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Písek v Viktoria Plzeň II

Písek

2–2Full time

Viktoria Plzeň II

3. liga - CFL A · FRI 9 OCT · Sports facility Pisek

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 19:31

Písek 2–2 Viktoria Plzeň II VIKTORIA PLZEŇ II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Viktoria Plzeň II win~~43%

~~The market said~~33%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.888

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.824

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Viktoria Plzeň II win at 43%.
71′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Písek · On: M. Marik · Off: J. Parizek
71′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Viktoria Plzeň II · On: P. Hasek · Off: O. Ruzicka
71′🟨 YELLOW · 50' M. Marik · Písek
71′🟨 YELLOW · 56' V. Bartizal · Písek
71′⚽ GOAL · 58' Písek 2–2 Viktoria Plzeň II · A. Novak
71′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Viktoria Plzeň II · On: N. Chumlen · Off: F. Visna
71′SECOND HALF Písek 2–2 Viktoria Plzeň II
75′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Písek · On: J. Malecha · Off: R. Polansky
75′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Písek · On: F. Firbacher · Off: M. Prasek
83′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Viktoria Plzeň II · On: A. Sneberger · Off: A. Novak
83′🟨 YELLOW · 79' O. Koval · Písek
89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Viktoria Plzeň II
90′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Viktoria Plzeň II
FTPísek 2–2 Viktoria Plzeň II · Viktoria Plzeň II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Písek win33%

Draw23%

Viktoria Plzeň II win43%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 17:00

Venue · Sports facility Pisek

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Písek

Formation not confirmed

4 J. Kaspar

7 F. Lorincz

8 A. Sedlacek

11 R. Polansky

12 O. Belousek

5 J. Parizek

19 J. Kucharik

20 V. Bartizal

22 O. Koval

27 M. Prasek

29 M. Cechal

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · T. Lerch

14 · M. Marik

9 · T. Riha

10 · M. Kalousek

15 · M. Voracek

18 · F. Firbacher

21 · J. Malecha

Viktoria Plzeň II

Formation not confirmed

1 V. Baier

3 R. Buchner

6 D. Toman

7 F. Visna

8 J. Abrham

10 J. Kopic

14 O. Ruzicka

17 L. Linhart

19 B. Vacek

20 A. Novak

21 Z. Paidar

Coach · –

Substitutes

5 · M. Borolic

9 · N. Chumlen

11 · P. Hasek

12 · A. Sneberger

18 · M. Kubrycht

32 · S. Kotlarik

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Písek

Formation not confirmed

4 J. Kaspar

7 F. Lorincz

8 A. Sedlacek

11 R. Polansky

12 O. Belousek

5 J. Parizek

19 J. Kucharik

20 V. Bartizal

22 O. Koval

27 M. Prasek

29 M. Cechal

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · T. Lerch

14 · M. Marik

9 · T. Riha

10 · M. Kalousek

15 · M. Voracek

18 · F. Firbacher

21 · J. Malecha

Viktoria Plzeň II

Formation not confirmed

1 V. Baier

3 R. Buchner

6 D. Toman

7 F. Visna

8 J. Abrham

10 J. Kopic

14 O. Ruzicka

17 L. Linhart

19 B. Vacek

20 A. Novak

21 Z. Paidar

Coach · –

Substitutes

5 · M. Borolic

9 · N. Chumlen

11 · P. Hasek

12 · A. Sneberger

18 · M. Kubrycht

32 · S. Kotlarik

Our number · viktoria plzeň ii winPublished 9 Oct 17:06

43% The market33%

Us43%

~~Market~~33%

We make Viktoria Plzeň II a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 33%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.8.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · viktoria plzeň ii win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 37% to 33% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Písek win	33%	41%	−8
Draw	23%	26%	−3
Viktoria Plzeň II win	43%	33%	+10
Over 2.5 goals	66%	60%	+5
Both teams to score	66%	63%	+3
Over 1.5 goals	85%	81%	+4
Over 3.5 goals	44%	40%	+4
Písek or draw	57%	67%	−10
Písek clean sheet	17%	–	–
Viktoria Plzeň II clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%

0123450 4.0 5.7 5.6 3.4 1 4.9 10.0 8.5 5.2 2.4 2 4.2 7.4 6.7 4.1 3 2.2 3.9 3.5 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Písek down, Viktoria Plzeň II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,287 3. liga - CFL A matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - CFL A matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.7% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 3.40 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Písek at home: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Viktoria Plzeň II away: 2.33 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.58 goals for Písek, 1.83 for Viktoria Plzeň II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.40

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~PIS 3–0 VIK · VIK 2–2 PIS · PIS 2–2 VIK · VIK 3–0 PIS

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A

PÍSEK

LDWLDD0–2 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 3–3

VIKTORIA PLZEŇ II

WLWWLW4–1 · 2–4 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jiskra Domažlice	9	+10	20
2	České Budějovice	9	+18	19
3	Motorlet Praha	9	+11	19
4	Králův Dvůr	8	+9	19
5	Viktoria Plzeň II	8	+5	16
6	Slavia III	9	+4	14
7	Sparta Praha II	7	+10	12
8	Loko Vltavín	9	−3	12
9	Písek	9	−3	10
10	Příbram II	9	−3	9
11	Bohemians 1905 II	9	−9	9
12	Admira Praha	9	−7	8
13	Benešov	9	−6	7
14	Dukla Praha II	9	−6	7
15	Aritma Praha	9	−14	7
16	Povltava FA	9	−16	2