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Hranice v Vítkovice
Hranice
Vítkovice3. liga - MSFL · FRI 16 OCT · Stadion SK Hranice
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Hranice win at 37%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Hranice 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–27–36
- 1′KICK-OFF Hranice v Vítkovice
- 34′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Vítkovice
- 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Hranice win 32%)
- 39′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Vítkovice
- 41′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Hranice
- 45′SECOND HALF Hranice 0–0 Vítkovice
- 46′HALF-TIME Hranice 0–0 Vítkovice
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Hranice win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 27–47–26
- 55′We said Hranice at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–21–6
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Hranice 1–0 Vítkovice
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Hranice win: 37% at kick-off, 74% now
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Hranice win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 21%)
- 56′A goal for Hranice on 55′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 74–20–6
- 58′We said Hranice at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–5
- 61′V. Vozak scores for Hranice on 56′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 76–19–4
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Hranice win: 37% at kick-off, 77% now
- 63′We said Hranice at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–54–23
- 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Hranice 1–1 Vítkovice
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Hranice win: 37% at kick-off, 23% now
- 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Hranice win 23%)
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Vítkovice · On: D. Zajac · Off: M. Klauco
- 64′Vítkovice score on 63′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 23–55–22
- 64′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–1 · 23–55–22
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Vítkovice · On: J. Drozd · Off: J. Graclik
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Vítkovice · On: D. Prepsl · Off: M. Svach
- 66′64′: D. Zajac on the scoresheet for Vítkovice, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 22–57–21
- 70′We said Hranice at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–61–19
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Hranice · On: F. McMunn · Off: V. Vozak
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Hranice · On: M. Hanzelka · Off: D. Kolacek
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Hranice win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
- 73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Hranice
- 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Hranice
- 77′We said Hranice at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–72–14
- 82′We said Hranice at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 82′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Hranice 2–1 Vítkovice
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Hranice win: 37% at kick-off, 90% now
- 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Hranice win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 9%)
- 83′Hranice find the net on 82′. 2–1. 2–1 · 91–8–0
- 87′Hranice ahead on 84′ through S. Studeny. 2–1. 2–1 · 94–6–0
- 88′We said Hranice at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Vítkovice · On: M. Hloch · Off: H. Homann
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Vítkovice · On: L. Raab · Off: J. Jonathan
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Hranice win: 37% at kick-off, 97% now
- 92′2–1 at the end. Our 37% on Hranice comes in. 2–1 · 100–0–0
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Hranice · On: J. Michalik · Off: J. Kiska
- FTFULL TIME Hranice 2–1 Vítkovice
- FTHranice 2–1 Vítkovice · Hranice win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassClose to call, with Hranice just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Hranice 37%, draw 27%, Vítkovice 36%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Hranice win37%
Vítkovice win36%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 16:00
RoundMSFL · matchday 12
VenueStadion SK Hranice
Match timeline
All events
HraniceMIN
VítkoviceEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Hranice
Vítkovice
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Hranice
Vítkovice
Last match: 11 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL
Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Hranice
Formation not confirmed
1 J. Tomecka
9 M. Machalek
11 J. Kiska
14 A. Podesva
16 D. Kolacek
17 M. Zednicek
18 J. Coufal
19 V. Lasak
21 S. Studeny
22 V. Vozak
23 M. Vymetalik
Coach · –
Substitutes
2 · F. McMunn
5 · T. Cap
7 · M. Hanzelka
8 · M. Pecena
10 · A. Jasensky
20 · J. Michalik
24 · A. Kudela
– · F. Zdansky
Vítkovice
Formation not confirmed
1 T. Keller
2 J. Galik
3 O. Kamara
7 T. Nieslanik
11 M. Svach
12 J. Jonathan
15 M. Klauco
18 H. Homann
21 P. Diatta
27 J. Graclik
33 P. Honig
Coach · –
Substitutes
8 · J. Drozd
10 · P. Jurasek
16 · M. Hloch
19 · D. Zajac
20 · D. Prepsl
29 · L. Raab
30 · S. Magnus
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Hranice
Formation not confirmed
1 J. Tomecka
9 M. Machalek
11 J. Kiska
14 A. Podesva
16 D. Kolacek
17 M. Zednicek
18 J. Coufal
19 V. Lasak
21 S. Studeny
22 V. Vozak
23 M. Vymetalik
Coach · –
Substitutes
2 · F. McMunn
5 · T. Cap
7 · M. Hanzelka
8 · M. Pecena
10 · A. Jasensky
20 · J. Michalik
24 · A. Kudela
– · F. Zdansky
Vítkovice
Formation not confirmed
1 T. Keller
2 J. Galik
3 O. Kamara
7 T. Nieslanik
11 M. Svach
12 J. Jonathan
15 M. Klauco
18 H. Homann
21 P. Diatta
27 J. Graclik
33 P. Honig
Coach · –
Substitutes
8 · J. Drozd
10 · P. Jurasek
16 · M. Hloch
19 · D. Zajac
20 · D. Prepsl
29 · L. Raab
30 · S. Magnus
We make Hranice a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 34%, 37% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hranice win | 37% | 36% | +1 |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 0 |
| Vítkovice win | 36% | 37% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 49% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 54% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 72% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 28% | −3 |
| Hranice or draw | 64% | 63% | +1 |
| Hranice clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| Vítkovice clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 5 Sept
HRANICE
VÍTKOVICE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Líšeň II | 12 | +16 | 26 |
| 2 | Uničov | 12 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 | Zbrojovka Brno II | 12 | +8 | 24 |
| 4 | Frýdek-Místek | 12 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 | Hranice | 12 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc II | 12 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 | Slovácko II | 12 | +7 | 18 |
| 8 | Hodonín | 12 | +4 | 17 |
| 9 | Vítkovice | 12 | −1 | 16 |
| 10 | Unie Hlubina | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Uherský Brod | 12 | −4 | 15 |
| 12 | Zlín II | 12 | −4 | 15 |
| 13 | Karviná II | 12 | −2 | 14 |
| 14 | Vrchovina | 12 | −11 | 14 |
| 15 | Blansko | 12 | −10 | 11 |
| 16 | Vsetín | 12 | −15 | 10 |
| 17 | Polanka nad Odrou | 12 | −6 | 9 |
| 18 | Havířov | 12 | −11 | 8 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Líšeň II
Uničov
Zbrojovka Brno II
Frýdek-Místek
Sigma Olomouc II
Slovácko II
Hodonín
Unie Hlubina
Uherský Brod
Zlín II
Karviná II
Vrchovina
Blansko
Vsetín
Polanka nad Odrou
Havířov