Slovácko II v Uničov prediction · 3. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Slovácko IIDrawUničov

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 09:15

Before kick-off · Match result · Uničov 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Uničov are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Slovácko II 33%, draw 24%, Uničov 42%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Slovácko II v UničovBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Slovácko II win33%

Draw24%

Uničov win42%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 09:15

RoundMSFL · matchday 13

VenueStadion Na Belince

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Slovácko II

Uničov

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Uničov	13	+13	29
7	Slovácko II	13	+6	18

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · uničov winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

42% The market37%

Us42%

~~Market~~37%

We make Uničov a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.6.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Slovácko II v Uničov~~1.34 – 1.55

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 18 v 29~~7 v 2

~~The market · Uničov win~~37% · ours 42%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Uničov win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Slovácko II win	33%	37%	−4
Draw	24%	25%	−1
Uničov win	42%	37%	+5
Over 2.5 goals	55%	58%	−3
Both teams to score	57%	61%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	78%	79%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	33%	37%	−4
Slovácko II or draw	58%	63%	−5
Slovácko II clean sheet	22%	–	–
Uničov clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 5.8 8.8 6.7 3.5 1 7.6 11.3 8.7 4.5 2 5.0 7.6 5.8 3.0 3 2.3 3.4 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Slovácko II down, Uničov across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,628 3. liga - MSFL matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - MSFL matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.6% of games this season, across 117 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Slovácko II at home: 2.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Uničov away: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.34 goals for Slovácko II, 1.55 for Uničov. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~UNI 3–1 SLO · SLO 0–2 UNI · UNI 1–1 SLO · SLO 4–1 UNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 13 Sept

SLOVÁCKO II

WDLLWL3–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 5–2 · 1–2

UNIČOV

DWWWWW1–1 · 4–3 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 4–0 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Líšeň II	13	+17	29
2	Uničov	13	+13	29
3	Zbrojovka Brno II	13	+10	27
4	Frýdek-Místek	13	+7	24
5	Hranice	13	+7	23
6	Sigma Olomouc II	13	+6	22
7	Slovácko II	13	+6	18
8	Unie Hlubina	13	+2	18
9	Uherský Brod	13	0	18
10	Hodonín	13	+3	17
11	Vítkovice	13	−2	16
12	Zlín II	13	−6	15
13	Karviná II	13	−4	14
14	Vrchovina	13	−15	14
15	Havířov	13	−9	11
16	Blansko	13	−11	11
17	Vsetín	13	−16	10
18	Polanka nad Odrou	13	−8	9