Slovan Liberec II v Čáslav prediction · 3. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Slovan Liberec IIDrawČáslav

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Slovan Liberec II 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Slovan Liberec II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Slovan Liberec II 57%, draw 19%, Čáslav 24%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Slovan Liberec II v ČáslavBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Slovan Liberec II win57%

Draw19%

Čáslav win24%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 10:00

RoundGroup B · matchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Slovan Liberec II

Čáslav

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · 3. liga - CFL B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Čáslav	11	−10	14
12	Slovan Liberec II	11	−8	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · slovan liberec ii winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:17 · locked at kick-off

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Slovan Liberec II a 57% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Slovan Liberec II v Čáslav~~2.43 – 1.55

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B this season · since 20 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 11 v 14~~12 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Slovan Liberec II win

Published at 51%, 57% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Slovan Liberec II win	57%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Čáslav win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	56%	–	–
Slovan Liberec II or draw	76%	–	–
Slovan Liberec II clean sheet	22%	–	–
Čáslav clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.4%

0123450 2.3 2.8 2.3 1 4.5 7.3 5.4 2.8 2 5.6 8.4 6.4 3.3 3 4.5 6.7 5.1 2.7 4 2.8 4.1 3.1 5 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Slovan Liberec II down, Čáslav across0–5 goals a side shown (95.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,353 3. liga - CFL B matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - CFL B matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.7% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Slovan Liberec II at home: 2.17 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). Čáslav away: 1.17 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.43 goals for Slovan Liberec II, 1.55 for Čáslav. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~CAS 0–1 SLO · SLO 5–0 CAS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B this season · since 20 Sept

SLOVAN LIBEREC II

LLDLWW1–2 · 0–4 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 5–1

ČÁSLAV

WWWWLL2–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 2–3 · 0–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mladá Boleslav II	12	+21	26
2	Jablonec II	11	+16	24
3	Sokol Zápy	11	+13	24
4	Benátky nad Jizerou	12	+9	21
5	Pardubice II	10	+11	17
6	Baník Souš	11	+7	16
7	Neratovice-Byškovice	12	−2	16
8	Varnsdorf	10	0	15
9	Čáslav	11	−10	14
10	Teplice II	11	−3	13
11	Chrudim	12	−10	13
12	Slovan Liberec II	11	−8	11
13	Hradec Králové II	11	−3	10
14	Horní Ředice	10	−13	9
15	Sokol Brozany	11	−8	8
16	Velké Hamry	12	−20	8