Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1

Home › Football › 3. liga - CFL B › Chrudim v Horní Ředice

Back
Czech Republic flag

Chrudim v Horní Ředice

Chrudim
2–1Full time
Horní Ředice

3. liga - CFL B · SAT 17 OCT · Stadion Za Vodojemem

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 12:08
Chrudim 2–1 Horní Ředice CHRUDIM WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Chrudim win49%
The market said48%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.389
The market’s Brier score0.410

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 31 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Chrudim win at 49%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Chrudim 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–23–28
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Chrudim v Horní Ředice
  4. 14′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Chrudim
  5. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Horní Ředice
  6. 28′We said Chrudim at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 1–0 · 73–17–10
  7. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Chrudim 1–0 Horní Ředice
  8. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Chrudim win: 49% at kick-off, 73% now
  9. 29′Chrudim find the net on 28′. 1–0. 1–0 · 73–17–10
  10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 1–0 · 73–18–9
  11. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Chrudim 1–1 Horní Ředice
  12. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Chrudim win: 49% at kick-off, 44% now
  13. 33′A goal for Horní Ředice on 33′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 43–30–27
  14. 37′We said Chrudim at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–2 · 18–24–58
  15. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Chrudim 1–2 Horní Ředice
  16. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Chrudim win: 49% at kick-off, 18% now
  17. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Horní Ředice win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Chrudim win 18%)
  18. 38′A goal for Horní Ředice on 38′. 1–1 · 42–32–26
  19. 38′GOAL DISALLOWED · 38' Horní Ředice
  20. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Chrudim win: 49% at kick-off, 42% now
  21. 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Chrudim win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Horní Ředice win 26%)
  22. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Chrudim
  23. 45′HALF-TIME Chrudim 1–1 Horní Ředice
  24. 45′SECOND HALF Chrudim 1–1 Horní Ředice
  25. 52′We said Chrudim at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 37%. 1–1 · 37–38–24
  26. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Horní Ředice
  27. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Chrudim win 36%)
  28. 59′We said Chrudim at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–43–23
  29. 67′We said Chrudim at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–51–20
  30. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Chrudim win: 49% at kick-off, 29% now
  31. 73′We said Chrudim at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–59–17
  32. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Horní Ředice · On: D. Teply · Off: A. Velinsky
  33. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Chrudim win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
  34. 82′We said Chrudim at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–76–10
  35. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Chrudim
  36. 86′We said Chrudim at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
  37. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Chrudim win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
  38. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Horní Ředice
  39. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Horní Ředice
  40. 92′We said Chrudim at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
  41. 92′🟥 RED CARD · 90+2' Horní Ředice
  42. 93′We said Chrudim at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 2–1 · 98–2–0
  43. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Chrudim 2–1 Horní Ředice
  44. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Chrudim win: 49% at kick-off, 98% now
  45. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Chrudim win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
  46. 94′Chrudim score on 90′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 99–1–0
  47. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Chrudim win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
  48. 97′2–1 at the end. Our 49% on Chrudim comes in. 2–1 · 100–0–0
  49. FTFULL TIME Chrudim 2–1 Horní Ředice
  50. FTChrudim 2–1 Horní Ředice · Chrudim win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Chrudim are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Chrudim 49%, draw 23%, Horní Ředice 28%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Chrudim v Horní ŘediceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Chrudim win49%
Draw23%
Horní Ředice win28%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup B · matchday 11

VenueStadion Za Vodojemem

Line-ups

Chrudim

Horní Ředice

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Chrudim

Horní Ředice

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - CFL B

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - CFL B

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
12Chrudim10−610
13Horní Ředice8−89

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Chrudim

Formation not confirmed

30 D. Panin

5 M. Tichy

8 S. Langr

9 T. Tlusty

10 D. Balog

11 M. Zvolanek

12 A. Kavalek

13 L. Hromek

14 V. Reznicek

16 O. Kucera

19 D. Bazout

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · D. Smrcek

7 · P. Skohoutil

15 · L. Drobny

17 · V. Cvancar

18 · S. Bakes

20 · N. Chichak

Horní Ředice

Formation not confirmed

2 M. Hanc

3 J. Vondrous

7 A. Broz

8 M. Svoboda

12 T. Kirchner

13 A. Velinsky

19 M. Kosina

20 R. Lorenc

21 F. Kozeny

25 M. Plasil

28 R. Styblo

Coach · –

Substitutes

5 · F. Panek

6 · M. Rek

9 · A. Novotny

14 · F. Siroky

16 · D. Teply

24 · J. Ludvik

29 · L. Lorenc

Our number · chrudim winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
49% The market48%
Us49%
Market48%

We make Chrudim a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.9–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Chrudim v Horní Ředice1.89 – 1.38
Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B this season · since 29 AugW1 D3 L2 · W3 D0 L3
Table places · points 10 v 912 v 13
The market · Chrudim win48% · ours 49%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 11 OCT 04:0217 OCT 08:36
Our probability · Chrudim win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Chrudim win49%48%+1
Draw23%26%−3
Horní Ředice win28%27%+1
Over 2.5 goals63%59%+4
Both teams to score63%61%+2
Over 1.5 goals84%79%+5
Over 3.5 goals41%38%+3
Chrudim or draw72%73%−1
Chrudim clean sheet26%––
Horní Ředice clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%
0123450 4.3 5.0 3.7 1 6.9 10.2 6.7 3.1 2 6.8 9.2 6.3 2.9 3 4.3 5.8 4.0 4 2.1 2.8 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Chrudim down, Horní Ředice across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2024/25
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsHOR 3–0 CHR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B this season · since 29 Aug

CHRUDIM

DDLLDW1–1 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 3–3 · 3–1

HORNÍ ŘEDICE

WWLLWL1–0 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 4–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Jablonec II10+1521
2Sokol Zápy10+1221
3Mladá Boleslav II10+1520
4Benátky nad Jizerou10+919
5Varnsdorf9+115
6Pardubice II9+514
7Čáslav9−514
8Baník Souš10+613
9Teplice II10−213
10Neratovice-Byškovice10−712
11Hradec Králové II10−210
12Chrudim10−610
13Horní Ředice8−89
14Sokol Brozany10−68
15Velké Hamry10−147
16Slovan Liberec II9−135

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.