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Vrchovina win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 62%)
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Vrchovina · On: T. Franek · Off: M. Jicha
- 75′We published Vrchovina at 47%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
- 77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Vrchovina
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Vrchovina win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
- 81′We published Vrchovina at 47%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Vrchovina · On: P. Sytar · Off: D. Holec
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Vrchovina · On: K. Hudak · Off: D. Bouchner
- 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Vrchovina
- 84′Vrchovina find the net on 83′. 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 84′We published Vrchovina at 47%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Havířov · On: P. Zdunek · Off: Cadu
- 84′⚽ GOAL · 83' Vrchovina 2–0 Havířov
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Vrchovina win: 47% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Vrchovina · On: M. Voprsal · Off: F. Necas
- 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Vrchovina
- FTFULL TIME Vrchovina 2–0 Havířov
- FTVrchovina 2–0 Havířov · Vrchovina win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Vrchovina are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Vrchovina 47%, draw 24%, Havířov 29%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Vrchovina win47%
Havířov win29%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30
RoundMSFL · matchday 13
VenueStadium Nove Mesto
Match timeline
All events
VrchovinaMIN
HavířovEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Vrchovina
Havířov
Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL
Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Vrchovina a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 48%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vrchovina win | 47% | 42% | +5 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | −1 |
| Havířov win | 29% | 33% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 59% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 62% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 79% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 39% | −5 |
| Vrchovina or draw | 71% | 67% | +4 |
| Vrchovina clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| Havířov clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 12 Sept
VRCHOVINA
HAVÍŘOV
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Líšeň II | 13 | +17 | 29 |
| 2 | Uničov | 13 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 | Zbrojovka Brno II | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 4 | Frýdek-Místek | 13 | +7 | 24 |
| 5 | Hranice | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc II | 13 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 | Slovácko II | 13 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Unie Hlubina | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 | Uherský Brod | 13 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Hodonín | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 11 | Vítkovice | 13 | −2 | 16 |
| 12 | Zlín II | 13 | −6 | 15 |
| 13 | Karviná II | 13 | −4 | 14 |
| 14 | Vrchovina | 13 | −15 | 14 |
| 15 | Havířov | 13 | −9 | 11 |
| 16 | Blansko | 13 | −11 | 11 |
| 17 | Vsetín | 13 | −16 | 10 |
| 18 | Polanka nad Odrou | 13 | −8 | 9 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Líšeň II
Uničov
Zbrojovka Brno II
Frýdek-Místek
Hranice
Sigma Olomouc II
Slovácko II
Unie Hlubina
Uherský Brod
Hodonín
Vítkovice
Zlín II
Karviná II
Blansko
Vsetín
Polanka nad Odrou