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Jiskra Domažlice v Příbram II

Jiskra Domažlice

2–2Full time

Příbram II

3. liga - CFL A · SAT 10 OCT · Mestsky stadion Strelnice

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Jiskra Domažlice 2–2 Příbram II JISKRA DOMAŽLICE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Jiskra Domažlice win~~73%

~~The market said~~79%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.279

~~The market’s Brier score~~1.396

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Jiskra Domažlice win at 73%.
15′Little has changed for our model: Jiskra Domažlice 73% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 71–17–12
27′⚽ GOAL · 26' Jiskra Domažlice 1–1 Příbram II
37′Jiskra Domažlice ahead on 15′ through P. Dosly. 1–1. 1–1 · 64–23–14
45′HALF-TIME Jiskra Domažlice 1–1 Příbram II
48′SECOND HALF Jiskra Domažlice 1–1 Příbram II
52′⚽ GOAL · 50' Jiskra Domažlice 2–1 Příbram II
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Jiskra Domažlice 2–2 Příbram II
88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Příbram II
89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Příbram II
90′🟨 YELLOW · 93' Jiskra Domažlice
FTFULL TIME Jiskra Domažlice 2–2 Příbram II
FTJiskra Domažlice 2–2 Příbram II · Jiskra Domažlice win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Jiskra Domažlice win73%

Draw15%

Příbram II win12%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

Venue · Mestsky stadion Strelnice

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Jiskra Domažlice

Formation not confirmed

1 L. Brych

3 F. Cerveny

7 M. Kapolka

10 J. Vais

12 J. Zajicek

13 M. Rychnovsky

16 P. Dosly

20 K. Kratky

21 V. Svoboda

24 M. Mulligan

26 V. Prochazka

Coach · Pavel Vaigl

Substitutes

11 · V. Cerny

17 · Vinicius Veneranda

27 · S. Fedak

29 · S. Bohm

99 · A. Demeter

30 · Z. Pereganets

Příbram II

Formation not confirmed

1 O. Bleha

7 M. Vrana

14 F. Ret

15 D. Pivetz

16 A. Cadek

23 D. Dolechek

44 I. Guira

45 I. Sarr

66 N. Kost

77 V. Havelka

99 F. Zapotocny

Coach · –

Substitutes

9 · L. Nemec

17 · V. Nikl

19 · M. Cajko

21 · R. Melzoch

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Jiskra Domažlice

Formation not confirmed

1 L. Brych

3 F. Cerveny

7 M. Kapolka

10 J. Vais

12 J. Zajicek

13 M. Rychnovsky

16 P. Dosly

20 K. Kratky

21 V. Svoboda

24 M. Mulligan

26 V. Prochazka

Coach · Pavel Vaigl

Substitutes

11 · V. Cerny

17 · Vinicius Veneranda

27 · S. Fedak

29 · S. Bohm

99 · A. Demeter

30 · Z. Pereganets

Příbram II

Formation not confirmed

1 O. Bleha

7 M. Vrana

14 F. Ret

15 D. Pivetz

16 A. Cadek

23 D. Dolechek

44 I. Guira

45 I. Sarr

66 N. Kost

77 V. Havelka

99 F. Zapotocny

Coach · –

Substitutes

9 · L. Nemec

17 · V. Nikl

19 · M. Cajko

21 · R. Melzoch

Our number · jiskra domažlice winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

73% The market79%

Us73%

~~Market~~79%

We make Jiskra Domažlice a 73% chance to win. The market has them at 79%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 3.0–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · jiskra domažlice win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 79% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Jiskra Domažlice win	73%	79%	−5
Draw	15%	12%	+3
Příbram II win	12%	9%	+2
Over 2.5 goals	77%	77%	0
Both teams to score	64%	59%	+4
Over 1.5 goals	91%	90%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	58%	60%	−2
Jiskra Domažlice or draw	88%	91%	−2
Jiskra Domažlice clean sheet	33%	–	–
Příbram II clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.1%

0123450 2.1 1 4.8 6.0 3.2 2 7.2 8.1 4.6 3 7.0 7.8 4.4 4 5.2 5.8 3.2 5 3.2 3.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Jiskra Domažlice down, Příbram II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,288 3. liga - CFL A matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - CFL A matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.2% of games this season, across 71 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.75 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Jiskra Domažlice at home: 3.17 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Příbram II away: 1.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.98 goals for Jiskra Domažlice, 1.13 for Příbram II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~0 of 4

~~Last meetings~~PRI 0–4 JIS · JIS 0–2 PRI · PRI 2–0 JIS · JIS 3–0 PRI

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A

JISKRA DOMAŽLICE

WWWWWD5–3 · 2–1 · 5–2 · 2–0 · 6–3 · 4–4

PŘÍBRAM II

LWLDDD0–4 · 7–2 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jiskra Domažlice	9	+10	20
2	České Budějovice	9	+18	19
3	Motorlet Praha	9	+11	19
4	Králův Dvůr	8	+9	19
5	Viktoria Plzeň II	9	+5	17
6	Slavia III	9	+4	14
7	Sparta Praha II	7	+10	12
8	Loko Vltavín	9	−3	12
9	Písek	10	−3	11
10	Příbram II	9	−3	9
11	Bohemians 1905 II	9	−9	9
12	Admira Praha	9	−7	8
13	Benešov	9	−6	7
14	Dukla Praha II	9	−6	7
15	Aritma Praha	9	−14	7
16	Povltava FA	9	−16	2