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Povltava FA v Příbram II

Povltava FA
0–2Full time
Příbram II

3. liga - CFL A · SAT 24 OCT · Fotbalovy stadion Stechovice

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:08
Povltava FA 0–2 Příbram II PŘÍBRAM II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Příbram II win42%
The market said44%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.517
The market’s Brier score0.473

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 19 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Příbram II win at 42%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Povltava FA v Příbram II
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Příbram II 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 35–24–42
  4. 5′A goal for Příbram II on 5′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–18–65
  5. 5′We said Příbram II at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 0–1 · 17–18–65
  6. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Povltava FA 0–1 Příbram II
  7. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Příbram II win: 42% at kick-off, 65% now
  8. 7′D. Pivetz scores for Příbram II on 6′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–18–65
  9. 25′Příbram II score on 25′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 5–9–86
  10. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Povltava FA 0–2 Příbram II
  11. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Příbram II win: 42% at kick-off, 86% now
  12. 26′We said Příbram II at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 0–2 · 5–9–86
  13. 34′SUBSTITUTION · 32' Povltava FA · On: T. Spousta · Off: T. Fronek
  14. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Příbram II
  15. 43′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 0–2 · 3–8–89
  16. 44′We said Příbram II at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–2 · 3–8–90
  17. 45′HALF-TIME Povltava FA 0–2 Příbram II
  18. 46′SECOND HALF Povltava FA 0–2 Příbram II
  19. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Povltava FA · On: M. Vlasak · Off: A. Bruna
  20. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Povltava FA · On: M. Muller · Off: S. Hrodek
  21. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Povltava FA · On: T. Benedikt · Off: A. Novotny
  22. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Příbram II win: 42% at kick-off, 92% now
  23. 64′We said Příbram II at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
  24. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Povltava FA · On: M. Macek · Off: D. Budinsky
  25. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Příbram II · On: N. Kost · Off: D. Pivetz
  26. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Povltava FA
  27. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Příbram II · On: I. Guira · Off: L. Nemec
  28. 84′We said Příbram II at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  29. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Povltava FA
  30. FTFULL TIME Povltava FA 0–2 Příbram II
  31. FTPovltava FA 0–2 Příbram II · Příbram II win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Příbram II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Povltava FA 35%, draw 23%, Příbram II 42%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Povltava FA v Příbram IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Povltava FA win35%
Draw23%
Příbram II win42%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup A · matchday 12

VenueFotbalovy stadion Stechovice

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Povltava FA

Příbram II

6Days since last match14

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - CFL A

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - CFL A

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
12Příbram II10−310
16Povltava FA11−192

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · příbram ii winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
42% The market44%
Us42%
Market44%

We make Příbram II a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.8.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Povltava FA v Příbram II1.62 – 1.79
Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A this season · since 5 SeptW0 D0 L6 · W1 D4 L1
Table places · points 2 v 1016 v 12
The market · Příbram II win44% · ours 42%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 08:38
Our probability · Příbram II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Povltava FA win35%32%+3
Draw23%24%−1
Příbram II win42%44%−2
Over 2.5 goals65%67%−2
Both teams to score66%68%−2
Over 1.5 goals85%85%0
Over 3.5 goals44%47%−3
Povltava FA or draw58%56%+2
Povltava FA clean sheet17%––
Příbram II clean sheet20%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%
0123450 4.1 5.6 5.3 3.2 1 5.0 10.0 8.3 4.9 2.3 2 4.4 7.6 6.6 3.9 3 2.4 4.1 3.6 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Povltava FA down, Příbram II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting5.50
Over 2.52 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsPOV 3–2 PRI · PRI 4–2 POV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A this season · since 5 Sept

POVLTAVA FA

LLLLLL2–4 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 0–4 · 1–3 · 2–3

PŘÍBRAM II

WLDDDD7–2 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1České Budějovice11+2125
2Králův Dvůr10+1325
3Jiskra Domažlice11+521
4Motorlet Praha11+820
5Viktoria Plzeň II10+820
6Sparta Praha II9+1116
7Loko Vltavín11−315
8Slavia III11+214
9Admira Praha11−314
10Bohemians 1905 II11−413
11Písek11−711
12Příbram II10−310
13Dukla Praha II11−310
14Aritma Praha11−178
15Benešov10−97
16Povltava FA11−192

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.