Baník Souš v Benátky nad Jizerou prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 17:24

Baník Souš 1–1 Benátky nad Jizerou BANÍK SOUŠ WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Baník Souš win~~49%

~~The market said~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.867

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.800

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 32 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Baník Souš win at 49%.
1′KICK-OFF Baník Souš v Benátky nad Jizerou
2′Little has changed for our model: Baník Souš 49% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–25–26
8′A goal for Benátky nad Jizerou on 8′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 24–24–51
8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Baník Souš 0–1 Benátky nad Jizerou
8′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 8' Baník Souš win: 49% at kick-off, 24% now
8′THE CALL SWINGS · 8' Benátky nad Jizerou win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Baník Souš win 24%)
10′We said Baník Souš at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–24–52
21′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Baník Souš
23′🟨 YELLOW · 21' M. Kratky · Baník Souš
26′We said Baník Souš at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–25–55
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Baník Souš win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
31′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 18–26–57
41′We said Baník Souš at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–60
45′HALF-TIME Baník Souš 0–1 Benátky nad Jizerou
46′SECOND HALF Baník Souš 0–1 Benátky nad Jizerou
46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Benátky nad Jizerou · On: M. Maly · Off: T. Gregor
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Baník Souš · On: J. Cihak · Off: M. Kratky
55′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Benátky nad Jizerou
56′We said Baník Souš at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Baník Souš win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
60′🟨 YELLOW · 55' P. Kavalir · Benátky nad Jizerou
63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Baník Souš · On: O. Podzimek · Off: M. Kubes
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Baník Souš 1–1 Benátky nad Jizerou
66′65′ and it is 1–1: O. Novicky on the scoresheet for Baník Souš. 1–1 · 28–55–17
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Baník Souš win: 49% at kick-off, 28% now
66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Benátky nad Jizerou win 17%)
68′We said Baník Souš at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–57–17
72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Benátky nad Jizerou · On: A. Eichler · Off: P. Zitka
74′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Baník Souš · On: A. Musa · Off: M. Leibl
74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Benátky nad Jizerou · On: J. Elias · Off: J. Cerny
74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Benátky nad Jizerou · On: D. Komarek · Off: T. Hajek
75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Benátky nad Jizerou
76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Baník Souš win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
78′🟨 YELLOW · 75' T. Jankovsky · Benátky nad Jizerou
82′Benátky nad Jizerou are down to ten from 81′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 12–80–8
82′🟥 RED CARD · 81' Benátky nad Jizerou
82′🟥 RED CARD · 81' J. Elias · Benátky nad Jizerou
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Baník Souš win: 49% at kick-off, 7% now
90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Benátky nad Jizerou · On: M. Bunes · Off: A. Eichler
90′SUBSTITUTION · 91' Baník Souš · On: P. Vlcek · Off: M. Kytka
90′SUBSTITUTION · 91' Baník Souš · On: A. Standera · Off: M. Rjaska
FTFULL TIME Baník Souš 1–1 Benátky nad Jizerou
FTBaník Souš 1–1 Benátky nad Jizerou · Baník Souš win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Baník Souš v Benátky nad JizerouBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 14:19 · locked at kick-off

Baník Souš win49%

Draw25%

Benátky nad Jizerou win25%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 14:30

VenueStadion Josefa Masopusta

Line-ups

Baník Souš

Benátky nad Jizerou

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Baník Souš

Benátky nad Jizerou

4Days since last match4

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Benátky nad Jizerou	9	+9	18
9	Baník Souš	9	+6	12

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Baník Souš

Formation not confirmed

8 M. Kratky

9 M. Kubes

10 J. Kopriva

13 M. Kytka

14 O. Novicky

16 J. Tomsik

17 M. Rjaska

21 P. Horvath

22 A. Radba

24 M. Leibl

30 V. Smrkovsky

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · D. Vitasek

3 · A. Musa

4 · P. Zaruba

5 · A. Standera

7 · O. Podzimek

15 · P. Vlcek

19 · J. Cihak

Benátky nad Jizerou

Formation not confirmed

5 M. Rulc

6 P. Kavalir

12 J. Cerny

16 R. Kopa

17 J. Zabilansky

25 M. Keller

26 P. Zitka

33 T. Hajek

47 T. Jankovsky

55 T. Gregor

72 J. Jelinek

Coach · –

Substitutes

8 · J. Elias

9 · A. Eichler

20 · M. Bunes

21 · R. Straka

22 · M. Maly

32 · D. Komarek

Our number · baník souš winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 14:19 · locked at kick-off

49% The market46%

Us49%

~~Market~~46%

We make Baník Souš a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Baník Souš v Benátky nad Jizerou~~1.64 – 1.10

~~Last six in 3. liga - CFL B~~W2 D0 L4 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 12 v 18~~9 v 4

~~The market · Baník Souš win~~46% · ours 49%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · baník souš win The market, margin stripped

Published at 51%, 49% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Baník Souš win	49%	46%	+3
Draw	25%	28%	−3
Benátky nad Jizerou win	25%	26%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	51%	47%	+4
Both teams to score	53%	51%	+3
Over 1.5 goals	76%	70%	+6
Over 3.5 goals	30%	26%	+3
Baník Souš or draw	75%	74%	+1
Baník Souš clean sheet	34%	–	–
Benátky nad Jizerou clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 7.2 6.9 4.0 1 10.3 11.8 6.3 2.4 2 8.6 9.2 5.1 3 4.7 5.1 2.8 4 2.0 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Baník Souš down, Benátky nad Jizerou across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,340 3. liga - CFL B matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - CFL B matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.9% of games this season, across 76 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Baník Souš at home: 2.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Benátky nad Jizerou away: 2.50 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.64 goals for Baník Souš, 1.10 for Benátky nad Jizerou. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~BAN 5–3 BEN · BEN 1–2 BAN · BAN 1–0 BEN · BEN 3–0 BAN

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL B

BANÍK SOUŠ

LWWLLL0–1 · 4–0 · 3–0 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 0–1

BENÁTKY NAD JIZEROU

WWWWDW2–0 · 1–0 · 3–2 · 4–0 · 3–3 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jablonec II	10	+15	21
2	Sokol Zápy	10	+12	21
3	Mladá Boleslav II	10	+15	20
4	Benátky nad Jizerou	9	+9	18
5	Varnsdorf	9	+1	15
6	Pardubice II	9	+5	14
7	Čáslav	9	−5	14
8	Teplice II	10	−2	13
9	Baník Souš	9	+6	12
10	Neratovice-Byškovice	10	−7	12
11	Hradec Králové II	10	−2	10
12	Chrudim	10	−6	10
13	Horní Ředice	8	−8	9
14	Sokol Brozany	10	−6	8
15	Velké Hamry	10	−14	7
16	Slovan Liberec II	9	−13	5