Home › Football › 3. liga - CFL A › Aritma Praha v Bohemians 1905 II

Aritma Praha v Bohemians 1905 II

Aritma Praha

3–3Full time

Bohemians 1905 II

3. liga - CFL A · SAT 10 OCT · Sports facility Aritma Prague

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18

Aritma Praha 3–3 Bohemians 1905 II ARITMA PRAHA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Aritma Praha win~~42%

~~The market said~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.889

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.842

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 31 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Aritma Praha win at 42%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Aritma Praha 42% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–22–35
1′KICK-OFF Aritma Praha v Bohemians 1905 II
19′🟨 YELLOW · 20' Bohemians 1905 II
25′⚽ GOAL · 26' Aritma Praha 0–0 Bohemians 1905 II
26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Aritma Praha 0–1 Bohemians 1905 II
28′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Bohemians 1905 II
32′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Aritma Praha
38′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Aritma Praha
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Aritma Praha 0–2 Bohemians 1905 II · J. Koutsky
42′⚽ GOAL · 43' Aritma Praha 0–2 Bohemians 1905 II
45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Aritma Praha 0–2 Bohemians 1905 II
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Aritma Praha 1–2 Bohemians 1905 II · A. Sejkora
45′SECOND HALF Aritma Praha 1–2 Bohemians 1905 II
52′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Aritma Praha · On: C. Maione · Off: V. Patka
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Aritma Praha 2–2 Bohemians 1905 II · T. Solc
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Aritma Praha 2–2 Bohemians 1905 II
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Aritma Praha 2–3 Bohemians 1905 II · T. Solc
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Aritma Praha 2–3 Bohemians 1905 II
64′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Aritma Praha
65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Bohemians 1905 II · On: A. Bui · Off: J. Koutsky Corrected
65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Aritma Praha
66′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Aritma Praha
68′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Aritma Praha
74′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Bohemians 1905 II · On: D. Pomahac · Off: K. Kachur
74′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Aritma Praha · On: J. Mares · Off: A. Kokes
75′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Bohemians 1905 II · On: D. Pomahac · Off: K. Kachur
75′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Bohemians 1905 II · On: D. Muller · Off: M. Nechvatal
75′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Aritma Praha · On: J. Mares · Off: A. Kokes
82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Aritma Praha · On: S. Dostal · Off: T. Solc
87′⚽ GOAL · 88' Aritma Praha 3–3 Bohemians 1905 II
93′🟨 YELLOW · 94' Bohemians 1905 II
FTFULL TIME Aritma Praha 3–3 Bohemians 1905 II
FTAritma Praha 3–3 Bohemians 1905 II · Aritma Praha win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Aritma Praha win42%

Draw23%

Bohemians 1905 II win35%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:15

Venue · Sports facility Aritma Prague

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Aritma Praha

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Vich

2 M. Bedrna

3 V. Patka

5 M. Brany

6 D. Klusak

7 T. Solc

8 A. Kokes

9 L. Hrabak

13 V. Severa

14 E. Biegon

16 D. Hodik

Coach · –

Substitutes

4 · V. Janovsky

10 · N. Wacker

11 · C. Maione

12 · J. Mares

17 · S. Dostal

30 · F. Vacha

Bohemians 1905 II

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Sladek

2 J. Hausman

7 M. Suryn

13 A. Sejkora

16 M. Dostal

19 M. Nechvatal

21 K. Kachur

55 D. Bartek

66 O. Mikuda

67 J. Koutsky

71 J. Tichy

Coach · Dalibor Slezak

Substitutes

3 · D. Stehlik

8 · D. Pomahac

11 · D. Drahovzal

14 · D. Muller

17 · A. Bui

27 · S. Licka

31 · J. Vagenknecht

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Aritma Praha

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Vich

2 M. Bedrna

3 V. Patka

5 M. Brany

6 D. Klusak

7 T. Solc

8 A. Kokes

9 L. Hrabak

13 V. Severa

14 E. Biegon

16 D. Hodik

Coach · –

Substitutes

4 · V. Janovsky

10 · N. Wacker

11 · C. Maione

12 · J. Mares

17 · S. Dostal

30 · F. Vacha

Bohemians 1905 II

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Sladek

2 J. Hausman

7 M. Suryn

13 A. Sejkora

16 M. Dostal

19 M. Nechvatal

21 K. Kachur

55 D. Bartek

66 O. Mikuda

67 J. Koutsky

71 J. Tichy

Coach · Dalibor Slezak

Substitutes

3 · D. Stehlik

8 · D. Pomahac

11 · D. Drahovzal

14 · D. Muller

17 · A. Bui

27 · S. Licka

31 · J. Vagenknecht

Our number · aritma praha winPublished 10 Oct 09:05

42% The market42%

Us42%

~~Market~~42%

We make Aritma Praha a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.6.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · aritma praha win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Aritma Praha win	42%	42%	0
Draw	23%	25%	−2
Bohemians 1905 II win	35%	33%	+2
Over 2.5 goals	67%	60%	+7
Both teams to score	67%	63%	+4
Over 1.5 goals	86%	80%	+6
Over 3.5 goals	45%	39%	+6
Aritma Praha or draw	65%	67%	−2
Aritma Praha clean sheet	20%	–	–
Bohemians 1905 II clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%

0123450 3.8 4.8 4.3 2.3 1 5.4 9.8 7.5 4.1 2 5.3 8.4 6.7 3.7 3 3.2 5.1 4.1 2.2 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Aritma Praha down, Bohemians 1905 II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,288 3. liga - CFL A matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - CFL A matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.2% of games this season, across 71 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Aritma Praha at home: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Bohemians 1905 II away: 1.17 scored, 3.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.82 goals for Aritma Praha, 1.63 for Bohemians 1905 II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ARI 1–1 BOH · BOH 6–0 ARI

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A

ARITMA PRAHA

LLLLWD0–2 · 0–4 · 1–3 · 0–7 · 3–2 · 1–1

BOHEMIANS 1905 II

WLLWDD3–1 · 2–7 · 1–4 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jiskra Domažlice	9	+10	20
2	České Budějovice	9	+18	19
3	Motorlet Praha	9	+11	19
4	Králův Dvůr	8	+9	19
5	Viktoria Plzeň II	9	+5	17
6	Slavia III	9	+4	14
7	Sparta Praha II	7	+10	12
8	Loko Vltavín	9	−3	12
9	Písek	10	−3	11
10	Příbram II	9	−3	9
11	Bohemians 1905 II	9	−9	9
12	Admira Praha	9	−7	8
13	Benešov	9	−6	7
14	Dukla Praha II	9	−6	7
15	Aritma Praha	9	−14	7
16	Povltava FA	9	−16	2