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Model 1.2

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Slovan Liberec II v Horní Ředice

Slovan Liberec II
5–1Full time
Horní Ředice

3. liga - CFL B · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:08
Slovan Liberec II 5–1 Horní Ředice SLOVAN LIBEREC II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Slovan Liberec II win53%
The market said55%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.330
The market’s Brier score0.300

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Slovan Liberec II win at 53%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Slovan Liberec II 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–21–26
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Slovan Liberec II v Horní Ředice
  4. 21′Slovan Liberec II find the net on 21′. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–15–11
  5. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Slovan Liberec II 1–0 Horní Ředice
  6. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Slovan Liberec II win: 53% at kick-off, 74% now
  7. 22′We said Slovan Liberec II at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–16–11
  8. 30′We said Slovan Liberec II at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–0 · 90–7–3
  9. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Slovan Liberec II 2–0 Horní Ředice
  10. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Slovan Liberec II win: 53% at kick-off, 90% now
  11. 31′A goal for Slovan Liberec II on 30′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 90–7–3
  12. 38′The goal count is tracking the 3.8 we expected. 2–0 · 91–6–2
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Slovan Liberec II 2–0 Horní Ředice
  14. 46′SECOND HALF Slovan Liberec II 2–0 Horní Ředice
  15. 48′We said Slovan Liberec II at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 3–0 · 98–1–0
  16. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Slovan Liberec II win: 53% at kick-off, 93% now
  17. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Slovan Liberec II 3–0 Horní Ředice
  18. 49′Slovan Liberec II score on 48′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 98–1–0
  19. 55′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.8 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 94–5–1
  20. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Slovan Liberec II 3–1 Horní Ředice
  21. 56′Horní Ředice find the net on 55′. 3–1. 3–1 · 94–5–1
  22. 67′We said Slovan Liberec II at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  23. 67′A goal for Slovan Liberec II on 67′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  24. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Slovan Liberec II 4–1 Horní Ředice
  25. 68′5 goals already, more than the 3.8 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  26. 73′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.8 across ninety minutes. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  27. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Slovan Liberec II 5–1 Horní Ředice
  28. 74′Slovan Liberec II score on 73′ to make it 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  29. 90′5–1 at the end. Our 53% on Slovan Liberec II comes in. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  30. FTFULL TIME Slovan Liberec II 5–1 Horní Ředice
  31. FTSlovan Liberec II 5–1 Horní Ředice · Slovan Liberec II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Slovan Liberec II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Slovan Liberec II 53%, draw 21%, Horní Ředice 26%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Slovan Liberec II v Horní ŘediceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Slovan Liberec II win53%
Draw21%
Horní Ředice win26%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup B · matchday 12

Line-ups

Slovan Liberec II

Horní Ředice

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Slovan Liberec II

Horní Ředice

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - CFL B

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - CFL B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
13Horní Ředice9−99
15Slovan Liberec II10−128

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Slovan Liberec II

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Musil

2 H. Berbic

7 K. Michal

11 M. Filipek

16 V. Sychra

19 J. Ashuku

22 J. Pozler

25 K. Dusak

26 E. Marsetic

28 A. Dobes

29 D. Rus

Coach · –

Substitutes

6 · L. Zitnan

8 · N. Tvercovici

17 · S. Jager

18 · S. Brtinsky

20 · M. Kurc

21 · S. Cistecky

34 · D. Dobes

Horní Ředice

Formation not confirmed

5 F. Panek

6 M. Rek

7 A. Broz

8 M. Svoboda

12 T. Kirchner

13 A. Velinsky

19 M. Kosina

20 R. Lorenc

21 F. Kozeny

25 M. Plasil

27 L. Frydrych

Coach · –

Substitutes

9 · A. Novotny

10 · M. Prokes

24 · L. Lorenc

16 · D. Teply

17 · V. Skoumal

28 · R. Styblo

Our number · slovan liberec ii winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off
53% The market55%
Us53%
Market55%

We make Slovan Liberec II a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.3–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Slovan Liberec II v Horní Ředice2.25 – 1.55
Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B this season · since 5 SeptW1 D1 L4 · W2 D0 L4
Table places · points 8 v 915 v 13
The market · Slovan Liberec II win55% · ours 53%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 08:38
Our probability · Slovan Liberec II win The market, margin stripped

Published at 52%, 53% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Slovan Liberec II win53%55%−2
Draw21%22%−1
Horní Ředice win26%23%+3
Over 2.5 goals73%67%+6
Both teams to score70%66%+4
Over 1.5 goals89%85%+4
Over 3.5 goals52%48%+4
Slovan Liberec II or draw74%77%−3
Slovan Liberec II clean sheet22%––
Horní Ředice clean sheet11%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.6%
0123450 2.7 3.3 2.7 1 4.9 8.1 5.9 3.1 2 5.7 8.6 6.5 3.4 3 4.3 6.4 4.9 2.5 4 2.4 3.7 2.8 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Slovan Liberec II down, Horní Ředice across0–5 goals a side shown (96.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B this season · since 5 Sept

SLOVAN LIBEREC II

LLLDLW1–2 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 2–1

HORNÍ ŘEDICE

WLLWLL1–0 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 4–1 · 0–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Jablonec II11+1624
2Sokol Zápy11+1324
3Mladá Boleslav II11+1723
4Benátky nad Jizerou11+920
5Pardubice II10+1117
6Baník Souš11+716
7Varnsdorf10015
8Čáslav10−614
9Teplice II11−313
10Chrudim11−513
11Neratovice-Byškovice11−713
12Hradec Králové II11−310
13Horní Ředice9−99
14Sokol Brozany11−88
15Slovan Liberec II10−128
16Velké Hamry11−207

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.