Slavia III v Králův Dvůr

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Slavia III win at 43%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Slavia III was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–23–34
3. 1′KICK-OFF Slavia III v Králův Dvůr
4. 2′Slavia III find the net on 2′. 1–0. 1–0 · 66–17–17
5. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Slavia III 1–0 Králův Dvůr
6. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Slavia III win: 43% at kick-off, 66% now
7. 3′We published Slavia III at 43%. Our model now makes it 66%. 1–0 · 66–17–17
8. 8′Slavia III find the net on 2′. 1–0. 1–0 · 66–18–16
9. 8′We published Slavia III at 43%. Our model now makes it 66%. 1–0 · 66–18–16
10. 14′A goal for Králův Dvůr on 13′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 42–25–33
11. 14′⚽ GOAL · 13' Slavia III 1–1 Králův Dvůr
12. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Slavia III win: 43% at kick-off, 42% now
13. 15′Much as we predicted: Slavia III was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 1–1 · 41–25–33
14. 25′Králův Dvůr score on 24′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 19–21–60
15. 25′⚽ GOAL · 24' Slavia III 1–2 Králův Dvůr
16. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Slavia III win: 43% at kick-off, 19% now
17. 25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Králův Dvůr win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Slavia III win 19%)
18. 26′We said Slavia III at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–2 · 18–22–60
19. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Králův Dvůr
20. 30′25′: P. Ladra on the scoresheet for Králův Dvůr, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 17–22–61
21. 41′We said Slavia III at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–23–63
22. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Slavia III
23. 45′We said Slavia III at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–3 · 4–10–87
24. 45′4 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 4–10–87
25. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Slavia III win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
26. 45′HALF-TIME Slavia III 1–3 Králův Dvůr
27. 46′Králův Dvůr find the net on 45′. 1–3. 1–3 · 4–9–87
28. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Slavia III 1–3 Králův Dvůr
29. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 29' J. Boucek · Králův Dvůr
30. 46′SECOND HALF Slavia III 1–3 Králův Dvůr
31. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Slavia III win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
32. 50′A goal for Slavia III on 49′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 12–23–65
33. 50′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 12–23–65
34. 50′⚽ GOAL · 49' Slavia III 2–3 Králův Dvůr
35. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Slavia III win: 43% at kick-off, 12% now
36. 51′Slavia III score on 51′ to make it 3–3. 3–3 · 34–37–29
37. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Slavia III 3–3 Králův Dvůr
38. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Slavia III win: 43% at kick-off, 34% now
39. 52′6 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 34–37–29
40. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Králův Dvůr win 28%)
41. 59′We said Slavia III at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 3–3 · 31–42–27
42. 60′52′: S. Beran on the scoresheet for Slavia III, making it 3–3. 3–3 · 31–43–26
43. 63′We said Slavia III at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 3–3 · 29–45–25
44. 70′Králův Dvůr find the net on 70′. 3–4. 3–4 · 5–20–75
45. 70′We said Slavia III at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 3–4 · 5–20–75
46. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Slavia III 3–4 Králův Dvůr
47. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Slavia III win: 43% at kick-off, 5% now
48. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Králův Dvůr win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Draw 20%)
49. 71′That is 7, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 3–4 · 4–20–76
50. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Slavia III win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
51. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Králův Dvůr
52. FTFULL TIME Slavia III 3–4 Králův Dvůr
53. FTSlavia III 3–4 Králův Dvůr · Slavia III win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.