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Blansko v Vsetín

Blansko

2–0Full time

Vsetín

3. liga - MSFL · SAT 10 OCT · Stadion na Udolni

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

Blansko 2–0 Vsetín BLANSKO WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Blansko win~~40%

~~The market said~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.546

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.518

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Blansko win at 40%.
5′KICK-OFF Blansko v Vsetín
6′Much as we predicted: Blansko was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–23–37
18′🟨 YELLOW · 16' Vsetín
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Blansko 1–0 Vsetín
45′Blansko find the net on 42′. 1–0. 1–0 · 68–21–11
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Blansko win: 40% at kick-off, 68% now
45′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Blansko
45′HALF-TIME Blansko 1–0 Vsetín
48′We published Blansko at 40%. Our model now makes it 68%. 1–0 · 68–21–10
48′SECOND HALF Blansko 1–0 Vsetín
60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Vsetín
62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Vsetín
65′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Vsetín
68′⚽ GOAL · 67' Blansko 2–0 Vsetín
75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Blansko
90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Blansko
FTFULL TIME Blansko 2–0 Vsetín
FTBlansko 2–0 Vsetín · Blansko win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Blansko win40%

Draw22%

Vsetín win38%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

Venue · Stadion na Udolni

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Blansko

Formation not confirmed

30 P. Nesetril

3 O. Hublik

4 I. Shlaban

5 P. Volny

8 F. Kocurek

11 A. Plichta

12 M. Toczyski

15 A. Buneta

18 L. Lahodny

19 O. Stecha

22 D. Rudyk

Coach · –

Substitutes

9 · A. Maroshi

10 · S. Kolarik

14 · E. Moll

16 · S. Viktorin

17 · I. Kostrunek

1 · M. Krajicek

Vsetín

Formation not confirmed

23 E. Slezak

2 D. Dulik

6 J. Leckesi

9 M. Zbranek

10 A. Bahounek

12 P. Mikus

13 D. Jaja

16 P. Nwachukwu

18 O. Strachon

20 S. Gabris

21 J. Konarik

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · T. Hamza

4 · J. Moses

7 · V. Bartos

8 · A. Dobes

14 · F. Barborak

19 · D. Krocil

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Blansko

Formation not confirmed

30 P. Nesetril

3 O. Hublik

4 I. Shlaban

5 P. Volny

8 F. Kocurek

11 A. Plichta

12 M. Toczyski

15 A. Buneta

18 L. Lahodny

19 O. Stecha

22 D. Rudyk

Coach · –

Substitutes

9 · A. Maroshi

10 · S. Kolarik

14 · E. Moll

16 · S. Viktorin

17 · I. Kostrunek

1 · M. Krajicek

Vsetín

Formation not confirmed

23 E. Slezak

2 D. Dulik

6 J. Leckesi

9 M. Zbranek

10 A. Bahounek

12 P. Mikus

13 D. Jaja

16 P. Nwachukwu

18 O. Strachon

20 S. Gabris

21 J. Konarik

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · T. Hamza

4 · J. Moses

7 · V. Bartos

8 · A. Dobes

14 · F. Barborak

19 · D. Krocil

Our number · blansko winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

40% The market41%

Us40%

~~Market~~41%

We make Blansko a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.7.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · blansko win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Blansko win	40%	41%	−1
Draw	22%	26%	−4
Vsetín win	38%	33%	+5
Over 2.5 goals	68%	59%	+9
Both teams to score	68%	62%	+6
Over 1.5 goals	86%	80%	+6
Over 3.5 goals	47%	38%	+9
Blansko or draw	62%	67%	−5
Blansko clean sheet	18%	–	–
Vsetín clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.1%

0123450 3.2 5.2 4.5 2.6 1 5.4 9.1 7.7 4.5 2 4.8 8.0 6.8 3.9 3 2.9 4.8 4.1 2.4 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Blansko down, Vsetín across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,610 3. liga - MSFL matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - MSFL matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.5% of games this season, across 99 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Blansko at home: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Vsetín away: 0.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.80 goals for Blansko, 1.73 for Vsetín. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~VSE 2–0 BLA · BLA 2–0 VSE

Form · last six in 3. liga - MSFL

BLANSKO

DLDWLD1–1 · 1–4 · 0–0 · 5–3 · 1–3 · 1–1

VSETÍN

LWWDLW0–5 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Líšeň II	11	+16	25
2	Zbrojovka Brno II	11	+8	23
3	Uničov	11	+8	23
4	Frýdek-Místek	11	+9	21
5	Sigma Olomouc II	11	+7	19
6	Hranice	11	+5	17
7	Vítkovice	11	+3	16
8	Unie Hlubina	11	+4	15
9	Slovácko II	11	+4	15
10	Uherský Brod	11	0	15
11	Zlín II	11	−3	15
12	Hodonín	11	+1	14
13	Vrchovina	11	−7	14
14	Karviná II	11	−6	11
15	Vsetín	11	−13	10
16	Blansko	11	−12	8
17	Polanka nad Odrou	11	−10	6
18	Havířov	11	−14	5