Unie Hlubina v Blansko prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26

Unie Hlubina 1–0 Blansko UNIE HLUBINA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Unie Hlubina win~~63%

~~The market said~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.205

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.297

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 21 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Unie Hlubina win at 63%.
1′Much as we predicted: Unie Hlubina was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 63% now. 0–0 · 63–17–20
1′KICK-OFF Unie Hlubina v Blansko
9′🟨 YELLOW · 9' Blansko
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Unie Hlubina win: 63% at kick-off, 53% now
45′We said Unie Hlubina at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 51%. 0–0 · 51–28–21
45′HALF-TIME Unie Hlubina 0–0 Blansko
46′SECOND HALF Unie Hlubina 0–0 Blansko
48′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Unie Hlubina
50′We said Unie Hlubina at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–30–21
55′We expected about 4.2 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 47–33–20
59′We said Unie Hlubina at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–36–20
61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Unie Hlubina win: 63% at kick-off, 43% now
61′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Unie Hlubina · On: R. Dostal · Off: T. Janjus
66′We said Unie Hlubina at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–43–18
66′Unie Hlubina score on 66′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 82–15–3
66′We published Unie Hlubina at 63%. Our model now makes it 82%. 1–0 · 82–15–3
66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Unie Hlubina 1–0 Blansko
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Unie Hlubina win: 63% at kick-off, 82% now
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Unie Hlubina win: 63% at kick-off, 83% now
71′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Blansko · On: E. Moll · Off: O. Stecha
73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Unie Hlubina
74′We published Unie Hlubina at 63%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
74′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Blansko · On: S. Kolarik · Off: M. Toczyski
74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Unie Hlubina · On: P. Pribylka · Off: M. Vladar
76′66′: M. Vladar on the scoresheet for Unie Hlubina, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 86–13–2
77′We published Unie Hlubina at 63%. Our model now makes it 86%. 1–0 · 86–12–1
82′We published Unie Hlubina at 63%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Unie Hlubina win: 63% at kick-off, 93% now
87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Unie Hlubina
89′We published Unie Hlubina at 63%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Blansko
91′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Blansko · On: A. Maroshi · Off: A. Buneta
96′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Unie Hlubina · On: J. Obdrzalek · Off: F. Sotornik
FTFULL TIME Unie Hlubina 1–0 Blansko
FTUnie Hlubina 1–0 Blansko · Unie Hlubina win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Unie Hlubina are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Unie Hlubina 63%, draw 17%, Blansko 20%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 72%.

The AI’s read on Unie Hlubina v BlanskoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Unie Hlubina win63%

Draw17%

Blansko win20%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundMSFL · matchday 12

VenueStadion Hlubina

Line-ups

Unie Hlubina

Blansko

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Unie Hlubina

Blansko

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Unie Hlubina	12	+1	15
15	Blansko	12	−10	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Unie Hlubina

Formation not confirmed

5 Z. Celta

6 J. Nevrela

9 M. Vladar

11 F. Sotornik

12 T. Janjus

16 D. Opatril

18 D. Skopal

20 A. Bednar

22 J. Fabianek

23 O. Jurcak

25 A. Fabisz

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · T. Preisner

2 · P. Pribylka

10 · R. Dostal

15 · D. Berek

17 · N. Gancarczyk

19 · J. Obdrzalek

Blansko

Formation not confirmed

3 O. Hublik

4 I. Shlaban

5 P. Volny

8 F. Kocurek

11 A. Plichta

12 M. Toczyski

15 A. Buneta

19 O. Stecha

21 D. Peska

22 D. Rudyk

30 P. Nesetril

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · M. Hlozanek

9 · A. Maroshi

10 · S. Kolarik

14 · E. Moll

16 · S. Viktorin

18 · L. Lahodny

37 · P. Sip

Our number · unie hlubina winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:08 · locked at kick-off

63% The market56%

Us63%

~~Market~~56%

We make Unie Hlubina a 63% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.7–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Unie Hlubina v Blansko~~2.74 – 1.51

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 5 Sept~~W0 D3 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 11~~10 v 15

~~The market · Unie Hlubina win~~56% · ours 63%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Unie Hlubina win The market, margin stripped

Published at 64%, 63% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Unie Hlubina win	63%	56%	+7
Draw	17%	22%	−5
Blansko win	20%	22%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	79%	68%	+11
Both teams to score	72%	66%	+6
Over 1.5 goals	92%	86%	+6
Over 3.5 goals	61%	48%	+13
Unie Hlubina or draw	80%	78%	+2
Unie Hlubina clean sheet	23%	–	–
Blansko clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.9%

0123450 2.3 1 4.1 6.1 4.5 2.3 2 5.4 7.9 5.9 3.0 3 4.8 7.1 5.3 2.7 4 3.3 4.8 3.6 5 2.7 2.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Unie Hlubina down, Blansko across0–5 goals a side shown (92.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,620 3. liga - MSFL matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - MSFL matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.1% of games this season, across 109 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 4.25 goals a meeting; 4 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Unie Hlubina at home: 2.67 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Blansko away: 1.83 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.74 goals for Unie Hlubina, 1.51 for Blansko. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~4.25

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~BLA 2–4 UNI · UNI 0–4 BLA · BLA 1–3 UNI · UNI 1–2 BLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 5 Sept

UNIE HLUBINA

DDDLLL1–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 1–4 · 2–5

BLANSKO

LDWLDW1–4 · 0–0 · 5–3 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Líšeň II	12	+16	26
2	Uničov	12	+12	26
3	Zbrojovka Brno II	12	+8	24
4	Hranice	13	+7	23
5	Frýdek-Místek	12	+6	21
6	Sigma Olomouc II	12	+4	19
7	Slovácko II	12	+7	18
8	Hodonín	12	+4	17
9	Vítkovice	13	−2	16
10	Unie Hlubina	12	+1	15
11	Uherský Brod	12	−4	15
12	Zlín II	12	−4	15
13	Karviná II	12	−2	14
14	Vrchovina	12	−11	14
15	Blansko	12	−10	11
16	Vsetín	12	−15	10
17	Polanka nad Odrou	12	−6	9
18	Havířov	12	−11	8