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Benešov v Admira Praha

Benešov
1–4Full time
Admira Praha

3. liga - CFL A · SAT 10 OCT · Football Pitch Benesov

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18
Benešov 1–4 Admira Praha BENEŠOV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Benešov win41%
The market said38%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.679
The market’s Brier score0.618

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 17 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Benešov win at 41%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Benešov was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–25–34
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Benešov v Admira Praha
  4. 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Benešov 1–0 Admira Praha
  5. 11′A goal for Benešov on 9′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 67–19–14
  6. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Benešov win: 41% at kick-off, 67% now
  7. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Benešov 1–1 Admira Praha
  8. 22′16′ and it is 1–1: Admira Praha have scored. 1–1 · 39–29–32
  9. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Benešov win: 41% at kick-off, 39% now
  10. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Benešov 1–2 Admira Praha
  11. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Admira Praha
  12. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Admira Praha
  13. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Admira Praha
  14. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Admira Praha
  15. 45′HALF-TIME Benešov 1–2 Admira Praha
  16. 46′SECOND HALF Benešov 1–2 Admira Praha
  17. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Benešov 1–3 Admira Praha
  18. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Benešov
  19. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Benešov
  20. 70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Benešov 1–4 Admira Praha
  21. FTFULL TIME Benešov 1–4 Admira Praha
  22. FTBenešov 1–4 Admira Praha · Benešov win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Benešov win41%
Draw26%
Admira Praha win33%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:15

Venue · Football Pitch Benesov

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Benešov

Formation not confirmed

4 J. Vosahlo

6 T. Pilik

7 P. Pilik

8 D. Dusek

11 P. Hampl

15 O. Maca

17 M. Cettl

18 O. Soukup

19 O. Kubis

24 M. Sladek

29 J. Schummer

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · P. Hustak

12 · S. Stary

13 · M. Tesarik

14 · V. Liska

20 · R. Ondrousek

21 · A. T. Trenkwitz

25 · M. Redina

Admira Praha

Formation not confirmed

2 P. Marek

3 V. Pavlicek

4 L. Horalek

12 A. Vais

13 V. Burysek

18 A. Cizek

20 D. Ademuwagun

21 M. Horak

23 A. Durdik

24 R. Rajcinec

25 J. Vlcek

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · V. Hynek

8 · M. Lana

9 · J. Mraz

10 · M. Cacha

11 · J. Barat

14 · N. Dobias

19 · S. Zahalka

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Benešov

Formation not confirmed

4 J. Vosahlo

6 T. Pilik

7 P. Pilik

8 D. Dusek

11 P. Hampl

15 O. Maca

17 M. Cettl

18 O. Soukup

19 O. Kubis

24 M. Sladek

29 J. Schummer

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · P. Hustak

12 · S. Stary

13 · M. Tesarik

14 · V. Liska

20 · R. Ondrousek

21 · A. T. Trenkwitz

25 · M. Redina

Admira Praha

Formation not confirmed

2 P. Marek

3 V. Pavlicek

4 L. Horalek

12 A. Vais

13 V. Burysek

18 A. Cizek

20 D. Ademuwagun

21 M. Horak

23 A. Durdik

24 R. Rajcinec

25 J. Vlcek

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · V. Hynek

8 · M. Lana

9 · J. Mraz

10 · M. Cacha

11 · J. Barat

14 · N. Dobias

19 · S. Zahalka

Our number · benešov winPublished 10 Oct 09:05
41% The market38%
Us41%
Market38%

We make Benešov a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:1810 OCT 03:55
Our probability · benešov win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Benešov win41%38%+3
Draw26%25%0
Admira Praha win33%36%−3
Over 2.5 goals54%61%−7
Both teams to score57%64%−6
Over 1.5 goals78%82%−4
Over 3.5 goals32%40%−8
Benešov or draw67%64%+3
Benešov clean sheet27%––
Admira Praha clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%
0123450 6.6 7.2 5.2 2.4 1 8.2 11.9 7.5 3.5 2 6.6 8.5 5.7 2.6 3 3.4 4.4 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Benešov down, Admira Praha across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsADM 2–3 BEN · BEN 0–0 ADM

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A

BENEŠOV

DDLDLL1–1 · 2–2 · 2–4 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 0–3

ADMIRA PRAHA

LLDWLD1–3 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 2–3 · 4–4

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Jiskra Domažlice9+1020
2České Budějovice9+1819
3Motorlet Praha9+1119
4Králův Dvůr8+919
5Viktoria Plzeň II9+517
6Slavia III9+414
7Sparta Praha II7+1012
8Loko Vltavín9−312
9Písek10−311
10Příbram II9−39
11Bohemians 1905 II9−99
12Admira Praha9−78
13Benešov9−67
14Dukla Praha II9−67
15Aritma Praha9−147
16Povltava FA9−162

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.