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Hodonín v Uherský Brod
Hodonín
Uherský Brod3. liga - MSFL · SAT 24 OCT · Stadion U Cervenych domku
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Hodonín win at 62%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Hodonín was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 61–20–19
- 1′KICK-OFF Hodonín v Uherský Brod
- 31′Uherský Brod find the net on 31′. 0–1. 0–1 · 28–26–46
- 31′We said Hodonín at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–1 · 28–26–46
- 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Hodonín 0–1 Uherský Brod
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Hodonín win: 62% at kick-off, 28% now
- 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Uherský Brod win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Hodonín win 54%)
- 32′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 27–26–46
- 39′We said Hodonín at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–27–49
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Hodonín win: 62% at kick-off, 22% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Hodonín 0–1 Uherský Brod
- 47′SECOND HALF Hodonín 0–1 Uherský Brod
- 49′We said Hodonín at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–28–53
- 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hodonín · On: M. Dolnik · Off: A. Koci
- 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hodonín · On: F. Grabl · Off: P. Svantner
- 58′We said Hodonín at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–28–58
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Hodonín win: 62% at kick-off, 12% now
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Uherský Brod · On: V. Mazuryk · Off: M. Mancik
- 67′We said Hodonín at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–26–65
- 74′Uherský Brod score on 74′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 5–23–72
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Hodonín 1–2 Uherský Brod
- 76′71′: D. Cervinka on the scoresheet for Uherský Brod, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 4–21–75
- 76′We said Hodonín at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–75
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Hodonín · On: P. Sehnal · Off: P. Durek
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Hodonín win: 62% at kick-off, 2% now
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Hodonín · On: M. Novotny · Off: T. Vincour
- 89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Uherský Brod
- 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Uherský Brod
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Hodonín · On: M. Lamacek · Off: D. Jambor
- 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Hodonín
- 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Uherský Brod
- FTFULL TIME Hodonín 1–2 Uherský Brod
- FTHodonín 1–2 Uherský Brod · Hodonín win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Hodonín are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Hodonín 62%, draw 19%, Uherský Brod 19%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Hodonín win62%
Uherský Brod win19%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30
RoundMSFL · matchday 13
VenueStadion U Cervenych domku
Match timeline
All events
HodonínMIN
Uherský BrodEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Hodonín
Uherský Brod
Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL
Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Hodonín a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.3–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hodonín win | 62% | 58% | +4 |
| Draw | 19% | 22% | −3 |
| Uherský Brod win | 19% | 20% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 60% | +6 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 58% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 81% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 40% | +4 |
| Hodonín or draw | 81% | 80% | +1 |
| Hodonín clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Uherský Brod clean sheet | 11% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 12 Sept
HODONÍN
UHERSKÝ BROD
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Líšeň II | 13 | +17 | 29 |
| 2 | Uničov | 13 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 | Zbrojovka Brno II | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 4 | Frýdek-Místek | 13 | +7 | 24 |
| 5 | Hranice | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc II | 13 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 | Slovácko II | 13 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Unie Hlubina | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 | Uherský Brod | 13 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Hodonín | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 11 | Vítkovice | 13 | −2 | 16 |
| 12 | Zlín II | 13 | −6 | 15 |
| 13 | Karviná II | 13 | −4 | 14 |
| 14 | Vrchovina | 13 | −15 | 14 |
| 15 | Havířov | 13 | −9 | 11 |
| 16 | Blansko | 13 | −11 | 11 |
| 17 | Vsetín | 13 | −16 | 10 |
| 18 | Polanka nad Odrou | 13 | −8 | 9 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Líšeň II
Uničov
Zbrojovka Brno II
Frýdek-Místek
Hranice
Sigma Olomouc II
Slovácko II
Unie Hlubina
Vítkovice
Zlín II
Karviná II
Vrchovina
Havířov
Blansko
Vsetín
Polanka nad Odrou