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Motorlet Praha v Slavia III

Motorlet Praha
3–2Full time
Slavia III

3. liga - CFL A · SAT 24 OCT · Stadion FK Motorlet Praha

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:08
Motorlet Praha 3–2 Slavia III MOTORLET PRAHA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Motorlet Praha win44%
The market said54%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.466
The market’s Brier score0.320

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay18 notes · 25 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Motorlet Praha win at 44%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Motorlet Praha was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–26–30
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Motorlet Praha v Slavia III
  4. 10′🟨 YELLOW · 10' Slavia III
  5. 28′Slavia III find the net on 27′. 0–1. 0–1 · 16–24–60
  6. 28′We said Motorlet Praha at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–24–60
  7. 28′⚽ GOAL · 27' Motorlet Praha 0–1 Slavia III
  8. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Motorlet Praha win: 44% at kick-off, 16% now
  9. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Slavia III win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Motorlet Praha win 40%)
  10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 16–24–60
  11. 36′We said Motorlet Praha at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–62
  12. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Motorlet Praha win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Motorlet Praha 0–1 Slavia III
  14. 46′SECOND HALF Motorlet Praha 0–1 Slavia III
  15. 47′A goal for Slavia III on 47′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 3–8–89
  16. 47′We said Motorlet Praha at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 0–2 · 3–8–89
  17. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Motorlet Praha 0–2 Slavia III
  18. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Motorlet Praha win: 44% at kick-off, 3% now
  19. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Slavia III
  20. 56′Motorlet Praha score on 56′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 8–23–69
  21. 56′We said Motorlet Praha at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–2 · 8–23–69
  22. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Motorlet Praha 1–2 Slavia III
  23. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Motorlet Praha win: 44% at kick-off, 8% now
  24. 57′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 8–23–69
  25. 59′Motorlet Praha find the net on 59′. 2–2. 2–2 · 30–48–22
  26. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Motorlet Praha 2–2 Slavia III
  27. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Motorlet Praha win: 44% at kick-off, 30% now
  28. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Slavia III win 70%)
  29. 60′We said Motorlet Praha at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–49–22
  30. 61′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 29–49–22
  31. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Motorlet Praha
  32. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Slavia III · On: M. Kotrba · Off: J. Fuksa
  33. 69′We said Motorlet Praha at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–58–18
  34. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Motorlet Praha win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
  35. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Motorlet Praha win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
  36. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Motorlet Praha
  37. 86′A goal for Motorlet Praha on 86′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 94–6–0
  38. 86′We published Motorlet Praha at 44%. Our model now makes it 94%. 3–2 · 94–6–0
  39. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Motorlet Praha 3–2 Slavia III
  40. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Motorlet Praha win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
  41. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Motorlet Praha win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 86%)
  42. 87′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 94–5–0
  43. 88′We published Motorlet Praha at 44%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
  44. FTFULL TIME Motorlet Praha 3–2 Slavia III
  45. FTMotorlet Praha 3–2 Slavia III · Motorlet Praha win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Motorlet Praha are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Motorlet Praha 44%, draw 26%, Slavia III 30%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Motorlet Praha v Slavia IIIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Motorlet Praha win44%
Draw26%
Slavia III win30%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup A · matchday 12

VenueStadion FK Motorlet Praha

Line-ups

Motorlet Praha

Slavia III

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Motorlet Praha

Slavia III

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - CFL A

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - CFL A

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Motorlet Praha11+820
8Slavia III11+214

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Motorlet Praha

Formation not confirmed

22 V. Pancev

4 K. Pancev

12 M. Novak

5 F. Simaichl

8 I. Muleme

14 N. Khrolenok

11 P. Pejsa

9 D. Zizala

10 D. Vanecek

15 J. Budin

3 M. Filip

Coach · –

Substitutes

19 · S. Duska

16 · Bernardo

17 · J. Mach

7 · M. Rataj

13 · J. Halasz

21 · K. Zbrozek

1 · J. Stefan

Slavia III

Formation not confirmed

1 O. Suchy

12 J. Drasnar

24 D. Broukal

4 S. Beran

23 S. Chalus

20 J. Fuksa

13 J. Kratochvil

11 A. Ilincic

16 O. Masek

10 J. Smiga

9 D. Kohout

Coach · –

Substitutes

29 · J. Lazek

15 · V. Skokan

7 · F. Kocvara

21 · A. Pawlik

17 · M. Kotrba

19 · M. Penkava

3 · M. Svec

Our number · motorlet praha winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
44% The market54%
Us44%
Market54%

We make Motorlet Praha a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Motorlet Praha v Slavia III1.56 – 1.23
Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A this season · since 12 SeptW2 D2 L2 · W3 D0 L3
Table places · points 20 v 144 v 8
The market · Motorlet Praha win54% · ours 44%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55%60% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 08:38
Our probability · Motorlet Praha win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Motorlet Praha win44%54%−10
Draw26%23%+3
Slavia III win30%23%+7
Over 2.5 goals53%62%−9
Both teams to score56%62%−6
Over 1.5 goals77%82%−5
Over 3.5 goals31%41%−10
Motorlet Praha or draw70%77%−7
Motorlet Praha clean sheet30%––
Slavia III clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%
0123450 7.0 7.0 4.7 1 9.0 12.2 7.1 3.0 2 7.4 8.9 5.5 2.3 3 3.9 4.7 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Motorlet Praha down, Slavia III across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsSLA 1–1 MOT · MOT 0–2 SLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A this season · since 12 Sept

MOTORLET PRAHA

LDWWLD2–5 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 1–4 · 1–1

SLAVIA III

WLWWLL3–1 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 4–0 · 1–2 · 3–4

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1České Budějovice11+2125
2Králův Dvůr10+1325
3Jiskra Domažlice11+521
4Motorlet Praha11+820
5Viktoria Plzeň II10+820
6Sparta Praha II9+1116
7Loko Vltavín11−315
8Slavia III11+214
9Admira Praha11−314
10Bohemians 1905 II11−413
11Písek11−711
12Příbram II10−310
13Dukla Praha II11−310
14Aritma Praha11−178
15Benešov10−97
16Povltava FA11−192

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.