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Frýdek-Místek v Slovácko II
Frýdek-Místek
Slovácko II3. liga - MSFL · SAT 17 OCT · Stadion Stovky
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Frýdek-Místek win at 50%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Frýdek-Místek was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–25–26
- 1′KICK-OFF Frýdek-Místek v Slovácko II
- 5′Frýdek-Místek find the net on 4′. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–16–10
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 4' Frýdek-Místek 1–0 Slovácko II
- 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Frýdek-Místek win: 50% at kick-off, 74% now
- 6′We published Frýdek-Místek at 50%. Our model now makes it 74%. 1–0 · 74–16–10
- 8′Frýdek-Místek ahead on 5′ through M. Opeyemi. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–16–9
- 9′We published Frýdek-Místek at 50%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–16–9
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 76–17–7
- 45′HALF-TIME Frýdek-Místek 1–0 Slovácko II
- 46′SECOND HALF Frýdek-Místek 1–0 Slovácko II
- 57′We published Frýdek-Místek at 50%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Frýdek-Místek win: 50% at kick-off, 80% now
- 59′A goal for Slovácko II on 59′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 32–48–20
- 59′We said Frýdek-Místek at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 32–48–20
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Frýdek-Místek 1–1 Slovácko II
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Frýdek-Místek win: 50% at kick-off, 32% now
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Frýdek-Místek win 32%)
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Frýdek-Místek win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
- 64′We said Frýdek-Místek at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–53–18
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Slovácko II · On: A. Markov · Off: M. Cicha
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Frýdek-Místek · On: J. Meca · Off: S. Charles
- 71′We said Frýdek-Místek at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–61–15
- 75′S. Olayiwola scores for Slovácko II on 59′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 20–67–13
- 75′We said Frýdek-Místek at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 1–1 · 20–67–13
- 75′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–1 · 20–67–13
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Frýdek-Místek win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
- 75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Slovácko II
- 76′We said Frýdek-Místek at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–68–12
- 81′We said Frýdek-Místek at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–78–9
- 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Frýdek-Místek
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Slovácko II · On: R. Horny · Off: T. Tichanek
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Frýdek-Místek win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
- 85′We said Frýdek-Místek at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
- 91′We said Frýdek-Místek at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
- 93′Frýdek-Místek score on 90′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 98–2–0
- 93′We published Frýdek-Místek at 50%. Our model now makes it 98%. 2–1 · 98–2–0
- 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Frýdek-Místek 2–1 Slovácko II
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Frýdek-Místek win: 50% at kick-off, 98% now
- 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Frýdek-Místek win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
- 94′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 99–1–0
- FTFULL TIME Frýdek-Místek 2–1 Slovácko II
- FTFrýdek-Místek 2–1 Slovácko II · Frýdek-Místek win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassFrýdek-Místek are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Frýdek-Místek 50%, draw 25%, Slovácko II 26%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Frýdek-Místek win50%
Slovácko II win26%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30
RoundMSFL · matchday 12
VenueStadion Stovky
Match timeline
All events
Frýdek-MístekMIN
Slovácko IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Frýdek-Místek
Slovácko II
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Frýdek-Místek
Slovácko II
Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL
Last match: 11 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Frýdek-Místek
Formation not confirmed
3 F. Sami
4 J. Massaniec
5 M. Velner
6 S. Charles
8 D. Kedron
10 J. Heller
15 D. Bialek
18 M. Opeyemi
19 T. Hykel
20 A. Gorcica
29 K. Lasak
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · J. Martinak
7 · D. Konecny
9 · D. Dluhos
11 · T. Kohut
12 · J. Meca
14 · D. Mladek
16 · M. Guzik
Slovácko II
Formation not confirmed
31 A. Urban
7 L. Novotny
11 M. Uhrovic
14 S. Olayiwola
15 A. Alabi
17 M. Jilek
18 M. Cicha
19 T. Tichanek
20 Z. Pereski
21 J. Snopek
23 O. Ceesay
Coach · –
Substitutes
9 · T. Frystak
10 · A. Markov
22 · M. Holek
24 · R. Horny
30 · J. Hastik
99 · L. Bernatik
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Frýdek-Místek
Formation not confirmed
3 F. Sami
4 J. Massaniec
5 M. Velner
6 S. Charles
8 D. Kedron
10 J. Heller
15 D. Bialek
18 M. Opeyemi
19 T. Hykel
20 A. Gorcica
29 K. Lasak
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · J. Martinak
7 · D. Konecny
9 · D. Dluhos
11 · T. Kohut
12 · J. Meca
14 · D. Mladek
16 · M. Guzik
Slovácko II
Formation not confirmed
31 A. Urban
7 L. Novotny
11 M. Uhrovic
14 S. Olayiwola
15 A. Alabi
17 M. Jilek
18 M. Cicha
19 T. Tichanek
20 Z. Pereski
21 J. Snopek
23 O. Ceesay
Coach · –
Substitutes
9 · T. Frystak
10 · A. Markov
22 · M. Holek
24 · R. Horny
30 · J. Hastik
99 · L. Bernatik
We make Frýdek-Místek a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frýdek-Místek win | 50% | 47% | +3 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | −1 |
| Slovácko II win | 26% | 27% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 55% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 58% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 76% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 34% | −5 |
| Frýdek-Místek or draw | 74% | 73% | +1 |
| Frýdek-Místek clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Slovácko II clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 5 Sept
FRÝDEK-MÍSTEK
SLOVÁCKO II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Líšeň II | 12 | +16 | 26 |
| 2 | Uničov | 12 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 | Zbrojovka Brno II | 12 | +8 | 24 |
| 4 | Hranice | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 | Frýdek-Místek | 12 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc II | 12 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 | Slovácko II | 12 | +7 | 18 |
| 8 | Hodonín | 12 | +4 | 17 |
| 9 | Vítkovice | 13 | −2 | 16 |
| 10 | Unie Hlubina | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Uherský Brod | 12 | −4 | 15 |
| 12 | Zlín II | 12 | −4 | 15 |
| 13 | Karviná II | 12 | −2 | 14 |
| 14 | Vrchovina | 12 | −11 | 14 |
| 15 | Blansko | 12 | −10 | 11 |
| 16 | Vsetín | 12 | −15 | 10 |
| 17 | Polanka nad Odrou | 12 | −6 | 9 |
| 18 | Havířov | 12 | −11 | 8 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Líšeň II
Uničov
Zbrojovka Brno II
Hranice
Sigma Olomouc II
Hodonín
Vítkovice
Unie Hlubina
Uherský Brod
Zlín II
Karviná II
Vrchovina
Blansko
Vsetín
Polanka nad Odrou
Havířov