Bohemians 1905 II v Jiskra Domažlice prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 12:06

Bohemians 1905 II 7–2 Jiskra Domažlice JISKRA DOMAŽLICE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Jiskra Domažlice win~~57%

~~The market said~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.939

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.572

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay23 notes · 27 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Jiskra Domažlice win at 57%.
1′Much as we predicted: Jiskra Domažlice was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 24–19–57
1′KICK-OFF Bohemians 1905 II v Jiskra Domažlice
10′Bohemians 1905 II find the net on 10′. 1–0. 1–0 · 44–20–36
10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Bohemians 1905 II 1–0 Jiskra Domažlice
10′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 10' Jiskra Domažlice win: 57% at kick-off, 36% now
10′THE CALL SWINGS · 10' Bohemians 1905 II win is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Jiskra Domažlice win 36%)
11′We said Jiskra Domažlice at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 1–0 · 44–20–36
15′We said Jiskra Domažlice at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–0 · 45–21–34
16′A goal for Bohemians 1905 II on 16′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 66–16–18
16′We said Jiskra Domažlice at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 2–0 · 66–16–18
16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Bohemians 1905 II 2–0 Jiskra Domažlice
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Jiskra Domažlice win: 57% at kick-off, 18% now
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Jiskra Domažlice win: 57% at kick-off, 17% now
27′We said Jiskra Domažlice at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–0 · 70–16–14
27′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Bohemians 1905 II
33′Goals are coming at about the 4.4 we expected. 2–0 · 72–15–13
33′Bohemians 1905 II score on 33′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 87–8–5
33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Bohemians 1905 II 3–0 Jiskra Domažlice
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Jiskra Domažlice win: 57% at kick-off, 5% now
34′We said Jiskra Domažlice at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 3–0 · 88–8–5
35′We said Jiskra Domažlice at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 3–0 · 88–8–4
36′Bohemians 1905 II find the net on 36′. 4–0. 4–0 · 96–3–1
36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Bohemians 1905 II 4–0 Jiskra Domažlice
39′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Jiskra Domažlice
42′A goal for Bohemians 1905 II on 42′ — 5–0. 5–0 · 99–1–0
42′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.4 across ninety minutes. 5–0 · 99–1–0
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Bohemians 1905 II 5–0 Jiskra Domažlice
45′HALF-TIME Bohemians 1905 II 5–0 Jiskra Domažlice
46′SECOND HALF Bohemians 1905 II 5–0 Jiskra Domažlice
54′Jiskra Domažlice score on 54′ to make it 5–1. 5–1 · 98–1–0
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Bohemians 1905 II 5–1 Jiskra Domažlice
55′6 goals already, more than the 4.4 we expected for the whole match. 5–1 · 99–1–0
57′A red card for Bohemians 1905 II on 57′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 5–1 · 99–1–0
57′🟥 RED CARD · 57' Bohemians 1905 II
58′Bohemians 1905 II find the net on 58′. 6–1. 6–1 · 100–0–0
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Bohemians 1905 II 6–1 Jiskra Domažlice
59′That is 7, and we only asked for 4.4 across ninety minutes. 6–1 · 100–0–0
63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Bohemians 1905 II
68′A goal for Bohemians 1905 II on 68′ — 7–1. 7–1 · 100–0–0
68′8 goals already, more than the 4.4 we expected for the whole match. 7–1 · 100–0–0
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Bohemians 1905 II 7–1 Jiskra Domažlice
73′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Bohemians 1905 II · On: A. Sejkora · Off: D. Pomahac
73′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Bohemians 1905 II · On: A. Bui · Off: M. Banda
74′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Jiskra Domažlice · On: K. Pavlik · Off: S. Bohm
78′Jiskra Domažlice score on 78′ to make it 7–2. 7–2 · 100–0–0
78′That is 9, and we only asked for 4.4 across ninety minutes. 7–2 · 100–0–0
78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Bohemians 1905 II 7–2 Jiskra Domažlice
87′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Jiskra Domažlice · On: A. Demeter · Off: M. Mulligan
87′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Bohemians 1905 II · On: T. Liska · Off: O. Mikuda
FTFULL TIME Bohemians 1905 II 7–2 Jiskra Domažlice
FTBohemians 1905 II 7–2 Jiskra Domažlice · Jiskra Domažlice win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Jiskra Domažlice are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bohemians 1905 II 24%, draw 18%, Jiskra Domažlice 57%. Over 2.5 goals 81%, both teams to score 76%.

The AI’s read on Bohemians 1905 II v Jiskra DomažliceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Bohemians 1905 II win24%

Draw18%

Jiskra Domažlice win57%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup A · matchday 11

Line-ups

Bohemians 1905 II

Jiskra Domažlice

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bohemians 1905 II

Jiskra Domažlice

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - CFL A

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Jiskra Domažlice	10	+10	21
12	Bohemians 1905 II	10	−9	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Bohemians 1905 II

Formation not confirmed

2 M. Banda

8 D. Pomahac

10 S. Cerny

12 S. Obinaya

20 D. Vala

37 B. Sakala

47 P. Kareem

66 O. Mikuda

70 V. Zeman

75 J. Siman

77 J. Vondra

Coach · Dalibor Slezak

Substitutes

9 · T. Liska

11 · D. Drahovzal

13 · A. Sejkora

17 · A. Bui

21 · K. Kachur

26 · J. Vagenknecht

67 · J. Koutsky

Jiskra Domažlice

Formation not confirmed

1 L. Brych

10 J. Vais

12 J. Zajicek

13 M. Rychnovsky

16 P. Dosly

20 K. Kratky

21 V. Svoboda

24 M. Mulligan

26 V. Prochazka

27 S. Fedak

29 S. Bohm

Coach · Pavel Vaigl

Substitutes

3 · F. Cerveny

7 · M. Kapolka

17 · Vinicius Veneranda

18 · K. Pavlik

30 · Z. Pereganets

99 · A. Demeter

Our number · jiskra domažlice winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

57% The market39%

Us57%

~~Market~~39%

We make Jiskra Domažlice a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 18 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–2.7.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bohemians 1905 II v Jiskra Domažlice~~1.74 – 2.69

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 10 v 21~~12 v 3

~~The market · Jiskra Domažlice win~~39% · ours 57%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Jiskra Domažlice win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bohemians 1905 II win	24%	39%	−15
Draw	18%	22%	−4
Jiskra Domažlice win	57%	39%	+18
Over 2.5 goals	81%	73%	+8
Both teams to score	76%	73%	+3
Over 1.5 goals	93%	88%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	64%	54%	+10
Bohemians 1905 II or draw	43%	61%	−18
Bohemians 1905 II clean sheet	7%	–	–
Jiskra Domažlice clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.4%

0123450 3.1 4.4 3.9 2.6 1 6.1 7.4 6.5 4.3 2.42 4.9 6.3 5.5 3.7 2.13 2.8 3.6 3.2 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bohemians 1905 II down, Jiskra Domažlice across0–5 goals a side shown (92.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,298 3. liga - CFL A matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - CFL A matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.1% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 7 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bohemians 1905 II at home: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Jiskra Domažlice away: 3.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.74 goals for Bohemians 1905 II, 2.69 for Jiskra Domažlice. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 8

~~Both scored~~3 of 8

~~Last meetings~~BOH 0–3 JIS · JIS 5–2 BOH · BOH 2–1 JIS · JIS 4–0 BOH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A this season · since 5 Sept

BOHEMIANS 1905 II

LLWDDD2–7 · 1–4 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 3–3 · 3–3

JISKRA DOMAŽLICE

WWWWDD2–1 · 5–2 · 2–0 · 6–3 · 4–4 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	České Budějovice	11	+21	25
2	Králův Dvůr	10	+13	25
3	Jiskra Domažlice	10	+10	21
4	Motorlet Praha	11	+8	20
5	Viktoria Plzeň II	9	+5	17
6	Sparta Praha II	9	+11	16
7	Loko Vltavín	11	−3	15
8	Slavia III	11	+2	14
9	Písek	10	−3	11
10	Admira Praha	10	−4	11
11	Příbram II	10	−3	10
12	Bohemians 1905 II	10	−9	10
13	Aritma Praha	10	−14	8
14	Dukla Praha II	10	−7	7
15	Benešov	10	−9	7
16	Povltava FA	10	−18	2