Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › 3. liga - CFL A › Králův Dvůr v České Budějovice

Back
Czech Republic flag

Králův Dvůr v České Budějovice

Králův Dvůr
3–3Full time
České Budějovice

3. liga - CFL A · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33
Králův Dvůr 3–3 České Budějovice ČESKÉ BUDĚJOVICE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said České Budějovice win40%
The market said37%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.958
The market’s Brier score0.852

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay20 notes · 31 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said České Budějovice win at 40%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: České Budějovice was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–20–40
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Králův Dvůr v České Budějovice
  4. 11′We published České Budějovice at 40%. Our model now makes it 61%. 0–1 · 21–18–61
  5. 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Králův Dvůr 0–1 České Budějovice
  6. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' České Budějovice win: 40% at kick-off, 61% now
  7. 11′THE CALL SWINGS · 11' České Budějovice win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Králův Dvůr win 40%)
  8. 12′A goal for České Budějovice on 11′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 21–18–61
  9. 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Králův Dvůr 1–1 České Budějovice
  10. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' České Budějovice win: 40% at kick-off, 39% now
  11. 18′Králův Dvůr score on 17′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 38–22–39
  12. 34′Goals are coming at about the 4.3 we expected. 1–1 · 37–26–37
  13. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Králův Dvůr 1–2 České Budějovice
  14. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' České Budějovice win: 40% at kick-off, 63% now
  15. 37′České Budějovice find the net on 36′. 1–2. 1–2 · 16–20–64
  16. 43′We published České Budějovice at 40%. Our model now makes it 65%. 1–2 · 15–21–65
  17. 45′HALF-TIME Králův Dvůr 1–2 České Budějovice
  18. 45′SECOND HALF Králův Dvůr 1–2 České Budějovice
  19. 47′We published České Budějovice at 40%. Our model now makes it 86%. 1–3 · 4–9–86
  20. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Králův Dvůr 1–3 České Budějovice
  21. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' České Budějovice win: 40% at kick-off, 86% now
  22. 48′A goal for České Budějovice on 48′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 4–9–87
  23. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Králův Dvůr · On: M. Provod · Off: P. Novak Corrected
  24. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Králův Dvůr · On: D. Kremenak · Off: P. Ladra
  25. 58′We published České Budějovice at 40%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–3 · 2–8–90
  26. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' České Budějovice win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
  27. 60′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.3 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 9–22–69
  28. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 59' České Budějovice
  29. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Králův Dvůr 2–3 České Budějovice
  30. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' České Budějovice win: 40% at kick-off, 69% now
  31. 61′Králův Dvůr score on 60′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 9–22–69
  32. 62′We published České Budějovice at 40%. Our model now makes it 70%. 2–3 · 9–22–70
  33. 71′We published České Budějovice at 40%. Our model now makes it 75%. 2–3 · 5–20–75
  34. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 72' České Budějovice · On: A. Abubakar · Off: M. Zeman
  35. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 72' České Budějovice · On: D. Artymovych · Off: T. Abdullahi
  36. 78′We published České Budějovice at 40%. Our model now makes it 81%. 2–3 · 3–17–81
  37. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' České Budějovice win: 40% at kick-off, 81% now
  38. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Králův Dvůr · On: V. Kalina · Off: J. Kabele
  39. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Králův Dvůr
  40. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' České Budějovice win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
  41. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 84' České Budějovice · On: L. Simecek · Off: D. I. Nemec
  42. 92′We published České Budějovice at 40%. Our model now makes it 96%. 2–3 · 0–4–96
  43. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90' České Budějovice · On: P. Filip · Off: M. Doudera
  44. 93′We said České Budějovice at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 3–3 · 3–93–3
  45. 93′6 goals already, more than the 4.3 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 3–93–3
  46. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Králův Dvůr 3–3 České Budějovice
  47. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' České Budějovice win: 40% at kick-off, 3% now
  48. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 93% (was České Budějovice win 97%)
  49. 94′Králův Dvůr find the net on 90′. 3–3. 3–3 · 2–95–2
  50. 94′Full time, 3–3. We called České Budějovice at 40% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 3–3 · 0–100–0
  51. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' České Budějovice
  52. FTFULL TIME Králův Dvůr 3–3 České Budějovice
  53. FTKrálův Dvůr 3–3 České Budějovice · České Budějovice win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with České Budějovice just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Králův Dvůr 40%, draw 20%, České Budějovice 40%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 78%.

The AI’s read on Králův Dvůr v České BudějoviceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Králův Dvůr win40%
Draw20%
České Budějovice win40%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup A · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Králův Dvůr

České Budějovice

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - CFL A

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - CFL A

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1České Budějovice11+2125
2Králův Dvůr10+1325

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · české budějovice winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off
40% The market37%
Us40%
Market37%

We make České Budějovice a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–2.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Králův Dvůr v České Budějovice2.17 – 2.18
Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A this season · since 5 SeptW5 D0 L1 · W4 D0 L2
Table places · points 25 v 252 v 1
The market · České Budějovice win37% · ours 40%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 12:49
Our probability · České Budějovice win The market, margin stripped

Published at 41%, 40% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Králův Dvůr win40%38%+2
Draw20%25%−5
České Budějovice win40%37%+3
Over 2.5 goals80%66%+14
Both teams to score78%68%+10
Over 1.5 goals93%84%+9
Over 3.5 goals63%47%+16
Králův Dvůr or draw60%63%−3
Králův Dvůr clean sheet12%––
České Budějovice clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 6.9%
0123450 2.7 3.2 2.3 1 2.6 6.5 6.6 4.8 2.7 2 3.1 6.5 6.9 5.0 2.8 3 2.2 4.6 4.9 3.6 4 2.6 2.7 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Králův Dvůr down, České Budějovice across0–5 goals a side shown (94.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A this season · since 5 Sept

KRÁLŮV DVŮR

LWWWWW1–2 · 4–2 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 4–1 · 4–3

ČESKÉ BUDĚJOVICE

LWLWWW2–3 · 7–0 · 3–6 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1České Budějovice11+2125
2Králův Dvůr10+1325
3Motorlet Praha12+923
4Jiskra Domažlice11+521
5Viktoria Plzeň II10+820
6Loko Vltavín12−218
7Sparta Praha II9+1116
8Slavia III12+114
9Admira Praha12−414
10Příbram II11−113
11Bohemians 1905 II12−513
12Dukla Praha II12−311
13Písek11−711
14Benešov11−810
15Aritma Praha12−179
16Povltava FA12−212

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.