Sokol Zápy v Čáslav prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Sokol Zápy 2–3 Čáslav SOKOL ZÁPY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sokol Zápy win~~72%

~~The market said~~75%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.333

~~The market’s Brier score~~1.404

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 34 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Sokol Zápy win at 72%.
2′We said Sokol Zápy at 72%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 50%. 0–1 · 50–22–28
4′A goal for Čáslav on 3′ — 0–0. 0–0 · 72–17–11
14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Sokol Zápy win: 72% at kick-off, 72% now
14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Sokol Zápy win: 72% at kick-off, 50% now
15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Sokol Zápy win: 72% at kick-off, 50% now
15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Sokol Zápy win: 72% at kick-off, 72% now
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Sokol Zápy win: 72% at kick-off, 72% now
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Sokol Zápy win: 72% at kick-off, 50% now
17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Sokol Zápy win: 72% at kick-off, 72% now
17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Sokol Zápy win: 72% at kick-off, 50% now
18′A goal for Čáslav on 3′ — 0–0. 0–0 · 68–20–12
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Sokol Zápy win: 72% at kick-off, 50% now
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Sokol Zápy win: 72% at kick-off, 72% now
21′Much as we predicted: Sokol Zápy was 72% before kick-off and our model makes it 67% now. 0–0 · 67–21–12
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Sokol Zápy win: 72% at kick-off, 61% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Sokol Zápy win: 72% at kick-off, 67% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Sokol Zápy win: 72% at kick-off, 67% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Sokol Zápy win: 72% at kick-off, 61% now
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Sokol Zápy 0–1 Čáslav
45′SECOND HALF Sokol Zápy 0–1 Čáslav
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Sokol Zápy win: 72% at kick-off, 61% now
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sokol Zápy · On: U. Ekpai · Off: J. Vanek
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Sokol Zápy 1–1 Čáslav · M. Smutny
58′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Čáslav · On: J. Nikodem · Off: M. Jarkovsky
58′⚽ GOAL · 59' Sokol Zápy 1–1 Čáslav
65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Sokol Zápy · On: D. Vesely · Off: J. Tesar
65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Sokol Zápy · On: J. Lopatar · Off: T. Kuchar
72′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Sokol Zápy · On: D. Farkas · Off: B. Prochazka
75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Čáslav · On: D. Hybler · Off: M. Smutny
76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Sokol Zápy 1–2 Čáslav · U. Ekpai
76′⚽ GOAL · 77' Sokol Zápy 1–2 Čáslav
84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Čáslav · On: S. Chocholaty · Off: S. Machu
89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Sokol Zápy 2–2 Čáslav · V. Simon
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Sokol Zápy 2–2 Čáslav
91′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Sokol Zápy
92′⚽ GOAL · 92' Sokol Zápy 2–3 Čáslav · P. Vandas
92′⚽ GOAL · 93' Sokol Zápy 2–3 Čáslav
FTFULL TIME Sokol Zápy 2–3 Čáslav
FTSokol Zápy 2–3 Čáslav · Sokol Zápy win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Sokol Zápy win72%

Draw17%

Čáslav win11%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:00

Line-ups

Sokol Zápy

Čáslav

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sokol Zápy

Čáslav

7Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sokol Zápy	9	+13	21
10	Čáslav	8	−6	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Sokol Zápy

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Rehak

2 B. Prochazka

5 D. Stropek

6 J. Sulc

8 J. Tesar

9 T. Kuchar

10 J. Vanek

14 O. Petrak

18 M. Petrlak

19 P. Vandas

20 O. Kocourek

Coach · –

Substitutes

4 · N. Chadziev

11 · D. Vesely

12 · U. Ekpai

13 · J. Steiner

16 · D. Farkas

23 · J. Lopatar

28 · V. Nevecny

Čáslav

Formation not confirmed

5 S. Machu

7 V. Simon

13 P. Batka

14 D. Machacek

15 M. Smutny

17 F. Skokan

18 M. Jarkovsky

20 T. Svoboda

27 F. Vesely

29 D. Vyhnanek

30 J. Slavik

Coach · –

Substitutes

10 · S. Chocholaty

11 · J. Nikodem

21 · M. Spevak

24 · D. Hybler

87 · R. Zacharias

Our number · sokol zápy winPublished 11 Oct 15:13

72% The market75%

Us72%

~~Market~~75%

We make Sokol Zápy a 72% chance to win. The market has them at 75%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.5–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · sokol zápy win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 75% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sokol Zápy win	72%	75%	−3
Draw	17%	15%	+2
Čáslav win	11%	10%	+2
Over 2.5 goals	65%	67%	−2
Both teams to score	53%	51%	+2
Over 1.5 goals	85%	84%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	44%	47%	−4
Sokol Zápy or draw	89%	90%	−2
Sokol Zápy clean sheet	42%	–	–
Čáslav clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.5%

0123450 3.9 2.9 1 8.4 7.7 3.3 2 10.5 9.1 4.0 3 8.7 7.5 3.3 4 5.5 4.7 2.1 5 2.8 2.4

under 2% 5% 12%+Sokol Zápy down, Čáslav across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,337 3. liga - CFL B matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - CFL B matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games this season, across 73 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Sokol Zápy at home: 3.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Čáslav away: 1.00 scored, 2.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.50 goals for Sokol Zápy, 0.88 for Čáslav. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B

SOKOL ZÁPY

WDWWWD3–2 · 4–4 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 0–0

ČÁSLAV

LLDWWW0–7 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sokol Zápy	9	+13	21
2	Mladá Boleslav II	10	+15	20
3	Jablonec II	9	+13	18
4	Benátky nad Jizerou	9	+9	18
5	Pardubice II	9	+5	14
6	Teplice II	10	−2	13
7	Baník Souš	9	+6	12
8	Varnsdorf	8	0	12
9	Neratovice-Byškovice	10	−7	12
10	Čáslav	8	−6	11
11	Hradec Králové II	9	−1	10
12	Chrudim	10	−6	10
13	Horní Ředice	8	−8	9
14	Sokol Brozany	9	−4	8
15	Velké Hamry	10	−14	7
16	Slovan Liberec II	9	−13	5