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Hradec Králové II v Baník Souš

Hradec Králové II

09:15Upcoming

Baník Souš

3. liga - CFL B · SUN 25 OCT · Football pitch Novy Hradec

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Hradec Králové IIDrawBaník Souš

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 09:15

Before kick-off · Match result · Baník Souš 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Baník Souš just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Hradec Králové II 35%, draw 28%, Baník Souš 37%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Hradec Králové II v Baník SoušBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Hradec Králové II win35%

Draw28%

Baník Souš win37%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup B · matchday 12

VenueFootball pitch Novy Hradec

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hradec Králové II

Baník Souš

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - CFL B

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - CFL B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Baník Souš	11	+7	16
13	Hradec Králové II	11	−3	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · baník souš winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

37% The market43%

Us37%

~~Market~~43%

We make Baník Souš a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hradec Králové II v Baník Souš~~1.25 – 1.28

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 16~~13 v 6

~~The market · Baník Souš win~~43% · ours 37%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Baník Souš win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hradec Králové II win	35%	30%	+5
Draw	28%	26%	+2
Baník Souš win	37%	43%	−6
Over 2.5 goals	46%	51%	−5
Both teams to score	51%	56%	−5
Over 1.5 goals	72%	74%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	25%	30%	−5
Hradec Králové II or draw	63%	57%	+6
Hradec Králové II clean sheet	28%	–	–
Baník Souš clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 8.8 9.8 6.6 2.8 1 9.5 12.9 7.9 3.4 2 6.2 7.7 4.9 2.1 3 2.6 3.3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hradec Králové II down, Baník Souš across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,353 3. liga - CFL B matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - CFL B matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.7% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.75 goals a meeting; 7 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hradec Králové II at home: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Baník Souš away: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.25 goals for Hradec Králové II, 1.28 for Baník Souš. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.75

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~BAN 3–0 HRA · HRA 4–2 BAN · HRA 1–2 BAN · BAN 3–3 HRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B this season · since 12 Sept

HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ II

DLWLLL0–0 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–2

BANÍK SOUŠ

WLLLDW3–0 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mladá Boleslav II	12	+21	26
2	Jablonec II	11	+16	24
3	Sokol Zápy	11	+13	24
4	Benátky nad Jizerou	12	+9	21
5	Pardubice II	10	+11	17
6	Baník Souš	11	+7	16
7	Neratovice-Byškovice	12	−2	16
8	Varnsdorf	10	0	15
9	Čáslav	11	−10	14
10	Teplice II	11	−3	13
11	Chrudim	12	−10	13
12	Slovan Liberec II	11	−8	11
13	Hradec Králové II	11	−3	10
14	Horní Ředice	10	−13	9
15	Sokol Brozany	11	−8	8
16	Velké Hamry	12	−20	8