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Model 1.2

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Varnsdorf v Sokol Brozany

Varnsdorf
13:30Upcoming
Sokol Brozany

3. liga - CFL B · SUN 25 OCT · Mestsky stadion v Kotline

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

VarnsdorfDrawSokol Brozany
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Varnsdorf 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Varnsdorf are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Varnsdorf 52%, draw 24%, Sokol Brozany 25%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Varnsdorf v Sokol BrozanyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Varnsdorf win52%
Draw24%
Sokol Brozany win25%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup B · matchday 12

VenueMestsky stadion v Kotline

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Varnsdorf

Sokol Brozany

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - CFL B

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - CFL B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Varnsdorf10015
15Sokol Brozany11−88

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · varnsdorf winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 25 Oct 04:03 · locked at kick-off
52% The market66%
Us52%
Market66%

We make Varnsdorf a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 14 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Varnsdorf v Sokol Brozany1.81 – 1.17
Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B this season · since 12 SeptW1 D3 L2 · W0 D2 L4
Table places · points 15 v 88 v 15
The market · Varnsdorf win66% · ours 52%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65%70% 19 OCT 01:3725 OCT 04:03
Our probability · Varnsdorf win The market, margin stripped

Published at 51%, 52% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Varnsdorf win52%66%−14
Draw24%19%+5
Sokol Brozany win25%15%+10
Over 2.5 goals57%65%−8
Both teams to score57%––
Over 1.5 goals80%––
Over 3.5 goals35%––
Varnsdorf or draw75%85%−10
Varnsdorf clean sheet32%––
Sokol Brozany clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%
0123450 5.8 5.7 3.6 1 8.9 11.0 6.2 2.5 2 8.2 9.3 5.5 2.2 3 5.0 5.6 3.3 4 2.3 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Varnsdorf down, Sokol Brozany across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsSOK 0–0 VAR · VAR 1–1 SOK · VAR 0–2 SOK · SOK 1–3 VAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B this season · since 12 Sept

VARNSDORF

DLDDWL4–4 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–1

SOKOL BROZANY

LDLDLL0–1 · 2–2 · 2–4 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 1–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Mladá Boleslav II12+2126
2Jablonec II11+1624
3Sokol Zápy11+1324
4Benátky nad Jizerou12+921
5Pardubice II10+1117
6Baník Souš11+716
7Neratovice-Byškovice12−216
8Varnsdorf10015
9Čáslav11−1014
10Teplice II11−313
11Chrudim12−1013
12Slovan Liberec II11−811
13Hradec Králové II11−310
14Horní Ředice10−139
15Sokol Brozany11−88
16Velké Hamry12−208

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.