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Uničov v Hodonín
Uničov
Hodonín3. liga - MSFL · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Uničov win at 43%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Uničov was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–24–33
- 1′KICK-OFF Uničov v Hodonín
- 5′🟨 YELLOW · 5' Hodonín
- 23′Uničov score on 23′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–19–12
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Uničov 1–0 Hodonín
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Uničov win: 43% at kick-off, 69% now
- 24′We published Uničov at 43%. Our model now makes it 69%. 1–0 · 69–19–12
- 26′24′: A. Cerven on the scoresheet for Uničov, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–20–11
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 69–20–11
- 31′We published Uničov at 43%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–11
- 36′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Hodonín
- 39′Uničov find the net on 38′. 2–0. 2–0 · 91–7–2
- 39′We published Uničov at 43%. Our model now makes it 91%. 2–0 · 91–7–2
- 39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Uničov 2–0 Hodonín
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Uničov win: 43% at kick-off, 91% now
- 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Uničov
- 45′HALF-TIME Uničov 2–1 Hodonín
- 46′A goal for Hodonín on 45′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 72–20–8
- 46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Uničov 2–1 Hodonín
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Uničov win: 43% at kick-off, 72% now
- 46′SECOND HALF Uničov 2–1 Hodonín
- 47′That is 3, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 72–20–8
- 53′Hodonín score on 53′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 32–42–26
- 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Uničov 2–2 Hodonín
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Uničov win: 43% at kick-off, 32% now
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Uničov win 32%)
- 54′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 32–42–26
- 55′We said Uničov at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 2–2 · 31–43–26
- 59′Hodonín find the net on 59′. 2–3. 2–3 · 7–22–70
- 59′We said Uničov at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 2–3 · 7–22–70
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Uničov 2–3 Hodonín
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Uničov win: 43% at kick-off, 7% now
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Hodonín win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 22%)
- 60′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 7–22–71
- 60′We said Uničov at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–47–24
- 60′GOAL DISALLOWED · 60' Hodonín
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Uničov win: 43% at kick-off, 29% now
- 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Hodonín win 24%)
- 69′We said Uničov at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–56–20
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Uničov win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
- 73′Uničov find the net on 73′. 3–2. 3–2 · 83–15–2
- 73′We published Uničov at 43%. Our model now makes it 83%. 3–2 · 83–15–2
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Uničov 3–2 Hodonín
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Uničov win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
- 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Uničov win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 15%)
- 76′We published Uničov at 43%. Our model now makes it 85%. 3–2 · 85–14–2
- 80′Uničov ahead on 72′ through J. Ambrozek. 3–2. 3–2 · 88–11–1
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Uničov · On: D. Grecmal · Off: J. Vichta
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Hodonín · On: P. Svantner · Off: P. Durek
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Uničov win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
- 88′We published Uničov at 43%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Hodonín · On: M. Lamacek · Off: D. Jambor
- FTFULL TIME Uničov 3–2 Hodonín
- FTUničov 3–2 Hodonín · Uničov win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Uničov are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Uničov 43%, draw 24%, Hodonín 33%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Uničov win43%
Hodonín win33%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 09:15
RoundMSFL · matchday 12
Match timeline
All events
UničovMIN
HodonínEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Uničov
Hodonín
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Uničov
Hodonín
Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL
Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Uničov
Formation not confirmed
4 V. Spatenka
5 M. Beran
6 J. Svoboda
7 M. Hausknecht
8 J. Ambrozek
9 J. Vichta
10 T. Komenda
11 M. Vybiral
12 A. Cerven
20 M. Vanak
24 V. Koutny
Coach · –
Substitutes
13 · V. Werani
14 · D. Grecmal
15 · J. Suchanek
16 · M. Ptacnik
17 · D. Syrucek
72 · J. Kvapil
Hodonín
Formation not confirmed
2 P. Durek
6 A. Koci
8 L. Pernica
9 M. Dolnik
10 T. Jager
11 A. Dunda
14 P. Bohun
16 D. Jambor
17 F. Grabl
19 J. Kalabiska
20 M. Chropovsky
Coach · Pavol Svantner
Substitutes
4 · T. Vincour
7 · P. Svantner
12 · M. Novotny
15 · V. Perina
18 · P. Sehnal
22 · M. Lamacek
1 · T. Odraska
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Uničov
Formation not confirmed
4 V. Spatenka
5 M. Beran
6 J. Svoboda
7 M. Hausknecht
8 J. Ambrozek
9 J. Vichta
10 T. Komenda
11 M. Vybiral
12 A. Cerven
20 M. Vanak
24 V. Koutny
Coach · –
Substitutes
13 · V. Werani
14 · D. Grecmal
15 · J. Suchanek
16 · M. Ptacnik
17 · D. Syrucek
72 · J. Kvapil
Hodonín
Formation not confirmed
2 P. Durek
6 A. Koci
8 L. Pernica
9 M. Dolnik
10 T. Jager
11 A. Dunda
14 P. Bohun
16 D. Jambor
17 F. Grabl
19 J. Kalabiska
20 M. Chropovsky
Coach · Pavol Svantner
Substitutes
4 · T. Vincour
7 · P. Svantner
12 · M. Novotny
15 · V. Perina
18 · P. Sehnal
22 · M. Lamacek
1 · T. Odraska
We make Uničov a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uničov win | 43% | 47% | −4 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | −1 |
| Hodonín win | 33% | 28% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 56% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 58% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 77% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 35% | −1 |
| Uničov or draw | 67% | 72% | −5 |
| Uničov clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Hodonín clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 5 Sept
UNIČOV
HODONÍN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Líšeň II | 13 | +17 | 29 |
| 2 | Uničov | 12 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 | Zbrojovka Brno II | 12 | +8 | 24 |
| 4 | Frýdek-Místek | 13 | +7 | 24 |
| 5 | Hranice | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc II | 12 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 | Slovácko II | 13 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Unie Hlubina | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 | Uherský Brod | 13 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Hodonín | 12 | +4 | 17 |
| 11 | Vítkovice | 13 | −2 | 16 |
| 12 | Zlín II | 12 | −4 | 15 |
| 13 | Karviná II | 12 | −2 | 14 |
| 14 | Vrchovina | 13 | −15 | 14 |
| 15 | Blansko | 13 | −11 | 11 |
| 16 | Vsetín | 13 | −16 | 10 |
| 17 | Polanka nad Odrou | 12 | −6 | 9 |
| 18 | Havířov | 12 | −11 | 8 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Líšeň II
Zbrojovka Brno II
Frýdek-Místek
Hranice
Sigma Olomouc II
Slovácko II
Unie Hlubina
Uherský Brod
Vítkovice
Zlín II
Karviná II
Vrchovina
Blansko
Vsetín
Polanka nad Odrou
Havířov