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Čáslav v Jablonec II
Čáslav
Jablonec II3. liga - CFL B · SUN 18 OCT · Stadion Pod Hradkem
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Čáslav win at 41%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Čáslav was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–24–35
- 1′KICK-OFF Čáslav v Jablonec II
- 3′Jablonec II score on 3′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 20–20–60
- 3′We said Čáslav at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–20–60
- 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Čáslav 0–1 Jablonec II
- 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Čáslav win: 41% at kick-off, 20% now
- 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Jablonec II win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Čáslav win 20%)
- 9′We said Čáslav at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–20–60
- 19′Jablonec II find the net on 19′. 0–2. 0–2 · 6–11–83
- 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Čáslav 0–2 Jablonec II
- 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Čáslav win: 41% at kick-off, 6% now
- 20′We said Čáslav at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 0–2 · 6–11–83
- 21′GOAL DISALLOWED · 21' Jablonec II
- 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Čáslav win: 41% at kick-off, 17% now
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 15–22–63
- 33′Jablonec II find the net on 32′. 0–2. 0–2 · 4–10–86
- 33′We said Čáslav at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–10–86
- 33′SUBSTITUTION · 24' Jablonec II · On: D. Melka · Off: N. Innocenti
- 33′⚽ GOAL · 32' Čáslav 0–2 Jablonec II
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Čáslav win: 41% at kick-off, 4% now
- 34′A goal for Čáslav on 34′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 14–22–64
- 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Čáslav 1–2 Jablonec II
- 35′We said Čáslav at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–22–64
- 35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Jablonec II
- 45′HALF-TIME Čáslav 1–2 Jablonec II
- 46′SECOND HALF Čáslav 1–2 Jablonec II
- 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Čáslav · On: F. Skokan · Off: P. Fuhrer
- 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Čáslav · On: J. Nikodem · Off: M. Smutny
- 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Čáslav · On: M. Kvacek · Off: J. Slavik
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Jablonec II
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Čáslav · On: S. Machu · Off: S. Chocholaty
- 70′Jablonec II score on 70′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 0–3–96
- 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Čáslav 1–3 Jablonec II
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Čáslav win: 41% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 71′4 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 0–3–96
- 71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Čáslav
- 73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Jablonec II
- 78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Jablonec II
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Jablonec II · On: F. Hanc · Off: D. Pandula
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Čáslav · On: M. Jarkovsky · Off: V. Simon
- 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Jablonec II
- 89′Čáslav find the net on 89′. 2–3. 2–3 · 0–6–94
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Čáslav 2–3 Jablonec II
- 90′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–5–95
- FTFULL TIME Čáslav 2–3 Jablonec II
- FTČáslav 2–3 Jablonec II · Čáslav win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Čáslav are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Čáslav 41%, draw 24%, Jablonec II 35%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 62%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Čáslav win41%
Jablonec II win35%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:30
RoundGroup B · matchday 11
VenueStadion Pod Hradkem
Match timeline
All events
ČáslavMIN
Jablonec IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Čáslav
Jablonec II
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Čáslav
Jablonec II
Last match: 11 Oct · 3. liga - CFL B
Last match: 11 Oct · 3. liga - CFL B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Čáslav
Formation not confirmed
3 P. Fuhrer
7 V. Simon
10 S. Chocholaty
13 P. Batka
14 D. Machacek
15 M. Smutny
20 T. Svoboda
21 M. Spevak
27 F. Vesely
29 D. Vyhnanek
30 J. Slavik
Coach · –
Substitutes
5 · S. Machu
9 · M. Kvacek
11 · J. Nikodem
17 · F. Skokan
18 · M. Jarkovsky
87 · R. Zacharias
6 · J. Mahr
Jablonec II
Formation not confirmed
1 K. Mihelak
5 S. Tubic
7 A. Taveira
19 A. Maly
11 D. Breda
13 D. Pandula
17 E. Maly
20 F. Vecheta
21 D. Nykrin
22 N. Innocenti
24 A. Kubat
Coach · –
Substitutes
2 · D. Melka
4 · L. Vrabec
14 · S. Ptacek
16 · F. Hanc
18 · A. Hubka
23 · T. Ogbadibo
35 · V. Reiner
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Čáslav
Formation not confirmed
3 P. Fuhrer
7 V. Simon
10 S. Chocholaty
13 P. Batka
14 D. Machacek
15 M. Smutny
20 T. Svoboda
21 M. Spevak
27 F. Vesely
29 D. Vyhnanek
30 J. Slavik
Coach · –
Substitutes
5 · S. Machu
9 · M. Kvacek
11 · J. Nikodem
17 · F. Skokan
18 · M. Jarkovsky
87 · R. Zacharias
6 · J. Mahr
Jablonec II
Formation not confirmed
1 K. Mihelak
5 S. Tubic
7 A. Taveira
19 A. Maly
11 D. Breda
13 D. Pandula
17 E. Maly
20 F. Vecheta
21 D. Nykrin
22 N. Innocenti
24 A. Kubat
Coach · –
Substitutes
2 · D. Melka
4 · L. Vrabec
14 · S. Ptacek
16 · F. Hanc
18 · A. Hubka
23 · T. Ogbadibo
35 · V. Reiner
We make Čáslav a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 30% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Čáslav win | 41% | 30% | +11 |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | −2 |
| Jablonec II win | 35% | 45% | −10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 62% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 62% | 64% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 82% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 42% | −4 |
| Čáslav or draw | 65% | 55% | +10 |
| Čáslav clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| Jablonec II clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B this season · since 6 Sept
ČÁSLAV
JABLONEC II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sokol Zápy | 11 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 | Mladá Boleslav II | 11 | +17 | 23 |
| 3 | Jablonec II | 10 | +15 | 21 |
| 4 | Benátky nad Jizerou | 10 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 | Pardubice II | 10 | +11 | 17 |
| 6 | Baník Souš | 11 | +7 | 16 |
| 7 | Varnsdorf | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Čáslav | 9 | −5 | 14 |
| 9 | Teplice II | 11 | −3 | 13 |
| 10 | Chrudim | 11 | −5 | 13 |
| 11 | Neratovice-Byškovice | 10 | −7 | 12 |
| 12 | Hradec Králové II | 11 | −3 | 10 |
| 13 | Horní Ředice | 9 | −9 | 9 |
| 14 | Sokol Brozany | 11 | −8 | 8 |
| 15 | Slovan Liberec II | 10 | −12 | 8 |
| 16 | Velké Hamry | 11 | −20 | 7 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.
Sokol Zápy
Mladá Boleslav II
Benátky nad Jizerou
Pardubice II
Baník Souš
Varnsdorf
Teplice II
Chrudim
Neratovice-Byškovice
Hradec Králové II
Horní Ředice
Sokol Brozany
Slovan Liberec II
Velké Hamry