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Jiskra Domažlice v Viktoria Plzeň II

Jiskra Domažlice
1–4Full time
Viktoria Plzeň II

3. liga - CFL A · SAT 24 OCT · Mestsky stadion Strelnice

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33
Jiskra Domažlice 1–4 Viktoria Plzeň II JISKRA DOMAŽLICE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Jiskra Domažlice win53%
The market said46%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.832
The market’s Brier score0.733

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 29 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Jiskra Domažlice win at 53%.
  2. 1′Jiskra Domažlice find the net on 1′. 1–0. 1–0 · 72–14–14
  3. 1′We said Jiskra Domažlice at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–0 · 72–14–14
  4. 1′KICK-OFF Jiskra Domažlice v Viktoria Plzeň II
  5. 24′A goal for Viktoria Plzeň II on 24′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 49–23–28
  6. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Jiskra Domažlice 1–1 Viktoria Plzeň II
  7. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Jiskra Domažlice win: 53% at kick-off, 49% now
  8. 25′Little has changed for our model: Jiskra Domažlice 53% before kick-off, 49% now. 1–1 · 49–23–28
  9. 32′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Viktoria Plzeň II
  10. 34′The goal count is tracking the 4.3 we expected. 1–1 · 47–25–28
  11. 45′HALF-TIME Jiskra Domažlice 1–1 Viktoria Plzeň II
  12. 46′L. Linhart scores for Viktoria Plzeň II on 25′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 44–29–27
  13. 46′SECOND HALF Jiskra Domažlice 1–1 Viktoria Plzeň II
  14. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Jiskra Domažlice win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
  15. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Viktoria Plzeň II · On: F. Visna · Off: M. Toure
  16. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Jiskra Domažlice · On: M. Mulligan · Off: S. Bohm
  17. 53′We said Jiskra Domažlice at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 41%. 1–1 · 41–33–26
  18. 57′We said Jiskra Domažlice at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–35–25
  19. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Viktoria Plzeň II
  20. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Jiskra Domažlice win 38%)
  21. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Viktoria Plzeň II
  22. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Viktoria Plzeň II · On: J. Paluska · Off: K. Spacil
  23. 67′We said Jiskra Domažlice at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–44–22
  24. 68′Viktoria Plzeň II score on 68′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 9–24–67
  25. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Jiskra Domažlice 1–2 Viktoria Plzeň II
  26. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Jiskra Domažlice win: 53% at kick-off, 9% now
  27. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Viktoria Plzeň II win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Draw 44%)
  28. 69′We said Jiskra Domažlice at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 1–2 · 8–24–68
  29. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Jiskra Domažlice
  30. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Viktoria Plzeň II · On: A. Sneberger · Off: B. Vacek
  31. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Viktoria Plzeň II · On: A. Novak · Off: P. Hasek
  32. 76′Viktoria Plzeň II find the net on 75′. 1–3. 1–3 · 1–4–95
  33. 76′We said Jiskra Domažlice at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–3 · 1–4–95
  34. 76′⚽ GOAL · 75' Jiskra Domažlice 1–3 Viktoria Plzeň II
  35. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Jiskra Domažlice win: 53% at kick-off, 1% now
  36. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Jiskra Domažlice · On: F. Cerveny · Off: S. Fedak
  37. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Jiskra Domažlice · On: K. Kratky · Off: K. Pavlik
  38. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Viktoria Plzeň II · On: R. Buchner · Off: L. Linhart
  39. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Jiskra Domažlice · On: V. Cerny · Off: J. Vais
  40. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Jiskra Domažlice · On: P. Dosly · Off: M. Kapolka
  41. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Viktoria Plzeň II
  42. 92′A goal for Viktoria Plzeň II on 90′ — 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
  43. 92′5 goals already, more than the 4.3 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 0–0–100
  44. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Jiskra Domažlice 1–4 Viktoria Plzeň II
  45. FTFULL TIME Jiskra Domažlice 1–4 Viktoria Plzeň II
  46. FTJiskra Domažlice 1–4 Viktoria Plzeň II · Jiskra Domažlice win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Jiskra Domažlice are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Jiskra Domažlice 53%, draw 19%, Viktoria Plzeň II 28%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 76%.

The AI’s read on Jiskra Domažlice v Viktoria Plzeň IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Jiskra Domažlice win53%
Draw19%
Viktoria Plzeň II win28%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup A · matchday 12

VenueMestsky stadion Strelnice

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Jiskra Domažlice

Viktoria Plzeň II

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - CFL A

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - CFL A

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Jiskra Domažlice11+521
5Viktoria Plzeň II10+820

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jiskra domažlice winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off
53% The market46%
Us53%
Market46%

We make Jiskra Domažlice a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.5–1.8.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Jiskra Domažlice v Viktoria Plzeň II2.51 – 1.82
Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A this season · since 6 SeptW3 D2 L1 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 21 v 204 v 5
The market · Jiskra Domažlice win46% · ours 53%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55%60% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 12:49
Our probability · Jiskra Domažlice win The market, margin stripped

Published at 56%, 53% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Jiskra Domažlice win53%46%+7
Draw19%23%−4
Viktoria Plzeň II win28%31%−3
Over 2.5 goals80%72%+8
Both teams to score76%71%+5
Over 1.5 goals93%87%+6
Over 3.5 goals62%52%+10
Jiskra Domažlice or draw72%69%+3
Jiskra Domažlice clean sheet17%––
Viktoria Plzeň II clean sheet9%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.4%
0123450 2.2 2.3 1 3.2 6.5 5.5 3.3 2 4.2 7.4 6.6 4.0 3 3.5 6.1 5.4 3.3 4 2.2 3.8 3.4 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Jiskra Domažlice down, Viktoria Plzeň II across0–5 goals a side shown (93.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.30
Over 2.57 of 10
Both scored7 of 10
Last meetingsJIS 5–2 VIK · VIK 2–1 JIS · JIS 1–0 VIK · VIK 2–1 JIS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A this season · since 6 Sept

JISKRA DOMAŽLICE

WWWDDL5–2 · 2–0 · 6–3 · 4–4 · 2–2 · 2–7

VIKTORIA PLZEŇ II

WWLWDW1–0 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 3–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1České Budějovice11+2125
2Králův Dvůr10+1325
3Motorlet Praha12+923
4Jiskra Domažlice11+521
5Viktoria Plzeň II10+820
6Loko Vltavín12−218
7Sparta Praha II9+1116
8Slavia III12+114
9Admira Praha12−414
10Příbram II11−113
11Bohemians 1905 II12−513
12Dukla Praha II12−311
13Písek11−711
14Benešov11−810
15Aritma Praha12−179
16Povltava FA12−212

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.