Polanka nad Odrou v Sigma Olomouc II prediction · 3. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Polanka nad OdrouDrawSigma Olomouc II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Sigma Olomouc II 61%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sigma Olomouc II are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Polanka nad Odrou 18%, draw 21%, Sigma Olomouc II 61%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Polanka nad Odrou v Sigma Olomouc IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Polanka nad Odrou win18%

Draw21%

Sigma Olomouc II win61%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30

RoundMSFL · matchday 13

VenueStadium Polanka nad Odrou

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Polanka nad Odrou

Sigma Olomouc II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Sigma Olomouc II	13	+6	22
18	Polanka nad Odrou	13	−8	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sigma olomouc ii winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

61% The market60%

Us61%

~~Market~~60%

We make Sigma Olomouc II a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 0.9–1.9.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Polanka nad Odrou v Sigma Olomouc II~~0.92 – 1.94

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 9 v 22~~18 v 6

~~The market · Sigma Olomouc II win~~60% · ours 61%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Sigma Olomouc II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 60% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Polanka nad Odrou win	18%	19%	−1
Draw	21%	21%	0
Sigma Olomouc II win	61%	60%	+1
Over 2.5 goals	54%	61%	−7
Both teams to score	51%	57%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	77%	82%	−5
Over 3.5 goals	32%	40%	−8
Polanka nad Odrou or draw	39%	40%	−1
Polanka nad Odrou clean sheet	15%	–	–
Sigma Olomouc II clean sheet	40%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 11.3%

0123450 6.0 11.3 10.7 6.9 3.4 1 5.4 10.0 9.6 6.2 3.1 2 2.5 4.7 4.4 2.8 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Polanka nad Odrou down, Sigma Olomouc II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,628 3. liga - MSFL matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - MSFL matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.6% of games this season, across 117 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Polanka nad Odrou at home: 0.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Sigma Olomouc II away: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.92 goals for Polanka nad Odrou, 1.94 for Sigma Olomouc II. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SIG 3–0 POL · POL 0–3 SIG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 13 Sept

POLANKA NAD ODROU

LDWLWL0–3 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 4–0 · 1–3

SIGMA OLOMOUC II

DWLWLW1–1 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Líšeň II	13	+17	29
2	Uničov	13	+13	29
3	Zbrojovka Brno II	13	+10	27
4	Frýdek-Místek	13	+7	24
5	Hranice	13	+7	23
6	Sigma Olomouc II	13	+6	22
7	Slovácko II	13	+6	18
8	Unie Hlubina	13	+2	18
9	Uherský Brod	13	0	18
10	Hodonín	13	+3	17
11	Vítkovice	13	−2	16
12	Zlín II	13	−6	15
13	Karviná II	13	−4	14
14	Vrchovina	13	−15	14
15	Havířov	13	−9	11
16	Blansko	13	−11	11
17	Vsetín	13	−16	10
18	Polanka nad Odrou	13	−8	9