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Horní Ředice v Benátky nad Jizerou

Horní Ředice

0–2Full time

Benátky nad Jizerou

3. liga - CFL B · SAT 10 OCT · Fotbalovy stadion

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18

Horní Ředice 0–2 Benátky nad Jizerou BENÁTKY NAD JIZEROU WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Benátky nad Jizerou win~~39%

~~The market said~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.561

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.484

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 21 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Benátky nad Jizerou win at 39%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Benátky nad Jizerou 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 37–24–39
1′KICK-OFF Horní Ředice v Benátky nad Jizerou
25′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Benátky nad Jizerou
43′SUBSTITUTION · 41' Benátky nad Jizerou · On: M. Maly · Off: J. Jinoch
45′SECOND HALF Horní Ředice 0–0 Benátky nad Jizerou
46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Benátky nad Jizerou · On: P. Zitka · Off: T. Gregor
55′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Benátky nad Jizerou
71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Horní Ředice 0–1 Benátky nad Jizerou
71′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Benátky nad Jizerou · On: J. Cerny · Off: J. Elias
71′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Horní Ředice · On: A. Novotny · Off: D. Teply
71′⚽ GOAL · 72' Horní Ředice 0–1 Benátky nad Jizerou
82′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Horní Ředice · On: J. Ludvik · Off: M. Svoboda
82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Horní Ředice 0–2 Benátky nad Jizerou · P. Zitka
82′⚽ GOAL · 83' Horní Ředice 0–2 Benátky nad Jizerou
84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Benátky nad Jizerou · On: T. Krenek · Off: P. Kavalir
84′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Benátky nad Jizerou
87′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Horní Ředice
89′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Horní Ředice
90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Benátky nad Jizerou
92′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Horní Ředice
92′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Benátky nad Jizerou
FTFULL TIME Horní Ředice 0–2 Benátky nad Jizerou
FTHorní Ředice 0–2 Benátky nad Jizerou · Benátky nad Jizerou win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Horní Ředice win36%

Draw24%

Benátky nad Jizerou win39%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:15

Venue · Fotbalovy stadion

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Horní Ředice

Formation not confirmed

28 R. Styblo

3 J. Vondrous

7 A. Broz

8 M. Svoboda

12 T. Kirchner

13 A. Velinsky

16 D. Teply

19 M. Kosina

20 R. Lorenc

21 F. Kozeny

10 M. Prokes

Coach · –

Substitutes

5 · F. Panek

6 · M. Rek

9 · A. Novotny

14 · F. Siroky

24 · J. Ludvik

29 · L. Lorenc

Benátky nad Jizerou

Formation not confirmed

25 M. Keller

6 P. Kavalir

8 J. Elias

16 R. Kopa

17 J. Zabilansky

30 A. Konig

33 T. Hajek

41 J. Jinoch

44 L. Glockner

47 T. Jankovsky

55 T. Gregor

Coach · –

Substitutes

5 · M. Rulc

7 · T. Krenek

12 · J. Cerny

21 · R. Straka

22 · M. Maly

26 · P. Zitka

72 · J. Jelinek

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Horní Ředice

Formation not confirmed

28 R. Styblo

3 J. Vondrous

7 A. Broz

8 M. Svoboda

12 T. Kirchner

13 A. Velinsky

16 D. Teply

19 M. Kosina

20 R. Lorenc

21 F. Kozeny

10 M. Prokes

Coach · –

Substitutes

5 · F. Panek

6 · M. Rek

9 · A. Novotny

14 · F. Siroky

24 · J. Ludvik

29 · L. Lorenc

Benátky nad Jizerou

Formation not confirmed

25 M. Keller

6 P. Kavalir

8 J. Elias

16 R. Kopa

17 J. Zabilansky

30 A. Konig

33 T. Hajek

41 J. Jinoch

44 L. Glockner

47 T. Jankovsky

55 T. Gregor

Coach · –

Substitutes

5 · M. Rulc

7 · T. Krenek

12 · J. Cerny

21 · R. Straka

22 · M. Maly

26 · P. Zitka

72 · J. Jelinek

Our number · benátky nad jizerou winPublished 10 Oct 09:05

39% The market43%

Us39%

~~Market~~43%

We make Benátky nad Jizerou a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.6.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · benátky nad jizerou win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Horní Ředice win	36%	32%	+5
Draw	24%	25%	−1
Benátky nad Jizerou win	39%	43%	−4
Over 2.5 goals	60%	63%	−3
Both teams to score	62%	64%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	82%	83%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	38%	42%	−4
Horní Ředice or draw	61%	57%	+4
Horní Ředice clean sheet	21%	–	–
Benátky nad Jizerou clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%

0123450 5.0 6.7 5.6 3.0 1 6.4 10.9 8.3 4.5 2 5.2 8.0 6.3 3.4 3 2.7 4.1 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Horní Ředice down, Benátky nad Jizerou across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,332 3. liga - CFL B matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - CFL B matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.4% of games this season, across 68 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Horní Ředice at home: 1.50 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 4). Benátky nad Jizerou away: 2.83 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.54 goals for Horní Ředice, 1.60 for Benátky nad Jizerou. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B

HORNÍ ŘEDICE

LWWLLW0–6 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 4–1

BENÁTKY NAD JIZEROU

DWWWWD0–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 3–2 · 4–0 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sokol Zápy	9	+13	21
2	Jablonec II	9	+13	18
3	Mladá Boleslav II	9	+14	17
4	Benátky nad Jizerou	8	+7	15
5	Pardubice II	8	+8	14
6	Teplice II	9	0	13
7	Baník Souš	8	+7	12
8	Varnsdorf	8	0	12
9	Čáslav	8	−6	11
10	Hradec Králové II	9	−1	10
11	Horní Ředice	7	−6	9
12	Neratovice-Byškovice	9	−10	9
13	Sokol Brozany	9	−4	8
14	Chrudim	9	−8	7
15	Slovan Liberec II	8	−11	5
16	Velké Hamry	9	−16	4