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Neratovice-Byškovice v Pardubice II

Neratovice-Byškovice

3–0Full time

Pardubice II

3. liga - CFL B · SAT 10 OCT · Fotbalovy areal Neratovice

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18

Neratovice-Byškovice 3–0 Pardubice II PARDUBICE II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Pardubice II win~~51%

~~The market said~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.835

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.840

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 18 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Pardubice II win at 51%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Pardubice II 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 27–21–51
1′KICK-OFF Neratovice-Byškovice v Pardubice II
21′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Pardubice II
25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Neratovice-Byškovice 1–0 Pardubice II
25′⚽ GOAL · 26' Neratovice-Byškovice 1–0 Pardubice II
45′HALF-TIME Neratovice-Byškovice 1–0 Pardubice II
45′SECOND HALF Neratovice-Byškovice 1–0 Pardubice II
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Neratovice-Byškovice 2–0 Pardubice II · L. Vopat
54′⚽ GOAL · 55' Neratovice-Byškovice 2–0 Pardubice II
58′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Neratovice-Byškovice
59′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Neratovice-Byškovice
73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Neratovice-Byškovice 3–0 Pardubice II · O. Magdi
73′⚽ GOAL · 74' Neratovice-Byškovice 3–0 Pardubice II
76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Neratovice-Byškovice · On: J. Havranek · Off: O. Magdi
84′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Pardubice II · On: V. Hrdina · Off: T. Prazak
84′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Pardubice II · On: V. Hendrych · Off: M. Beranek
90′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Neratovice-Byškovice · On: M. Zaboj · Off: F. Mikes
90′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Neratovice-Byškovice · On: A. Rejsek · Off: F. Nerger
FTFULL TIME Neratovice-Byškovice 3–0 Pardubice II
FTNeratovice-Byškovice 3–0 Pardubice II · Pardubice II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Neratovice-Byškovice win27%

Draw22%

Pardubice II win51%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:15

Venue · Fotbalovy areal Neratovice

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Neratovice-Byškovice

Formation not confirmed

22 O. Novotny

3 S. Barta

4 D. Sustr

7 S. Wexler

9 F. Nerger

10 L. Vopat

15 F. Mikes

17 J. Chabera

18 L. Safir

20 O. Magdi

21 O. Jakoubek

Coach · –

Substitutes

5 · P. Hronek

8 · A. Rejsek

12 · J. Havranek

19 · M. Zaboj

23 · A. Ordelt

Pardubice II

Formation not confirmed

22 M. Simunek

3 T. Prazak

7 P. Topolsky

8 M. Becicka

10 D. Holcapek

12 M. Beranek

14 D. Skala

15 J. Svatos

17 A. Busek

21 T. Urban

25 E. Chukwuebuka

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · J. Hudak

5 · V. Hrdina

6 · M. Burianek

16 · T. Keny

24 · V. Hendrych

26 · S. Jerab

27 · M. Fajt

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Neratovice-Byškovice

Formation not confirmed

22 O. Novotny

3 S. Barta

4 D. Sustr

7 S. Wexler

9 F. Nerger

10 L. Vopat

15 F. Mikes

17 J. Chabera

18 L. Safir

20 O. Magdi

21 O. Jakoubek

Coach · –

Substitutes

5 · P. Hronek

8 · A. Rejsek

12 · J. Havranek

19 · M. Zaboj

23 · A. Ordelt

Pardubice II

Formation not confirmed

22 M. Simunek

3 T. Prazak

7 P. Topolsky

8 M. Becicka

10 D. Holcapek

12 M. Beranek

14 D. Skala

15 J. Svatos

17 A. Busek

21 T. Urban

25 E. Chukwuebuka

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · J. Hudak

5 · V. Hrdina

6 · M. Burianek

16 · T. Keny

24 · V. Hendrych

26 · S. Jerab

27 · M. Fajt

Our number · pardubice ii winPublished 10 Oct 09:05

51% The market49%

Us51%

~~Market~~49%

We make Pardubice II a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–2.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · pardubice ii win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Neratovice-Byškovice win	27%	26%	+1
Draw	22%	25%	−3
Pardubice II win	51%	49%	+2
Over 2.5 goals	67%	61%	+7
Both teams to score	66%	62%	+4
Over 1.5 goals	86%	81%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	46%	40%	+6
Neratovice-Byškovice or draw	49%	51%	−2
Neratovice-Byškovice clean sheet	14%	–	–
Pardubice II clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.3%

0123450 3.6 6.0 6.3 4.3 2.3 1 4.2 9.3 8.9 6.0 3.2 2 3.3 6.4 6.4 4.3 2.3 3 3.1 3.1 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Neratovice-Byškovice down, Pardubice II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,332 3. liga - CFL B matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - CFL B matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.4% of games this season, across 68 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 5.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Neratovice-Byškovice at home: 0.83 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Pardubice II away: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.45 goals for Neratovice-Byškovice, 2.05 for Pardubice II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~NER 0–4 PAR · PAR 4–2 NER

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B

NERATOVICE-BYŠKOVICE

LDLDLW1–2 · 0–0 · 0–4 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 2–0

PARDUBICE II

WDDWLW7–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 2–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sokol Zápy	9	+13	21
2	Jablonec II	9	+13	18
3	Mladá Boleslav II	9	+14	17
4	Benátky nad Jizerou	8	+7	15
5	Pardubice II	8	+8	14
6	Teplice II	9	0	13
7	Baník Souš	8	+7	12
8	Varnsdorf	8	0	12
9	Čáslav	8	−6	11
10	Hradec Králové II	9	−1	10
11	Horní Ředice	7	−6	9
12	Neratovice-Byškovice	9	−10	9
13	Sokol Brozany	9	−4	8
14	Chrudim	9	−8	7
15	Slovan Liberec II	8	−11	5
16	Velké Hamry	9	−16	4