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Povltava FA v České Budějovice

Povltava FA

1–3Full time

České Budějovice

3. liga - CFL A · SAT 10 OCT · Fotbalovy stadion Stechovice

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18

Povltava FA 1–3 České Budějovice ČESKÉ BUDĚJOVICE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said České Budějovice win~~64%

~~The market said~~69%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.191

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.149

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 21 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said České Budějovice win at 64%.
1′Little has changed for our model: České Budějovice 64% before kick-off, 65% now. 0–0 · 18–17–65
1′KICK-OFF Povltava FA v České Budějovice
9′🟨 YELLOW · 9' Povltava FA
17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Povltava FA 0–1 České Budějovice
19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Povltava FA 0–2 České Budějovice
22′V. Charvat scores for České Budějovice on 19′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–5–93
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' České Budějovice win: 64% at kick-off, 93% now
42′⚽ GOAL · 41' Povltava FA 1–2 České Budějovice
45′HALF-TIME Povltava FA 1–2 České Budějovice
46′SECOND HALF Povltava FA 1–2 České Budějovice
58′SUBSTITUTION · 50' Povltava FA · On: S. Nikl · Off: M. Muller
59′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Povltava FA
64′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Povltava FA
67′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Povltava FA
70′PENALTY MISSED · 70' České Budějovice
71′PENALTY MISSED · 70' České Budějovice
78′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Povltava FA · On: S. Hrodek · Off: A. Bruna
78′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Povltava FA · On: T. Spousta · Off: F. Drobilek
84′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Povltava FA · On: M. Vlasak · Off: A. Novotny
84′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Povltava FA · On: M. Macek · Off: T. Fronek
88′SUBSTITUTION · 83' České Budějovice · On: L. Simecek · Off: D. I. Nemec
89′⚽ GOAL · 88' Povltava FA 1–3 České Budějovice
FTFULL TIME Povltava FA 1–3 České Budějovice
FTPovltava FA 1–3 České Budějovice · České Budějovice win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Povltava FA win18%

Draw17%

České Budějovice win64%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:15

Venue · Fotbalovy stadion Stechovice

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Povltava FA

Formation not confirmed

20 M. Korenek

3 M. Muller

5 Z. Khapava

6 A. Bruna

7 F. Drobilek

8 F. Mares

10 A. Novotny

11 T. Fronek

12 D. Kuzma

16 M. Novy

17 D. Budinsky

Coach · –

Substitutes

2 · S. Hrodek

4 · M. Vlasak

9 · T. Spousta

14 · L. Jakobovsky

18 · M. Macek

19 · S. Nikl

1 · D. Kalanin

České Budějovice

Formation not confirmed

29 J. Volek

4 O. Novak

7 T. Gantogtokh

12 D. Louzecky

14 M. Zeman

19 D. I. Nemec

20 M. Faltus

21 M. Doudera

22 V. Charvat

28 Y. Terekhov

31 D. Emmanuel

Coach · –

Substitutes

6 · J. Brabec

9 · T. Abdullahi

16 · I. Hryhoruk

17 · D. Artymovych

24 · L. Simecek

27 · P. Filip

30 · M. Lis

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Povltava FA

Formation not confirmed

20 M. Korenek

3 M. Muller

5 Z. Khapava

6 A. Bruna

7 F. Drobilek

8 F. Mares

10 A. Novotny

11 T. Fronek

12 D. Kuzma

16 M. Novy

17 D. Budinsky

Coach · –

Substitutes

2 · S. Hrodek

4 · M. Vlasak

9 · T. Spousta

14 · L. Jakobovsky

18 · M. Macek

19 · S. Nikl

1 · D. Kalanin

České Budějovice

Formation not confirmed

29 J. Volek

4 O. Novak

7 T. Gantogtokh

12 D. Louzecky

14 M. Zeman

19 D. I. Nemec

20 M. Faltus

21 M. Doudera

22 V. Charvat

28 Y. Terekhov

31 D. Emmanuel

Coach · –

Substitutes

6 · J. Brabec

9 · T. Abdullahi

16 · I. Hryhoruk

17 · D. Artymovych

24 · L. Simecek

27 · P. Filip

30 · M. Lis

Our number · české budějovice winPublished 10 Oct 09:05

64% The market66%

Us64%

~~Market~~66%

We make České Budějovice a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–2.8.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · české budějovice win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Povltava FA win	18%	15%	+3
Draw	17%	18%	−1
České Budějovice win	64%	66%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	78%	71%	+8
Both teams to score	71%	63%	+8
Over 1.5 goals	92%	87%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	60%	51%	+9
Povltava FA or draw	36%	34%	+2
Povltava FA clean sheet	7%	–	–
České Budějovice clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.0%

0123450 4.0 5.7 5.2 3.6 2.01 6.3 8.0 7.2 5.0 2.82 4.3 5.7 5.2 3.6 2.03 2.1 2.8 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Povltava FA down, České Budějovice across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,288 3. liga - CFL A matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - CFL A matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.2% of games this season, across 71 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Povltava FA at home: 1.00 scored, 3.00 conceded a game (last 6). České Budějovice away: 2.75 scored, 2.75 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.45 goals for Povltava FA, 2.76 for České Budějovice. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A

POVLTAVA FA

LDLLLL3–5 · 0–0 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 0–4

ČESKÉ BUDĚJOVICE

WDLWLW4–2 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 7–0 · 3–6 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jiskra Domažlice	9	+10	20
2	České Budějovice	9	+18	19
3	Motorlet Praha	9	+11	19
4	Králův Dvůr	8	+9	19
5	Viktoria Plzeň II	9	+5	17
6	Slavia III	9	+4	14
7	Sparta Praha II	7	+10	12
8	Loko Vltavín	9	−3	12
9	Písek	10	−3	11
10	Příbram II	9	−3	9
11	Bohemians 1905 II	9	−9	9
12	Admira Praha	9	−7	8
13	Benešov	9	−6	7
14	Dukla Praha II	9	−6	7
15	Aritma Praha	9	−14	7
16	Povltava FA	9	−16	2