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Motorlet Praha v Sparta Praha II

Motorlet Praha
1–1Full time
Sparta Praha II

3. liga - CFL A · SAT 17 OCT · Stadion FK Motorlet Praha

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 12:08
Motorlet Praha 1–1 Sparta Praha II MOTORLET PRAHA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Motorlet Praha win37%
The market said27%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.805
The market’s Brier score0.882

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 19 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Motorlet Praha win at 37%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Motorlet Praha 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–27–36
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Motorlet Praha v Sparta Praha II
  4. 15′Motorlet Praha find the net on 15′. 1–0. 1–0 · 65–20–14
  5. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Motorlet Praha 1–0 Sparta Praha II
  6. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Motorlet Praha win: 37% at kick-off, 65% now
  7. 16′We said Motorlet Praha at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 1–0 · 65–20–14
  8. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Sparta Praha II
  9. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Motorlet Praha win: 37% at kick-off, 67% now
  10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 67–21–12
  11. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Motorlet Praha
  12. 43′We said Motorlet Praha at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–9
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Motorlet Praha 1–0 Sparta Praha II
  14. 46′SECOND HALF Motorlet Praha 1–0 Sparta Praha II
  15. 52′Motorlet Praha are down to ten from 52′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 72–21–7
  16. 52′🟥 RED CARD · 52' Motorlet Praha
  17. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Motorlet Praha
  18. 58′A goal for Sparta Praha II on 58′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 26–48–26
  19. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Motorlet Praha 1–1 Sparta Praha II
  20. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Motorlet Praha win: 37% at kick-off, 26% now
  21. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Motorlet Praha win 26%)
  22. 61′We said Motorlet Praha at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 25–50–25
  23. 63′We said Motorlet Praha at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–52–24
  24. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Sparta Praha II
  25. 72′We said Motorlet Praha at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–63–19
  26. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Motorlet Praha win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
  27. 78′We said Motorlet Praha at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–72–14
  28. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Sparta Praha II
  29. 83′We said Motorlet Praha at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–82–9
  30. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Motorlet Praha win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
  31. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Motorlet Praha
  32. 90′We said Motorlet Praha at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
  33. FTFULL TIME Motorlet Praha 1–1 Sparta Praha II
  34. FTMotorlet Praha 1–1 Sparta Praha II · Motorlet Praha win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Motorlet Praha just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Motorlet Praha 37%, draw 27%, Sparta Praha II 36%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Motorlet Praha v Sparta Praha IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Motorlet Praha win37%
Draw27%
Sparta Praha II win36%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup A · matchday 11

VenueStadion FK Motorlet Praha

Line-ups

Motorlet Praha

Sparta Praha II

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Motorlet Praha

Sparta Praha II

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - CFL A

Last match: 11 Oct · 3. liga - CFL A

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Motorlet Praha10+819
6Sparta Praha II8+1115

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Motorlet Praha

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Stefan

2 D. Svoboda

3 M. Filip

5 F. Simaichl

8 I. Muleme

9 D. Zizala

10 D. Vanecek

11 P. Pejsa

12 M. Novak

14 N. Khrolenok

15 J. Budin

Coach · –

Substitutes

6 · L. Hronik

7 · M. Rataj

16 · W. C. da Silva J.

17 · J. Mach

19 · S. Duska

21 · K. Zbrozek

22 · V. Pancev

Sparta Praha II

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Zajac

7 A. Vitarigov

8 J. Feit

9 I. Negouai

21 J. Grimaldo

18 M. Divis

20 L. Azaka

24 J. Topic

25 V. Novak

27 F. Panak

29 D. Kastanek

Coach · Lubos Loucka

Substitutes

2 · M. Kotisek

6 · J. Rebibo

12 · S. Vodolan

16 · V. Kotisek

17 · S. Pavlo

22 · L. Franc

23 · C. Bolorbold

Our number · motorlet praha winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
37% The market27%
Us37%
Market27%

We make Motorlet Praha a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 27%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Motorlet Praha v Sparta Praha II1.37 – 1.34
Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A this season · since 30 AugW3 D1 L2 · W4 D2 L0
Table places · points 19 v 154 v 6
The market · Motorlet Praha win27% · ours 37%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40% 11 OCT 04:0217 OCT 08:36
Our probability · Motorlet Praha win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 27% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Motorlet Praha win37%27%+10
Draw27%24%+3
Sparta Praha II win36%49%−13
Over 2.5 goals51%60%−9
Both teams to score55%61%−6
Over 1.5 goals76%80%−4
Over 3.5 goals29%38%−9
Motorlet Praha or draw64%51%+13
Motorlet Praha clean sheet27%––
Sparta Praha II clean sheet26%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.6%
0123450 7.5 8.4 6.0 2.7 1 8.5 12.6 8.0 3.6 2 6.2 8.1 5.4 2.5 3 2.9 3.8 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Motorlet Praha down, Sparta Praha II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A this season · since 30 Aug

MOTORLET PRAHA

WLDWWL2–1 · 2–5 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 1–4

SPARTA PRAHA II

WDDWWW4–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 4–1 · 4–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1České Budějovice10+2022
2Králův Dvůr9+1222
3Jiskra Domažlice10+1021
4Motorlet Praha10+819
5Viktoria Plzeň II9+517
6Sparta Praha II8+1115
7Loko Vltavín10−215
8Slavia III10+314
9Písek10−311
10Admira Praha10−411
11Příbram II10−310
12Bohemians 1905 II10−910
13Aritma Praha10−148
14Dukla Praha II10−77
15Benešov10−97
16Povltava FA10−182

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.