Líšeň II v Unie Hlubina prediction · 3. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Líšeň IIDrawUnie Hlubina

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Líšeň II 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Líšeň II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Líšeň II 54%, draw 23%, Unie Hlubina 23%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Líšeň II v Unie HlubinaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Líšeň II win54%

Draw23%

Unie Hlubina win23%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:30

RoundMSFL · matchday 13

VenueStadium SK Lisen

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Líšeň II

Unie Hlubina

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · líšeň ii winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

54% The market69%

Us54%

~~Market~~69%

We make Líšeň II a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 69%. We are 15 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Líšeň II v Unie Hlubina~~1.85 – 1.13

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D4 L0 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 29 v 18~~1 v 8

~~The market · Líšeň II win~~69% · ours 54%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Líšeň II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 69% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Líšeň II win	54%	69%	−15
Draw	23%	18%	+5
Unie Hlubina win	23%	12%	+11
Over 2.5 goals	57%	65%	−8
Both teams to score	56%	55%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	79%	83%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	35%	44%	−9
Líšeň II or draw	77%	88%	−11
Líšeň II clean sheet	33%	–	–
Unie Hlubina clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.4%

0123450 5.4 5.9 3.3 1 9.6 10.4 5.8 2.2 2 8.7 9.5 5.3 2.0 3 5.4 5.9 3.3 4 2.5 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Líšeň II down, Unie Hlubina across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,628 3. liga - MSFL matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - MSFL matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.6% of games this season, across 117 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

Líšeň II at home: 2.00 scored, 0.40 conceded a game (last 5). Unie Hlubina away: 2.00 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.85 goals for Líšeň II, 1.13 for Unie Hlubina. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 13 Sept

LÍŠEŇ II

WDDDDW4–1 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

UNIE HLUBINA

DDLLLW0–0 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 1–4 · 2–5 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Líšeň II	13	+17	29
2	Uničov	13	+13	29
3	Zbrojovka Brno II	13	+10	27
4	Frýdek-Místek	13	+7	24
5	Hranice	13	+7	23
6	Sigma Olomouc II	13	+6	22
7	Slovácko II	13	+6	18
8	Unie Hlubina	13	+2	18
9	Uherský Brod	13	0	18
10	Hodonín	13	+3	17
11	Vítkovice	13	−2	16
12	Zlín II	13	−6	15
13	Karviná II	13	−4	14
14	Vrchovina	13	−15	14
15	Havířov	13	−9	11
16	Blansko	13	−11	11
17	Vsetín	13	−16	10
18	Polanka nad Odrou	13	−8	9