Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › 3. liga - CFL B › Velké Hamry v Benátky nad Jizerou

Back
Czech Republic flag

Velké Hamry v Benátky nad Jizerou

Velké Hamry
3–3Full time
Benátky nad Jizerou

3. liga - CFL B · SAT 24 OCT · Stadion Velke Hamry

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:08
Velké Hamry 3–3 Benátky nad Jizerou BENÁTKY NAD JIZEROU WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Benátky nad Jizerou win50%
The market said53%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.907
The market’s Brier score0.919

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay21 notes · 32 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Benátky nad Jizerou win at 50%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Benátky nad Jizerou 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 26–24–50
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Velké Hamry v Benátky nad Jizerou
  4. 12′We said Benátky nad Jizerou at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 0–1 · 10–16–74
  5. 12′A goal for Benátky nad Jizerou on 12′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 10–16–74
  6. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Velké Hamry 0–1 Benátky nad Jizerou
  7. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Benátky nad Jizerou win: 50% at kick-off, 74% now
  8. 14′P. Kavalir scores for Benátky nad Jizerou on 13′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 10–16–74
  9. 27′We said Benátky nad Jizerou at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 9–17–75
  10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 8–17–75
  11. 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Velké Hamry 1–1 Benátky nad Jizerou
  12. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Benátky nad Jizerou win: 50% at kick-off, 45% now
  13. 32′Velké Hamry score on 31′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 25–31–44
  14. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Benátky nad Jizerou win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
  15. 45′HALF-TIME Velké Hamry 1–1 Benátky nad Jizerou
  16. 45′SECOND HALF Velké Hamry 1–1 Benátky nad Jizerou
  17. 46′32′: J. Jindrisek on the scoresheet for Velké Hamry, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 24–36–40
  18. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Velké Hamry
  19. 48′We said Benátky nad Jizerou at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–1 · 61–25–14
  20. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Velké Hamry 2–1 Benátky nad Jizerou
  21. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Benátky nad Jizerou win: 50% at kick-off, 14% now
  22. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Velké Hamry win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Benátky nad Jizerou win 39%)
  23. 49′Velké Hamry find the net on 48′. 2–1. 2–1 · 61–25–13
  24. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Benátky nad Jizerou · On: A. Konig · Off: J. Zabilansky
  25. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Benátky nad Jizerou · On: M. Bunes · Off: T. Gregor
  26. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Benátky nad Jizerou · On: D. Komarek · Off: T. Hajek
  27. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Benátky nad Jizerou
  28. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Benátky nad Jizerou win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
  29. 59′We said Benátky nad Jizerou at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 66–25–9
  30. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Velké Hamry
  31. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Benátky nad Jizerou
  32. 69′We said Benátky nad Jizerou at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 3–1 · 95–5–1
  33. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Velké Hamry 3–1 Benátky nad Jizerou
  34. 70′A goal for Velké Hamry on 70′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 95–4–1
  35. 70′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 95–4–1
  36. 73′5 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 76–20–4
  37. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Benátky nad Jizerou win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
  38. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Velké Hamry 3–2 Benátky nad Jizerou
  39. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Benátky nad Jizerou win: 50% at kick-off, 4% now
  40. 74′Benátky nad Jizerou score on 74′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 77–19–4
  41. 77′We said Benátky nad Jizerou at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 3–3 · 13–67–20
  42. 77′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 13–67–20
  43. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Velké Hamry 3–3 Benátky nad Jizerou
  44. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Benátky nad Jizerou win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
  45. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Draw is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Velké Hamry win 80%)
  46. 78′Benátky nad Jizerou find the net on 77′. 3–3. 3–3 · 12–69–19
  47. 78′We said Benátky nad Jizerou at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 3–3 · 12–69–19
  48. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Benátky nad Jizerou win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
  49. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Velké Hamry · On: O. Zawanowski · Off: M. Kubin
  50. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Velké Hamry · On: P. Balaz · Off: G. Erewa
  51. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Benátky nad Jizerou
  52. 93′3–3 at the end. Our 50% on Benátky nad Jizerou misses, and the record keeps it. 3–3 · 0–100–0
  53. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Velké Hamry · On: S. Munzar · Off: T. Bulir
  54. FTFULL TIME Velké Hamry 3–3 Benátky nad Jizerou
  55. FTVelké Hamry 3–3 Benátky nad Jizerou · Benátky nad Jizerou win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Benátky nad Jizerou are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Velké Hamry 26%, draw 24%, Benátky nad Jizerou 50%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Velké Hamry v Benátky nad JizerouBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Velké Hamry win26%
Draw24%
Benátky nad Jizerou win50%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:30

RoundGroup B · matchday 12

VenueStadion Velke Hamry

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Velké Hamry

Benátky nad Jizerou

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - CFL B

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - CFL B

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Benátky nad Jizerou11+920
16Velké Hamry11−207

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · benátky nad jizerou winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off
50% The market53%
Us50%
Market53%

We make Benátky nad Jizerou a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.8.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Velké Hamry v Benátky nad Jizerou1.25 – 1.83
Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B this season · since 12 SeptW2 D1 L3 · W3 D3 L0
Table places · points 7 v 2016 v 4
The market · Benátky nad Jizerou win53% · ours 50%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 09:09
Our probability · Benátky nad Jizerou win The market, margin stripped

Published at 48%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Velké Hamry win26%23%+3
Draw24%24%0
Benátky nad Jizerou win50%53%−3
Over 2.5 goals59%60%−1
Both teams to score59%59%0
Over 1.5 goals81%81%0
Over 3.5 goals37%39%−2
Velké Hamry or draw50%47%+3
Velké Hamry clean sheet17%––
Benátky nad Jizerou clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%
0123450 5.2 8.1 7.6 4.7 2.2 1 5.5 10.7 9.3 5.7 2.7 2 3.7 6.5 5.8 3.5 3 2.8 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Velké Hamry down, Benátky nad Jizerou across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.67
Over 2.55 of 9
Both scored4 of 9
Last meetingsVEL 0–2 BEN · BEN 0–1 VEL · VEL 0–3 BEN · BEN 2–3 VEL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B this season · since 12 Sept

VELKÉ HAMRY

DLWLWL0–0 · 0–3 · 4–2 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 0–6

BENÁTKY NAD JIZEROU

WWDWDD3–2 · 4–0 · 3–3 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Jablonec II11+1624
2Sokol Zápy11+1324
3Mladá Boleslav II11+1723
4Benátky nad Jizerou11+920
5Pardubice II10+1117
6Baník Souš11+716
7Varnsdorf10015
8Čáslav10−614
9Teplice II11−313
10Chrudim11−513
11Neratovice-Byškovice11−713
12Hradec Králové II11−310
13Horní Ředice9−99
14Sokol Brozany11−88
15Slovan Liberec II10−128
16Velké Hamry11−207

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.