Frýdek-Místek v Líšeň II prediction · 3. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Frýdek-MístekDrawLíšeň II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Frýdek-Místek 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Frýdek-Místek are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Frýdek-Místek 39%, draw 28%, Líšeň II 34%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Frýdek-Místek v Líšeň IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Frýdek-Místek win39%

Draw28%

Líšeň II win34%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundMSFL · matchday 14

VenueStadion Stovky

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Frýdek-Místek

Líšeň II

7Days since last match14

Last match: 24 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - MSFL

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · frýdek-místek winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Frýdek-Místek a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Frýdek-Místek v Líšeň II~~1.24 – 1.13

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 13 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D4 L0

~~Table places · points 27 v 29~~3 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Frýdek-Místek win	39%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Líšeň II win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Frýdek-Místek or draw	66%	–	–
Frýdek-Místek clean sheet	33%	–	–
Líšeň II clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 9.7 10.7 6.0 2.3 1 11.7 12.7 7.2 2.8 2 7.2 7.8 4.4 3 3.0 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Frýdek-Místek down, Líšeň II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,632 3. liga - MSFL matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - MSFL matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games this season, across 121 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

Frýdek-Místek at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Líšeň II away: 1.67 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.24 goals for Frýdek-Místek, 1.13 for Líšeň II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL this season · since 13 Sept

FRÝDEK-MÍSTEK

DLWLWW0–0 · 0–1 · 4–2 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 3–0

LÍŠEŇ II

WDDDDW4–1 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Líšeň II	13	+17	29
2	Uničov	13	+13	29
3	Frýdek-Místek	14	+10	27
4	Zbrojovka Brno II	14	+8	27
5	Hranice	13	+7	23
6	Sigma Olomouc II	13	+6	22
7	Uherský Brod	14	+1	21
8	Vítkovice	14	0	19
9	Slovácko II	13	+6	18
10	Unie Hlubina	13	+2	18
11	Hodonín	14	+2	17
12	Vrchovina	14	−13	17
13	Zlín II	13	−6	15
14	Karviná II	13	−4	14
15	Havířov	14	−11	11
16	Blansko	14	−14	11
17	Vsetín	13	−16	10
18	Polanka nad Odrou	13	−8	9