Polanka nad Odrou v Uherský Brod prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

Polanka nad Odrou 4–0 Uherský Brod UHERSKÝ BROD WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Uherský Brod win~~43%

~~The market said~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.724

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.885

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 34 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Uherský Brod win at 43%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Uherský Brod 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 31–25–43
3′Little has changed for our model: Uherský Brod 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 31–26–43
22′Polanka nad Odrou ahead on 9′ through G. Elekana. 1–0. 1–0 · 60–23–17
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Uherský Brod win: 43% at kick-off, 17% now
23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Polanka nad Odrou win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Uherský Brod win 17%)
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Uherský Brod win: 43% at kick-off, 43% now
23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Uherský Brod win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Polanka nad Odrou win 31%)
24′A goal for Polanka nad Odrou on 23′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 84–11–5
24′⚽ GOAL · 23' Polanka nad Odrou 2–0 Uherský Brod
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Uherský Brod win: 43% at kick-off, 17% now
24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Polanka nad Odrou win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Uherský Brod win 17%)
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Uherský Brod win: 43% at kick-off, 43% now
24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Uherský Brod win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Polanka nad Odrou win 31%)
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Uherský Brod win: 43% at kick-off, 5% now
24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Polanka nad Odrou win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Uherský Brod win 5%)
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Uherský Brod win: 43% at kick-off, 5% now
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Uherský Brod win: 43% at kick-off, 17% now
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Uherský Brod win: 43% at kick-off, 17% now
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Uherský Brod win: 43% at kick-off, 5% now
35′SUBSTITUTION · 31' Polanka nad Odrou · On: A. Roncka · Off: V. Ehibe
40′Polanka nad Odrou ahead on 9′ through G. Elekana. 1–0. 1–0 · 64–24–12
42′Polanka nad Odrou ahead on 9′ through G. Elekana. 1–0. 1–0 · 64–24–12
44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Polanka nad Odrou 2–0 Uherský Brod
45′HALF-TIME Polanka nad Odrou 2–0 Uherský Brod
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Uherský Brod win: 43% at kick-off, 12% now
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Polanka nad Odrou win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Uherský Brod win 12%)
46′SECOND HALF Polanka nad Odrou 2–0 Uherský Brod
52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Polanka nad Odrou
62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Polanka nad Odrou
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Polanka nad Odrou 3–0 Uherský Brod
68′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Polanka nad Odrou · On: A. Bharti · Off: G. Elekana
68′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Polanka nad Odrou · On: L. Krejci · Off: A. Sochor
68′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Uherský Brod · On: J. Janus · Off: D. Janco Corrected
77′⚽ GOAL · 76' Polanka nad Odrou 4–0 Uherský Brod
78′⚽ GOAL · 76' Polanka nad Odrou 4–0 Uherský Brod
83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Uherský Brod
85′🟨 YELLOW · 82' D. Fancovic · Uherský Brod
86′🟨 YELLOW · 82' D. Fancovic · Uherský Brod
90′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Polanka nad Odrou
FTFULL TIME Polanka nad Odrou 4–0 Uherský Brod
FTPolanka nad Odrou 4–0 Uherský Brod · Uherský Brod win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Polanka nad Odrou win31%

Draw25%

Uherský Brod win43%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

VenueStadium Polanka nad Odrou

Line-ups

Polanka nad Odrou

Uherský Brod

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Polanka nad Odrou

Uherský Brod

7Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Uherský Brod	11	0	15
17	Polanka nad Odrou	11	−10	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Polanka nad Odrou

Formation not confirmed

7 G. Elekana

10 J. Blatny

11 L. Levcik

13 K. Michlik

14 V. Ehibe

17 D. Sikora

26 M. Andrle

27 J. Mikulenka

28 A. Sochor

44 R. Coufal

96 O. Kolenko

Coach · –

Substitutes

3 · A. Bharti

8 · A. Roncka

12 · M. Kysely

18 · A. Bitta

19 · F. Stanek

20 · M. Ayornor

37 · L. Krejci

Uherský Brod

Formation not confirmed

5 S. Chwaszcz

8 D. Janco

9 T. Jelecek

10 D. Cervinka

11 M. Mancik

12 L. Hrdlicka

16 R. Matejov

17 M. Flasar

19 D. Fancovic

21 T. Matousek

73 R. Hodal

Coach · –

Substitutes

6 · M. Lorenc

14 · M. Novotny

15 · M. Leskovjan

20 · V. Mazuryk

22 · J. Janus

25 · S. Kubovic

32 · R. Hlobil

Our number · uherský brod winPublished 11 Oct 14:09

43% The market51%

Us43%

~~Market~~51%

We make Uherský Brod a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.5.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · uherský brod win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Polanka nad Odrou win	31%	25%	+7
Draw	25%	25%	0
Uherský Brod win	43%	51%	−7
Over 2.5 goals	52%	55%	−4
Both teams to score	55%	57%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	76%	77%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	30%	34%	−4
Polanka nad Odrou or draw	57%	49%	+7
Polanka nad Odrou clean sheet	23%	–	–
Uherský Brod clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 6.7 9.7 7.3 3.7 1 8.0 11.8 8.7 4.4 2 5.0 7.2 5.4 2.7 3 2.1 3.1 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Polanka nad Odrou down, Uherský Brod across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,614 3. liga - MSFL matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - MSFL matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.4% of games this season, across 103 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Polanka nad Odrou at home: 0.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Uherský Brod away: 1.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.24 goals for Polanka nad Odrou, 1.51 for Uherský Brod. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL

POLANKA NAD ODROU

DLLDWL1–1 · 1–3 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–3

UHERSKÝ BROD

DDLLWD1–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 3–4 · 2–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Uničov	12	+12	26
2	Líšeň II	11	+16	25
3	Zbrojovka Brno II	11	+8	23
4	Frýdek-Místek	12	+6	21
5	Sigma Olomouc II	11	+7	19
6	Hranice	11	+5	17
7	Hodonín	12	+4	17
8	Vítkovice	12	−1	16
9	Unie Hlubina	11	+4	15
10	Slovácko II	11	+4	15
11	Uherský Brod	11	0	15
12	Zlín II	11	−3	15
13	Karviná II	12	−2	14
14	Vrchovina	12	−11	14
15	Blansko	12	−10	11
16	Vsetín	12	−15	10
17	Polanka nad Odrou	11	−10	6
18	Havířov	11	−14	5