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Model 1.2

Home › Football › 3. liga - CFL B › Hradec Králové II v Slovan Liberec II

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Hradec Králové II v Slovan Liberec II

Hradec Králové II
1–2Full time
Slovan Liberec II

3. liga - CFL B · SUN 18 OCT · SA Slavia HK

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 12:06
Hradec Králové II 1–2 Slovan Liberec II HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Hradec Králové II win53%
The market said61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.874
The market’s Brier score1.073

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 22 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hradec Králové II win at 53%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Hradec Králové II was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–21–26
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Hradec Králové II v Slovan Liberec II
  4. 33′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Slovan Liberec II
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Hradec Králové II 0–0 Slovan Liberec II
  6. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Hradec Králové II win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Hradec Králové II 0–0 Slovan Liberec II
  8. 51′We said Hradec Králové II at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 41–35–24
  9. 54′A goal for Hradec Králové II on 54′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 77–17–6
  10. 54′We published Hradec Králové II at 53%. Our model now makes it 77%. 1–0 · 77–17–6
  11. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Hradec Králové II 1–0 Slovan Liberec II
  12. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Hradec Králové II win: 53% at kick-off, 77% now
  13. 55′We said Hradec Králové II at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–37–23
  14. 55′GOAL DISALLOWED · 55' Hradec Králové II
  15. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Hradec Králové II win: 53% at kick-off, 39% now
  16. 56′We expected about 3.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 39–38–23
  17. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Hradec Králové II · On: T. Bonis · Off: J. Chvatal
  18. 59′A goal for Slovan Liberec II on 59′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–25–63
  19. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Hradec Králové II 0–1 Slovan Liberec II
  20. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Hradec Králové II win: 53% at kick-off, 12% now
  21. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Slovan Liberec II win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Hradec Králové II win 12%)
  22. 60′We said Hradec Králové II at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–25–63
  23. 65′We said Hradec Králové II at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
  24. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Hradec Králové II · On: P. Zalud · Off: S. Ponikelsky
  25. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Hradec Králové II · On: J. Zeman · Off: M. Halama
  26. 68′Slovan Liberec II score on 67′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 1–6–92
  27. 68′We said Hradec Králové II at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 0–2 · 1–6–92
  28. 68′⚽ GOAL · 67' Hradec Králové II 0–2 Slovan Liberec II
  29. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Hradec Králové II win: 53% at kick-off, 1% now
  30. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Hradec Králové II · On: D. Rejman · Off: T. Fejgl
  31. 81′Hradec Králové II find the net on 81′. 1–2. 1–2 · 2–15–83
  32. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Hradec Králové II 1–2 Slovan Liberec II
  33. 82′Goals are coming at about the 3.7 we expected. 1–2 · 2–14–84
  34. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Slovan Liberec II
  35. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Slovan Liberec II · On: J. Prinda · Off: D. Rus
  36. FTFULL TIME Hradec Králové II 1–2 Slovan Liberec II
  37. FTHradec Králové II 1–2 Slovan Liberec II · Hradec Králové II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hradec Králové II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hradec Králové II 53%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec II 26%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Hradec Králové II v Slovan Liberec IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Hradec Králové II win53%
Draw21%
Slovan Liberec II win26%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup B · matchday 11

VenueSA Slavia HK

Line-ups

Hradec Králové II

Slovan Liberec II

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hradec Králové II

Slovan Liberec II

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · 3. liga - CFL B

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - CFL B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
12Hradec Králové II10−210
16Slovan Liberec II9−135

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Hradec Králové II

Formation not confirmed

1 O. Svoboda

5 V. Zentrich

8 S. Ponikelsky

9 J. Mokrejs

11 L. Vanek

15 M. Halama

18 M. Syrovatka

19 O. Machala

24 J. Hradecky

25 T. Fejgl

27 J. Chvatal

Coach · –

Substitutes

6 · T. Pavlik

7 · T. Bonis

10 · D. Rejman

12 · J. Krivsky

13 · J. Zeman

14 · P. Zalud

16 · T. Meduna

Slovan Liberec II

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Musil

7 K. Michal

11 M. Filipek

16 V. Sychra

19 J. Ashuku

22 J. Pozler

25 K. Dusak

26 E. Marsetic

28 A. Dobes

30 H. Berbic

31 D. Rus

Coach · –

Substitutes

6 · L. Zitnan

17 · J. Prinda

18 · S. Brtinsky

20 · M. Kurc

21 · S. Cistecky

34 · D. Dobes

37 · M. Kulha

Our number · hradec králové ii winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
53% The market61%
Us53%
Market61%

We make Hradec Králové II a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Hradec Králové II v Slovan Liberec II2.21 – 1.50
Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B this season · since 6 SeptW1 D2 L3 · W0 D2 L4
Table places · points 10 v 512 v 16
The market · Hradec Králové II win61% · ours 53%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65% 12 OCT 04:0118 OCT 08:38
Our probability · Hradec Králové II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Hradec Králové II win53%61%−8
Draw21%20%+1
Slovan Liberec II win26%19%+7
Over 2.5 goals71%67%+4
Both teams to score68%65%+3
Over 1.5 goals88%86%+2
Over 3.5 goals50%50%0
Hradec Králové II or draw74%81%−7
Hradec Králové II clean sheet23%––
Slovan Liberec II clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.7%
0123450 2.9 3.6 2.9 1 5.3 8.4 6.0 3.0 2 6.0 8.7 6.5 3.3 3 4.4 6.4 4.7 2.4 4 2.5 3.6 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Hradec Králové II down, Slovan Liberec II across0–5 goals a side shown (96.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting4.11
Over 2.58 of 9
Both scored6 of 9
Last meetingsSLO 5–1 HRA · HRA 5–0 SLO · HRA 2–0 SLO · SLO 4–1 HRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B this season · since 6 Sept

HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ II

DDLWLL0–0 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 1–2

SLOVAN LIBEREC II

DLLLDL2–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 1–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Mladá Boleslav II11+1723
2Jablonec II10+1521
3Sokol Zápy10+1221
4Benátky nad Jizerou10+919
5Baník Souš11+716
6Varnsdorf10015
7Pardubice II9+514
8Čáslav9−514
9Teplice II10−213
10Chrudim11−513
11Neratovice-Byškovice10−712
12Hradec Králové II10−210
13Horní Ředice9−99
14Sokol Brozany11−88
15Velké Hamry10−147
16Slovan Liberec II9−135

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.